Abstract

Traffic state information, road network structure characteristics, and built environment characteristics are factors influencing traffic safety, which will alleviate or aggravate traffic safety problems. This paper analyzes the relationship between these factors and traffic accidents involving either property damage only (PDO) crashes or killed and severe injury (KSI) crashes. The spatiotemporal distribution of the two types of accidents was analyzed. Abundant explanatory variables were extracted from accident data, license plate recognition (LPR) data, OpenStreetMap (OSM) data, and point of interest (POI) data based on complex network methods and information entropy theories. Geographical and temporal weighted regression (GTWR), geographically weighted regression (GWR), and ordinary least squares (OLS) models were used to analyze the influencing factors of traffic safety, respectively. The results demonstrate that the GTWR model performs best in modeling spatiotemporal heterogeneity data. Traffic state information, road network structure, and built environment factors all have significant effects on traffic accidents, and traffic state information have the highest correlation with traffic accidents among all factors. The greater the traffic volume, the more likely are traffic accidents. The strongest correlation is between PDO crashes and traffic state in the morning peak, in the evening peak, and at night. For a road network divided into grids, the more important the intersections in the grid, the greater is the street circuity, and the more chaotic the street direction, the more likely PDO crashes are to occur in the grid. Furthermore, the diversity of land use is positively correlated with traffic accidents in urban areas, whereas the correlation is negative in suburban areas, which reflects the spatial heterogeneity.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Data Availability Statement

Some or all data, models, or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Acknowledgments

This work was supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province (Grant Nos. LGF21E080002, LGF22F030008, and LR23E080002), and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 92046011).

References

Abdel-Aty, M., C. Siddiqui, H. Huang, and X. Wang. 2011. “Integrating trip and roadway characteristics in managing safety at traffic analysis zones.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2213 (1): 20–28. https://doi.org/10.3141/2213-04.
Asadi, M., M. B. Ulak, K. T. Geurs, W. Weijermars, and P. Schepers. 2022. “A comprehensive analysis of the relationships between the built environment and traffic safety in the Dutch urban areas.” Accid. Anal. Prev. 172 (Aug): 106683. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2022.106683.
Bao, J., Z. Yang, W. Zeng, and X. Shi. 2021. “Exploring the spatial impacts of human activities on urban traffic crashes using multi-source big data.” J. Transp. Geogr. 94 (Apr): 103118. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2021.103118.
Boeing, G. 2017. “OSMnx: New methods for acquiring, constructing, analyzing, and visualizing complex street networks.” Comput. Environ. Urban Syst. 65 (14): 126–139. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2017.05.004.
Boeing, G. 2019. “Urban spatial order: Street network orientation, configuration, and entropy.” Appl. Network Sci. 4 (1): 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41109-019-0189-1.
Cantillo, V., L. Márquez, and C. J. Díaz. 2020. “An exploratory analysis of factors associated with traffic crashes severity in Cartagena, Colombia.” Accid. Anal. Prev. 146 (Apr): 105749. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2020.105749.
Chen, P. 2015. “Built environment factors in explaining the automobile-involved bicycle crash frequencies: A spatial statistic approach.” Saf. Sci. 79 (6): 336–343. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2015.06.016.
Ding, H., and N. N. Sze. 2022. “Effects of road network characteristics on bicycle safety: A multivariate Poisson-lognormal model.” Multimodal Transp. 1 (2): 100020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.multra.2022.100020.
Dumedah, G., and E. K. Garsonu. 2021. “Characterising the structural pattern of urban road networks in Ghana using geometric and topological measures.” Geogr. Environ. 8 (1): e00095. https://doi.org/10.1002/geo2.95.
Fotheringham, A. S., C. Brunsdon, and M. Charlton. 2003. Geographically weighted regression: The analysis of spatially varying relationships. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.
Gao, F., S. Li, Z. Tan, Z. Wu, X. Zhang, G. Huang, and Z. Huang. 2021. “Understanding the modifiable areal unit problem in dockless bike sharing usage and exploring the interactive effects of built environment factors.” Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci. 35 (9): 1905–1925. https://doi.org/10.1080/13658816.2020.1863410.
Gladhill, K., and C. M. Monsere. 2012. “Exploring traffic safety and urban form in Portland, Oregon.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2318 (1): 63–74. https://doi.org/10.3141/2318-08.
Gressai, M., B. Varga, T. Tettamanti, and I. Varga. 2021. “Investigating the impacts of urban speed limit reduction through microscopic traffic simulation.” Commun. Transp. Res. 1 (18): 100018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.commtr.2021.100018.
Hadayeghi, A., A. Shalaby, and B. Persaud. 2013. “Macro level accident prediction models for evaluating safety of urban transportation systems.” Transp. Res. Rec. 1840 (1): 87–95. https://doi.org/10.3141/1840-10.
Huang, B., B. Wu, and M. Barry. 2010. “Geographically and temporally weighted regression for modeling spatio-temporal variation in house prices.” Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci. 24 (3): 383–401. https://doi.org/10.1080/13658810802672469.
Hurvich, C. M., J. S. Simonoff, and C. L. Tsai. 1998. “Smoothing parameter selection in nonparametric regression using an improved Akaike information criterion.” J. R. Stat. Soc. 60 (Aug): 271–293. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9868.00125.
Ji, J., Y. Bie, and L. Wang. 2023. “Optimal electric bus fleet scheduling for a route with charging facility sharing.” Transp. Res. Part C: Emerging Technol. 147 (Feb): 104010. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2022.104010.
Ji, J., Y. Bie, Z. Zeng, and L. Wang. 2022. “Trip energy consumption estimation for electric buses.” Commun. Transp. Res. 2 (Dec): 100069. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.commtr.2022.100069.
Kim, K., P. Pant, and E. Yamashita. 2010. “Accidents and accessibility: Measuring influences of demographic and land use variables in Honolulu, Hawaii.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2147 (1): 9–17. https://doi.org/10.3141/2147-02.
Kodupuganti, S. R., and S. S. Pulugurtha. 2023. “Are facilities to support alternative modes effective in reducing congestion?: Modeling the effect of heterogeneous traffic conditions on vehicle delay at intersections.” Multimodal Transp. 2 (1): 100050. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.multra.2022.100050.
Lin, P., J. Weng, Q. Liang, D. Alivanistos, and S. Ma. 2019. “Impact of weather conditions and built environment on public bikesharing trips in Beijing.” Networks Spatial Econ. 20 (Mar): 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11067-019-09465-6.
Luo, X., D. Wang, D. Ma, and S. Jin. 2019. “Grouped travel time estimation in signalized arterials using point-to-point detectors.” Transp. Res. Part B 130 (Dec): 130–151. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trb.2019.10.007.
Ma, X., Y. Ji, Y. Yuan, N. Van Oort, Y. Jin, and S. Hoogendoorn. 2020. “A comparison in travel patterns and determinants of user demand between docked and dockless bike-sharing systems using multi-sourced data.” Transp. Res. Part A: Policy Pract. 139 (Jul): 148–173. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2020.06.022.
Ma, X., J. Zhang, C. Ding, and Y. Wang. 2018. “A geographically and temporally weighted regression model to explore the spatiotemporal influence of built environment on transit ridership.” Comput. Environ. Urban Syst. 70 (Jul): 113–124. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2018.03.001.
Merlin, L., E. Guerra, and E. Dumbaugh. 2020. “Crash risk, crash exposure, and the built environment: A conceptual review.” Accid. Anal. Prev. 134 (7): 105244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2019.07.020.
Milton, J., and F. Mannering. 1998. “The relationship among highway geometrics, traffic-related elements and motor-vehicle accident frequencies.” Transportation 25 (4): 395–413. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1005095725001.
Mohan, D., S. I. Bangdiwala, and A. Villaveces. 2017. “Urban street structure and traffic safety.” J. Saf. Res. 62 (Jun): 63–71. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsr.2017.06.003.
Moran, P. A. P. 1950. “Notes on continuous stochastic phenomena.” Biometrika 37 (1–2): 17–23. https://doi.org/10.2307/2332142.
Mukoko, K. K., and S. S. Pulugurtha. 2019. “Examining the influence of network, land use, and demographic characteristics to estimate the number of bicycle-vehicle crashes on urban roads.” IATSS Res. 44 (1): 8–16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iatssr.2019.04.001.
Obelheiro, M. R., A. R. da Silva, C. T. Nodari, H. B. B. Cybis, and L. A. Lindau. 2020. “A new zone system to analyze the spatial relationships between the built environment and traffic safety.” J. Transp. Geogr. 84 (20): 102699 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2020.102699.
Osama, A., and T. Sayed. 2017. “Evaluating the impact of socioeconomics, land use, built environment, and road facility on cyclist safety.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2659 (1): 33–42. https://doi.org/10.3141/2659-04.
Qin, J., and F. Liao. 2021. “Space–time prism in multimodal supernetwork–Part 1: Methodology.” Commun. Transp. Res. 1 (Dec): 100016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.commtr.2021.100016.
Schepers, P., E. Heinen, R. Methorst, and F. Wegman. 2013. “Road safety and bicycle usage impacts of unbundling vehicular and cycle traffic in Dutch urban networks.” Eur. J. Transp. Infrastruct. Res. 13 (3): 221–238. https://doi.org/10.18757/ejtir.2013.13.3.3000.
Shannon, C. E. 1948. “A mathematical theory of communication.” Bell Syst. Tech. J. 27 (3): 379–423. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1538-7305.1948.tb01338.x.
Shen, X., Y. Zhou, S. Jin, and D. Wang. 2020. “Spatiotemporal influence of land use and household properties on automobile travel demand.” Transp. Res. Part D: Transp. Environ. 84 (Jul): 102359. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102359.
Wang, H., S. K. J. Chang, H. De Backer, D. Lauwers, and P. De Maeyer. 2019. “Integrating spatial and temporal approaches for explaining bicycle crashes in high-risk areas in Antwerp (Belgium).” Sustainability 11 (13): 3746. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11133746.
Wang, X., J. Yuan, G. G. Schultz, and S. Fang. 2018. “Investigating the safety impact of roadway network features of suburban arterials in Shanghai.” Accid. Anal. Prev. 113 (Apr): 137–148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2018.01.029.
Wu, B., R. Li, and B. Huang. 2014. “A geographically and temporally weighted autoregressive model with application to housing prices.” Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci. 28 (5): 1186–1204. https://doi.org/10.1080/13658816.2013.878463.
Xian, H., Y. Wang, Y. Hou, S. Dong, J. Kou, and H. Zeng. 2022. “Research on influencing factors of urban road traffic casualties through support vector machine.” Sustainability 14 (23): 16203. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142316203.
Xie, B., Z. An, Y. Zheng, and Z. Li. 2019. “Incorporating transportation safety into land use planning: Pre-assessment of land use conversion effects on severe crashes in urban China.” Appl. Geogr. 103 (Feb): 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2018.12.003.
Yang, M., and X. Wang. 2021. “Macrolevel traffic safety longitudinal comparison in Shanghai, China.” J. Transp. Eng. Part A: Syst. 147 (10): 04021059. https://doi.org/10.1061/JTEPBS.0000574.
Yao, W., C. Chen, H. Su, N. Chen, S. Jin, and C. Bai. 2022a. “Analysis of key commuting routes based on spatiotemporal trip chain.” J. Adv. Transp. 2022 (Mar): 31. https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/6044540.
Yao, W., N. Chen, H. Su, Y. Hu, S. Jin, and D. Rong. 2023. “A novel self-adaption macroscopic fundamental diagram considering network heterogeneity.” Physica A 613 (Mar): 128531. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2023.128531.
Yao, W., J. Yu, Y. Yang, N. Chen, S. Jin, Y. Hu, and C. Bai. 2022b. “Understanding travel behavior adjustment under COVID-19.” Commun. Transp. Res. 2 (Dec): 100068. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.commtr.2022.100068.
Yao, W., M. Zhang, S. Jin, and D. Ma. 2021. “Understanding vehicles commuting pattern based on license plate recognition data.” Transp. Res. Part C Emerging Technol. 128 (2): 103142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2021.103142.
Yu, C.-Y., and M. Xu. 2018. “Local variations in the impacts of built environments on traffic safety.” J. Plann. Educ. Res. 38 (3): 314–328. https://doi.org/10.1177/0739456X17696035.
Zhang, L., M. Zhang, J. Tang, J. Ma, X. Duan, J. Sun, X. Hu, and S. Xu. 2022. “Analysis of traffic accident based on knowledge graph.” J. Adv. Transp. 2022 (Aug): 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/3915467.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems
Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems
Volume 149Issue 10October 2023

History

Received: Mar 15, 2023
Accepted: May 23, 2023
Published online: Jul 26, 2023
Published in print: Oct 1, 2023
Discussion open until: Dec 26, 2023

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

ASCE Technical Topics:

Authors

Affiliations

Associate Professor, Dept. of Traffic Management Engineering, Zhejiang Police College, No. 555, Binwen Rd., Hangzhou 310053, China. Email: [email protected]
Zuoming Zhang [email protected]
Polytechnic Institute, Zhejiang Univ., No. 269, Shixiang Rd., Hangzhou 310015, China. Email: [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Traffic Management Engineering, Zhejiang Police College, No. 555, Binwen Rd., Hangzhou 310053, China. Email: [email protected]
Ph.D. Candidate, Institute of Intelligent Transportation Systems, Zhejiang Univ., No. 866, Yuhangtang Rd., Hangzhou 310058, China (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2830-102X. Email: [email protected]
Polytechnic Institute, Zhejiang Univ., No. 269, Shixiang Rd., Hangzhou 310015, China. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5695-5629. Email: [email protected]
Donglei Rong [email protected]
Institute of Intelligent Transportation Systems, Zhejiang Univ., No. 866, Yuhangtang Rd., Hangzhou 310058, China. Email: [email protected]
Professor, Institute of Intelligent Transportation Systems, Zhejiang Univ., No. 866, Yuhangtang Rd., Hangzhou 310058, China. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share