Technical Papers
Mar 27, 2020

Measures of Travel Reliability on an Urban Rail Transit Network

Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems
Volume 146, Issue 6

Abstract

To evaluate the travel reliability of an urban rail transit (URT) in normal operation, three travel reliability indicators are proposed from passengers’ travel. The connectivity reliability, travel time reliability, and capacity reliability indicators are computed from the weighted average of the number of tolerable travel paths, the ratios of 95–50 quantiles of travel times, and effective residual capacity coefficients between pairs of stations, respectively. The weight of an origin-destination (OD) station pair in a certain time period is the ratio of the passenger trips of this station pair to the passenger trips entering the origin station during that period. The tolerable coefficient, which is the ratio of passengers’ tolerable travel time to shortest possible travel time, is proposed to determine the tolerable travel paths. The effective residual capacity coefficient between an OD station pair is calculated with residual capacities and capacities of all tolerable paths between them. The travel reliability indicators are used to evaluate the travel reliability of Chengdu’s URT stations and network during different time periods and for different tolerable coefficients. The correlations among the travel reliability indicators of stations are analyzed. The results show the travel reliability of a URT in different time periods and indicate how that reliability is related to the tolerable coefficient. A station with better connectivity reliability often has higher capacity reliability also. Because passengers may choose different tolerable travel paths when multiple tolerable travel paths exist between station pairs, a station with high connectivity reliability may correspond to low travel time reliability.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Data Availability Statement

Some data, models, or code generated or used during the study are available from the corresponding author by request (distance and travel time of links; transport capacities and average headway of lines; transfer times at transfer stations; OD flow distributions). These data are for 5 working days of the Chengdu URT in early 2017.

Acknowledgments

The authors thank the Chengdu’s urban rail transit company for providing relevant data. We also acknowledge the support of National Key R & D Program of China (2017YFB1200700).

References

Asakura, Y., and M. Kashiwadani. 1991. “Road network reliability caused by daily fluctuation of traffic flow.” In Proc., Planning and Transport Research and Computation (PTRC) Summer Annual Meeting, 73–84. London: PTRC Education and Research Services on behalf of the Planning and Transport Research and Computation International Association.
Barry, J., R. Newhouser, A. Rahbee, and S. Sayeda. 2002. “Origin and destination estimation in New York City with automated fare system data.” Transp. Res. Rec. 1817 (1): 183–187. https://doi.org/10.3141/1817-24.
Bell, M. G. H., and Y. Iida. 1997. Transportation network analysis. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.
Chan, J. 2007. “Rail transit OD matrix estimation and journey time reliability metrics using automated fare data.” MS thesis, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Chang, J. S. 2010. “Assessing travel time reliability in transport appraisal.” J. Transp. Geogr. 18 (3): 419–425. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2009.06.012.
Chen, A., P. Kasikitwiwat, and C. Yang. 2013. “Alternate capacity reliability measures for transportation networks.” J. Adv. Transp. 47 (1): 79–104. https://doi.org/10.1002/atr.216.
Chen, A., M. Tatineni, D. H. Lee, and H. Yang. 2000. “Effect of route choice models on estimating network capacity reliability.” Transp. Res. Rec. 1733 (1): 63–70. https://doi.org/10.3141/1733-09.
Chen, A., H. Yang, H. K. Lo, and W. H. Tang. 1999. “A capacity related reliability for transportation networks.” J. Adv. Transp. 33 (2): 183–200. https://doi.org/10.1002/atr.5670330207.
Chen, A., H. Yang, H. K. Lo, and W. H. Tang. 2002. “Capacity reliability of a road network: An assessment methodology and numerical result.” Transp. Res. Part B-Methodol. 36 (3): 225–252. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0191-2615(00)00048-5.
Chen, H. K., M. C. Hsu, and C. F. Hsieh. 2004. “Some issues in network capacity reliability.” In Proc., IEEE Int. Conf. on Networking, Sensing and Control, 293–298. New York: IEEE.
Csikos, D., and G. Currie. 2008. “Investigating consistency in transit passenger arrivals: Insights from longitudinal automated fare collection data.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2042 (1): 12–19. https://doi.org/10.3141/2042-02.
Cui, A. 2006. “Bus passenger origin-destination matrix estimation using automated data collection.” M.S. thesis, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Du, M. Q., X. W. Jiang, L. Cheng, and C. J. Zheng. 2017. “Robust evaluation for transportation network capacity under demand uncertainty.” J. Adv. Transp. 2017: 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/9814909.
Guidotti, R., P. Gardoni, and Y. Chen. 2017. “Network reliability analysis with link and nodal weights and auxiliary nodes.” Struct. Saf. 65 (Mar): 12–26. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2016.12.001.
Guo, F., and H. Rakha. 2012. “Multistate travel time reliability models with skewed component distributions.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2315 (1): 47–53. https://doi.org/10.3141/2315-05.
Jang, W. 2010. “Travel time and transfer analysis using transit smart card data.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2144 (1): 142–149. https://doi.org/10.3141/2144-16.
Jiang, C. Z., F. Xu, and J. X. Yuan. 2013. “Characteristics and reliability analysis of the complex network in Guangzhou rail transit.” Intell. Auto. Soft. Comput. 19 (2): 217–225. https://doi.org/10.1080/10798587.2013.787189.
Kaparias, I., M. G. H. Bell, and H. Belzner. 2008. “A new measure of travel time reliability for in-vehicle navigation systems.” J. Intell. Transp Syst. 12 (4): 202–211. https://doi.org/10.1080/15472450802448237.
Kuang, A., Z. Tanga, and L. Shan. 2013. “Road network capacity reliability considering travel time reliability.” Procedia-Social Behav. Sci. 96 (Nov): 1818–1827. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2013.08.207.
Kusakabe, T., T. Iryo, and Y. Asakura. 2010. “Estimation method for railway passengers’ train choice behavior with smart card transaction data.” Transportation 37 (5): 731–749. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-010-9290-0.
Lee, S. G., and M. Hickman. 2014. “Trip purpose inference using automated fare collection data.” J. Publ. Transp. 6 (1–2): 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12469-013-0077-5.
Li, M., L. Jia, and Y. Wang. 2014. “Research and implementation on connectivity reliability calculation algorithm of urban rail transit network operation.” In Proc., 11th World Congress on Intelligent Control and Automation. New York: IEEE.
Liu, H. X., X. He, and B. He. 2009. “Method of successive weighted averages (MSWA) and self-regulated averaging schemes for solving stochastic user equilibrium problem.” Netw. Spat. Econ. 9 (4): 485–503. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11067-007-9023-x.
Liu, J., H. Lu, H. Ma, and Z. W. Liu. 2017. “Network vulnerability analysis of rail transit plans in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region considering connectivity reliability.” Sustainability 9 (8): 1479. https://doi.org/10.3390/su9081479.
Ma, Z., L. Ferreira, and M. Mesbah. 2013. “A framework for the development of bus service reliability measures.” In Proc., Australasian Transport Research Forum 2013. Brisbane, Australia: Australasian Transport Research Forum.
Mattsson, L. G., and E. Jenelius. 2015. “Vulnerability and resilience of transport systems-A discussion of recent research.” Transp. Res. Part A-Policy Pract. 81 (Nov): 16–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2015.06.002.
McMullan, A., and A. Majumdar. 2012. “Assessing the impact of travel path choice on London’s rail network using an automatic fare collection system.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2274 (1): 154–163. https://doi.org/10.3141/2274-17.
Morency, C., Martin Trépanier, and B. Agard. 2007. “Measuring transit use variability with smart-card data.” Transp. Policy 14 (3): 193–203. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2007.01.001.
Munizaga, M., C. Palma, and P. Mora. 2010. “Public transport OD matrix estimation from smart card payment system data.” In Proc., 12th World Conf. on Transport Research. Lisbon, Portugal: World Conference on Transport Research Society.
Pelletier, M. P., M. Trépanier, and C. Morency. 2011. “Smart card data use in public transit: A literature review.” Transp. Res. Part C-Emerg. Technol. 19 (4): 557–568. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2010.12.003.
Powell, W. B., and Y. Sheffi. 1982. “The convergence of equilibrium algorithms with predetermined step sizes.” Transp. Sci. 16 (1): 45–55.
Reddy, A., A. Lu, S. Kumar, V. Bashmakov, and S. Rudenko. 2009. “Application of entry-only automated fare collection (AFC) system data to infer ridership, rider destinations, unlinked trips, and passenger miles.” In Proc., 88th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board. Washington, DC: Transportation Research Board.
Reggiani, A., P. Nijkamp, and D. Lanzi. 2015. “Transport resilience and vulnerability: The role of connectivity.” Transp. Res. Part A-Policy Pract. 81 (Nov): 4–15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2014.12.012.
Schil, M. M. R. J. 2012. “Measuring journey time reliability in London using automated data collection systems.” M.S. thesis, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Shariat, A., and M. Babaei. 2013. “Optimal resource allocation in urban transportation networks considering capacity reliability and connectivity reliability: A multi-objective approach.” Int. J. Civ. Eng. 11 (1): 33–42.
Sun, J., and Q. C. Lu. 2015. “Vulnerability analysis of urban rail transit networks: A case study of Shanghai, China.” Sustainability 7 (6): 6919–6936. https://doi.org/10.3390/su7066919.
Sun, Y., and M. P. Schonfeld. 2016. “Schedule-based rail transit path-choice estimation using automatic fare collection data.” J. Transp. Eng. 142 (1): 04015037. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)TE.1943-5436.0000812.
Sun, Y., J. Shi, and M. P. Schonfeld. 2016. “Identifying passenger flow characteristics and evaluating travel time reliability by visualizing AFC data: A case study of Shanghai Metro.” J. Publ. Transp. 8 (3): 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12469-016-0137-8.
Sun, Y., and R. Xu. 2012. “Rail transit travel time reliability and estimation of passenger route choice behavior.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2275 (1): 58–67. https://doi.org/10.3141/2275-07.
Tavassoli, A., M. Mesbah, and A. Shobeirinejad. 2018. “Modelling passenger waiting time using large-scale automatic fare collection data: An Australian case study.” Transp. Res. Part F-Traffic Psychol. Behav. 58 (Oct): 500–510. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trf.2018.06.037.
Trépanier, M., R. Chapleau, and N. Tranchant. 2007. “Individual trip destination estimation in transit smart card automated fare collection system.” J. Intell. Transp. Syst. 11 (1): 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1080/15472450601122256.
Uniman, D., J. Attanucci, R. Mishalani, and N. Wilson. 2010. “Service reliability measurement using automated fare card data: Application to the London underground.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2143 (1): 92–99. https://doi.org/10.3141/2143-12.
Utsunomiya, M., J. Attanucci, and N. Wilson. 2006. “Potential uses of transit smart card registration and transaction data to improve transit planning.” Transp. Res. Rec. 1971 (1): 118–126. https://doi.org/10.1177/0361198106197100114.
Wakabayashi, H., and Y. Iida. 1992. “Upper and lower bounds of terminal reliability in road networks: An efficient method with Boolean algebra.” J. Nat. Disast. Sci. 14 (1): 29–44.
Wang, W., J. P. Attanucci, and N. H. Wilson. 2011. “Bus passenger origin-destination estimation and related analyses using automated data collection systems.” J. Publ. Transp. 14 (4): 131. https://doi.org/10.5038/2375-0901.14.4.7.
Wardman, M., and G. Whelan. 2011. “Twenty years of rail crowding valuation studies: Evidence from lessons from British experience.” Transp. Rev. 31 (3): 379–398. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2010.519127.
Woodard, D., G. Nogin, P. Koch, D. Racz, M. Goldszmidt, and E. Horvitz. 2017. “Predicting travel time reliability using mobile phone GPS data.” Transp. Res. Part C-Emerg. Technol. 75 (Feb): 30–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2016.10.011.
Yang, S., A. Malik, and Y-J. Wu. 2014. “Travel time reliability using the Hasofer-Lind-Rackwitz-Fiessler algorithm and kernel density estimation.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2442 (1): 85–95. https://doi.org/10.3141/2442-10.
Zhang, J. H., L. Hong, S. L. Wang, and X. Xu. 2011. “Reliability assessments of Chinese high speed railway network.” In Proc., IEEE Int. Conf. on Intelligent Rail Transportation. New York: IEEE.
Zhang, N., X. Pan, F. Chen, and Q. Fang. 2013. “Road network capacity reliability based on transfer hubs.” Procedia-Social Behav. Sci. 96 (Nov): 1976–1986. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2013.08.223.
Zhang, X., L. Jia, H. Dong, Z. Wang, K. Wang, and Y. Qin. 2009. “Analysis and evaluation of connectivity reliability for dynamic transportation network.” In Proc., 2009 5th Int. Joint Conf. on INC, IMS and IDC, 353–356. New York: IEEE.
Zhang, X., E. Miller-Hooks, and K. Denny. 2015. “Assessing the role of network topology in transportation network resilience.” J. Transp. Geogr. 46 (Jun): 35–45. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2015.05.006.
Zhang, Y.-S., and E.-J. Yao. 2015. “Splitting travel time based on AFC data: Estimating walking, waiting, transfer, and in-vehicle travel times in metro system.” Discrete Dyn. Nat. Soc. 2005 (1): 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1155/DDNS.2005.1.
Zhao, J., A. Rahbee, and N. H. Wilson. 2007. “Estimating a rail travel trip origin-destination matrix using automatic data collection systems.” Comput.-Aided Civ. Infrastruct. Eng. 22 (5): 376–387. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8667.2007.00494.x.
Zhu, W., H. Hu, and Z. Huang. 2014. “Calibrating rail transit assignment models with genetic algorithm and automated fare collection data.” Comput.-Aided Civ. Infrastruct. Eng. 29 (7): 518–530. https://doi.org/10.1111/mice.12075.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems
Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems
Volume 146Issue 6June 2020

History

Received: Mar 30, 2019
Accepted: Nov 20, 2019
Published online: Mar 27, 2020
Published in print: Jun 1, 2020
Discussion open until: Aug 27, 2020

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Ph.D. Candidate, School of Transportation and Logistics, National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation, Southwest Jiaotong Univ., Chengdu 610031, Sichuan, China. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1920-1043. Email: [email protected]
Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9621-2355. Email: [email protected]
Qiyuan Peng [email protected]
Professor, School of Transportation and Logistics, National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation, Southwest Jiaotong Univ., Chengdu 610031, Sichuan, China. Email: [email protected]
Assistant Professor, School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong Univ., National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation, Chengdu 610031, Sichuan, China (corresponding author). Email: [email protected]; [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share