Multicriteria Financial Portfolio Risk Management for International Projects
Publication: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 130, Issue 3
Abstract
While opportunities for international construction firms have been growing with globalization, the risks involved with international construction projects are increasing significantly. However, due to the complex skein of various risks, it is difficult to evaluate the severity of risk variables at the corporate level and to examine key success factors in an attempt to maximize a firm’s value under the challenging global business environment. This paper focuses on a financial portfolio risk management for international projects to integrate the risk hierarchy of both individual projects and at the corporate level, which applies a multicriteria decision making method to maximize the total value of firms. To demonstrate the approach, a case study is conducted based on real projects collected from a multinational general contractor. Finally, we present lessons learned as well as guidelines for the application of these lessons to future projects through a workshop with industry practitioners.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
References
Ahmad, I.(1990). “Decision support system for modeling bid/no-bid decision problem.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 116(4), 595–608.
Brigham, E. F. (1989). Fundamentals of financial management, 5th Ed., Dryden Press, Chicago.
Cardo, R. N., and Wind, J. (1985). Long range planning 18; Risk return approach of product portfolio strategy, Elsevier Science, Cambridge, U.K.
Clemen, R. T. (1996). Making hard decisions: An introduction to decision analysis, 2nd Ed., Brooks/Cole, Pacific Grove, Calif.
Das, S. (1997). Risk management and financial derivatives–A guide to the mathematics, McGraw-Hill, Boston.
Demacopoulos, A. C. (1989). “Foreign exchange exposure in international construction.” PhD thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Boston.
Elton, E. J., and Gruber, M. J. (1987). Modern portfolio theory and investment analysis, 3rd Ed., Wiley, New York.
Flanagan, R., and Norman, G. (1993). Risk management and construction, Blackwell Scientific, Oxford, U.K.
Groppelli, A. A., and Nikbakht, E. (1995). Finance, 3rd Ed., Barrons Educational Series, Inc, Woodbury, N.Y.
Han, S. H. (1999). “Risk-based Go/No-Go decision making model for international construction projects: The Cross-impact analysis approach.” PhD thesis, Univ. of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, Colo.
Han, S. H., and Diekmann, J. E.(2001). “Approaches for making risk-based Go/No-Go decision for international projects.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 127(4), 300–308.
He, Z. (1995). “Risk management for overseas construction projects.” International journal of project management, Butterworth-Heinemann, London, 231–237.
Jorison, P.(1996). “Risk: Measuring the risk in value at risk.” Finan. Anal. J., 52(6), 47–56.
Kahneman, D., and Tversky, A.(1979). “Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk.” Econometrica, 47, 263–291.
Kangari, R., and Boyer, L. T.(1981). “Project selection under risk.” J. Constr. Div., Am. Soc. Civ. Eng., 107(4), 597–608.
Keefer, D., and Bodily, S. E.(1983). “Three point approximations for continuous random variables.” Manage. Sci., 29, 595–609.
Lee, J., and Walters, D. (1989). International trade in construction, design, and engineering services, Ballinger, Cambridge, Mass.
Messner, J. I. (1994). “An information framework for evaluating international construction projects.” PhD thesis, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, Pa.
Millman, G. J.(1998). “The how of DOW: Managing currency risk.” Finan. Executive, 14(6), 19–24.
Minato, T. (1994). “A methodology for project risk control: A work package-based approach using historical cost control data.” PhD thesis, Univ. of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, Calif.
Mullich, J. (1998). “Project portfolio management for the new millennium.” Information Week, 〈http//www.primavera.com〉 (Jan. 10, 1999).
Pouliquen, L. Y. (1970). “Risk analysis in project appraisal.” Occasional Paper, 11, World Bank, Washington, D.C.
Reutlinger, S. (1970). “Techniques for project appraisal under uncertainty.” Occasional Paper, 10, World Bank, Washington, D.C.
Segev, E. (1995). Corporate strategy—Portfolio models, International Thomson, London.
Spinner, K.(1990). “Adapting value at risk.” Global Finan., 4(4), 14–23.
Tanaka, K. (1984). “Project financing and risk minimizing approaches for lending agencies.” MS thesis, Colorado School of Mines, Golden, Colo.
Turner, C.(1996). “VAR as an industrial tool.” Risk, 9(3), 38–40.
Vergara, A. J. (1977). “Probabilistic estimating and applications of portfolio theory in construction.” PhD thesis, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, Ill.
Vergara, A. J., and Boyer, L. T.(1977). “Portfolio theory: Applications in construction.” J. Constr. Div., Am. Soc. Civ. Eng., 103(1), 23–38.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
Copyright © 2004 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Mar 12, 2002
Accepted: Apr 23, 2003
Published online: May 14, 2004
Published in print: Jun 2004
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.