Research Article
Jul 1981
Application of Reliability Theory to Hydraulic Engineering Design
Authors: Lucien Duckstein and Istvan BogardiAuthor Affiliations
Publication: Journal of the Hydraulics Division
Volume 107, Issue 7
Abstract
The reliability of two hydraulic engineering systems with random resistance and/or loading is estimated. The first system is a flood levee reach that is subject to four failure modes: overtopping, boiling, slope sliding and wind wave erosion. The second system is a flood levee system along a confluence reach. For this levee, failure by overtopping depends on the bivariate distribution of water stages in the tributary and the main river, linked by a backwater curve. The failure probability, which is the complement of reliability, is estimated analytically for the first system, and then by hydraulic calculations and simulation for the second system. In each case, estimated reliabilities agree well with experimental observations.
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Published In
Journal of the Hydraulics Division
Volume 107 • Issue 7 • July 1981
Pages: 799 - 815
Copyright
© 1981 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published in print: Jul 1981
Published online: Feb 3, 2021
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Authors
Affiliations
Lucien Duckstein
Prof., Dept. of Systems and Industrial Engrg., Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, Ariz. 85721
Istvan Bogardi
Sr. Systems Analyst, Mining Development Inst., 1037 Budapest III, Mikoviny u. 2-4, Hungary
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