TECHNICAL PAPERS
Mar 1, 1992

Bidding Strategy: Winning over Key Competitors

Publication: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 118, Issue 1

Abstract

This paper presents a method by which the probability of winning in the competitive bidding problem can be improved by obtaining additional information concerning a key competitor. The competitive bidding problem as suggested by Friedman consists of describing the bidding behavior of each competitor by developing a probability density function representing the distribution of the ratio of a competitor's bid to “our” cost estimate. This static distribution for a key competitor is improved by maintaining a volume‐time function on competitor k. A function relating the markup of competitor k's static distribution function, thereby improving the calculation for the probability of winning over (defeating) competitor k. Equations for combining the probability of winning over competitor k with the probability of winning over other competitors is also presented.

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References

1.
Ahmad, I. (1988). “Questionnaire survey on bidding in construction.” J. Constr. Engrg. and Mgmt., ASCE.
2.
Benjamin, N. B. H. (1967). “Competitive bidding for building construction contracts.” Tech. Report No. 106, Department of Civil Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, Calif.
3.
Gates, M. (1967). “Bidding strategies and probabilities.” J. Constr. Div., ASCE.
4.
Griffis, F. H. (1970). “Stochastic analysis of the competitive bidding problem,” thesis presented to Oklahoma State University, at Stillwater, Okla., in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy.
5.
Huang, D. S. (1970). Regression and economic methods. John F. Wiley and Sons, Inc., New York, N.Y.
6.
Lund, A., Gorden, N., and Altounian, A. (1989). Anaheim bid user's guide. Anaheim Technologies, Inc., Montreal, Canada.
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Miller, L. C. (1962). Successful management of contractors. McGraw‐Hill Book Co., Inc., New York, N.Y.

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Go to Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 118Issue 1March 1992
Pages: 151 - 165

History

Published online: Mar 1, 1992
Published in print: Mar 1992

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F. H. (Bud) Griffis, Fellow, ASCE
Prof., Dept. of Civ. Engrg. and Engrg. Mech., Columbia Univ., New York, NY 10027

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