Case Studies
Nov 30, 2018

Sea-Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment of Bicycle and Trail Networks

Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems
Volume 145, Issue 2

Abstract

Transportation infrastructure continues to be at risk to climate change impacts including sea-level rise (SLR) inundation. Past studies have primarily focused on motorized facilities; however, nonmotorized systems also are vulnerable, especially in urban areas where bicycle mobility is essential to commuting and accessibility. This research investigates the SLR vulnerability of bicycle facilities using geographic information systems (GIS) and related economic impacts. GIS is used to map the facilities and inundation layers based on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) SLR data. A vulnerability classification hierarchy is developed to showcase the level of impact for network links. A case study on Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, is provided as an example for how agencies can investigate bicycle facilities in their jurisdiction. Results show that at the 1.83 m (6 ft) inundation level, 57% of the offstreet trail mileage is part of a SLR affected link (at least one portion of the link is inundated) with 17% directly inundated, while 12% of the onstreet bike network mileage is considered a SLR affected link or a nonfunctional connector link.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

The authors want to thank Urban Engineers for providing guidance with portions of the bicycle facility pricing information.

References

Azevedo de Almeida, B., and A. Mostafavi. 2016. “Resilience of infrastructure systems to sea-level rise in coastal areas: Impacts, adaptation measures, and implementation challenges.” Sustainability 8 (11): 1115. https://doi.org/10.3390/su8111115.
Bamber, J., R. Riva, B. Vermeersen, and A. Lebrocq. 2009. “Reassessment of the potential sea level rise from a collapse of the west antarctic ice sheet.” Science 342 (5929): 901–903. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1169335.
BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics). 2018. “CPI Inflation calculator: Databases, tables & calculators by subject.” Accessed March 7, 2018. https://www.bls.gov/data/inflation_calculator.htm.
Buehler, R., T. Götschi, and M. Winters. 2016. “Moving toward active transportation: How policies can encourage walking and bicycling.” Accessed March 7, 2018. http://activelivingresearch.org/sites/default/files/ALR_Review_ActiveTransport_January2016.pdf.
Bushell, M., B. Poole, C. Zegeer, and D. Rodriguez. 2013. “Costs for pedestrian and bicyclist infrastructure improvements.” Accessed March 7, 2018. http://www.pedbikeinfo.org/cms/downloads/Countermeasure%20Costs_Report_Nov2013.pdf.
Camp, J., M. Abkowitz, G. Hornberger, L. Benneyworth, and J. C. Banks. 2013. “Climate change and freight-transportation infrastructure: Current challenges for adaptation.” J. Infrastruct. Syst. 19 (4): 363–370. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000151.
City of Philadelphia. 2016a. “Philadelphia planning: Complete streets types standards, PASDA.” Accessed November 30, 2017. http://www.pasda.psu.edu/uci/DataSummary.aspx?dataset=7043.
City of Philadelphia. 2016b. “Philadelphia planning: Existing trails, PASDA.” Accessed November 30, 2017. http://www.pasda.psu.edu/uci/DataSummary.aspx?dataset=7045.
City of Philadelphia. 2016c. “Philadelphia streets: Bike network, PASDA.” Accessed November 30, 2017. http://www.pasda.psu.edu/uci/DataSummary.aspx?dataset=7076.
DCNR. 2017. “Explore PA trails: Trails (line), PASDA.” Accessed November 30, 2017. http://www.pasda.psu.edu/uci/DataSummary.aspx?dataset=1550.
Englander, J. 2014. High tide on main street. Boca Raton, FL: The Science Bookshelf.
FHWA (Federal Highway Administration). 2017. “Climate change resilience pilots: 2016-2017.” Accessed March 7, 2018. https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/sustainability/resilience/pilots/index.cfm.
Gesch, D. B. 2009. “Analysis of lidar elevation data for improved identification and delineation of lands vulnerable to sea-level rise.” J. Coastal Res. 10053 (53): 49–58. https://doi.org/10.2112/SI53-006.1.
ICF International. 2014. Impacts of climate change and variability on transportation systems and infrastructure: The Gulf Coast study, Phase 2: Task 3.1, screening for vulnerability. Fairfax, VA: US DOT Center for Climate Change and Environmental Forecasting.
ICF International. 2015. “US DOT vulnerability assessment scoring tool.” Accessed July 18, 2018. https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/sustainability/resilience/tools/scoring_tools_guide/index.cfm.
ICF International. 2016. “US CMIP climate data processing tool.” Accessed November 30, 2017. https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/sustainability/resilience/tools/user_guide/index.cfm.
Kaufman, S., C. Qing, N. Levenson, and M. Hanson. 2012. “Transportation during and after hurricane sandy.” Accessed May 3, 2018. https://wagner.nyu.edu/files/rudincenter/sandytransportation.pdf.
Litman, T. 2017. “The economic value of walkability.” Accessed November 30, 2017. http://www.vtpi.org/walkability.pdf.
Lu, Q., and Z. Peng. 2011. “Vulnerability analysis of transportation network under scenarios of sea level rise.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2263: 174–181. https://doi.org/10.3141/2263-19.
Matherly, D., J. Carnegie, and J. Mobley. 2017. “Improving the resilience of transit systems threatened by natural disasters. Vol. 1: A guide.” Accessed March 7, 2018. http://www.nap.edu/24973.
Mohammadiziazi, R., A. Faghri, and M. Li. 2014. “Impacts of sea-level rise on nonmotorized transportation.” In Proc., Transportation Research Board 97th Annual Meeting (No. 18-04905). Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences.
NCST (National Center for Sustainable Transportation). 2017. “Climate adaptation and resiliency planning: Agency roles and workforce development needs.” Accessed March 7, 2018. https://ncst.ucdavis.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/NCST_Dowds_Climate-Adaption-Planning_Final-Report_OCT-2017.pdf.
NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration). 2017a. “Method description: Detailed method for mapping sea level rise inundation.” Accessed March 7, 2018. https://coast.noaa.gov/data/digitalcoast/pdf/slr-inundation-methods.pdf.
NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration). 2017b. “Sea level rise data download.” Accessed March 7, 2018. https://coast.noaa.gov/slrdata/.
NSF (National Science Foundation). 2017. Massive east Antarctic ice sheet has a history of instability: News release 17-117.” Accessed May 3, 2018. https://www.nsf.gov/news/news_summ.jsp?cntn_id=243902.
Office of Sustainability and ICF International. 2016. “Growing stronger: Toward a climate ready Philadelphia, City of Philadelphia.” Accessed May 3, 2018. https://beta.phila.gov/documents/growing-stronger-toward-a-climate-ready-philadelphia/.
Olsen, S. 2017. “Responding to the threat of sea level rise: Proceedings of forum.” Accessed March 7, 2018. https://www.nap.edu/read/24847/chapter/1.
Open Data Philly. 2014. “Bike network text metadata: City of Philadelphia bike network.” Accessed March 7, 2018. https://www.opendataphilly.org/dataset/bike-network/resource/2ec31c2d-069e-44ab-8d84-02c6aa42c21b.
Oswald, M., and S. McNeil. 2013a. “Climate change adaptation tool for transportation: Case study on the Mid-Atlantic Region.” J. Transp. Eng. 139 (4): 407–415. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)TE.1943-5436.0000515.
Oswald, M., and S. McNeil. 2013b. “Methodology for integrating adaptation to climate change into the transportation planning process.” Public Works Manage. Policy 18 (2): 145–166. https://doi.org/10.1177/1087724X12469016.
Oswald, M., and C. Treat. 2013c. “Assessing public transportation vulnerability to sea level rise: A case study application.” J. Public Transp. 16 (3): 59–77. https://doi.org/10.5038/2375-0901.16.3.4.
Oswald, M., and C. Treat. 2013d. “Identifying sea level rise vulnerability using GIS: Development of a transit inundation modeling method.” Int. J. Geoinf. 9 (1): 1–10.
Oswald Beiler, M., L. Marroquin, and S. McNeil. 2016. “State-of-the-practice assessment of adaptation practices across metropolitan planning organizations pre- and post-hurricane sandy.” Transp. Res. Part A 88: 163–174.
Poulter, B., and P. Halpin. 2008. “Raster modeling of coastal flooding from sea-level rise.” Int. J. Geog. Inf. Sci. 22 (2): 167–182. https://doi.org/10.1080/13658810701371858.
Shilling, F., J. Vandever, K. May, I. Gerhard, and R. Bregoff. 2016. “Adaptive planning for transportation corridors threatened by sea level rise.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2599: 9–16. https://doi.org/10.3141/2599-02.
Thomas, A., R. Watkins, C. Goodison, and R. Pierre-Jean. 2013. “Development of a geographic information system (GIS) tool for the preliminary assessment of the effects of predicted sea level and tidal change on transportation infrastructure.” Accessed May 3, 2018. http://ftp.sls.geoplan.ufl.edu/pub/sls/docs/FDOT_BDK75_977-63_Final_Technical_Report.pdf.
University of Florida GeoPlan Center. 2017. “Sea level rise sketch planning tool.” Accessed March 7, 2018. https://sls.geoplan.ufl.edu/.
US Census Bureau. 2017. “Maps and data.” Accessed March 7, 2018. https://www.census.gov/geo/maps-data/data/cbf/cbf_counties.html.
USEPA (US Environmental Protection Agency). 2016. “Climate change indicators in the United States.” Accessed March 7, 2018. https://19january2017snapshot.epa.gov/climate-indicators/downloads-indicators-report_.html.
US Global Change Research Program. 2017. “Climate science special report: Fourth national climate assessment.” Accessed March 7, 2018. https://science2017.globalchange.gov/.
WRI (World Resources Institute). 2012. “Impacts of hurricane sandy and the climate change connection.” Accessed May 3, 2018. https://www.wri.org/sites/default/files/pdf/sandy_fact_sheet.pdf.
Yoskowitz, D., T. Gibeaut, and A. McKenzie. 2009. “The socio-economic impact of sea level rise in the Galveston Bay Region.” Accessed May 3, 2018. https://www.edf.org/sites/default/files/9901_EDF_Sea_Level_Rise_Report.pdf.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems
Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems
Volume 145Issue 2February 2019

History

Received: May 21, 2018
Accepted: Aug 10, 2018
Published online: Nov 30, 2018
Published in print: Feb 1, 2019
Discussion open until: Apr 30, 2019

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Michelle R. Oswald Beiler, M.ASCE [email protected]
Associate Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Bucknell Univ., 1 Dent Dr., Lewisburg, PA 17837 (corresponding author). Email: [email protected]
Greg Miller [email protected]
Undergraduate Research Assistant, Bucknell Univ., 1 Dent Dr., Lewisburg, PA 17837. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share