Research Article
Jun 1981
Delphi Methods: Theory and Design Load Application
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VIEW THE REPLYPublication: Journal of the Structural Division
Volume 107, Issue 6
Abstract
The Delphi method of highly structured group communication is described. The method is characterized by anonymity of responses from a panel of experts, controlled feedback with a statistical description of responses, and multiple iterations to reach a consensus. It is designed to extract the maximum unbiased information in reaching the most reliable results. The basic philosophy, historical development and relevance of the method to structural design loads are addressed. The Delphi method is applied to the revision of design live loads for American National Standard A58, Building Code Requirements for Minimum Design Loads in Buildings and Other Structures. A panel of 25 outstanding structural engineers was formed and two interactions used to produce final recommended changes to the standard. A detailed discussion of the conduct of the Delphi and the implementation of the changes is included. The method offers potential for additional application in structural engineering.
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Information
Published In
Journal of the Structural Division
Volume 107 • Issue 6 • June 1981
Pages: 1095 - 1105
Copyright
© 1981 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published in print: Jun 1981
Published online: Feb 1, 2021
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Authors
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Ross B. Corotis, M.ASCE
Prof. of Civ. Engrg., The Technological Inst., Northwestern Univ., Evanston, Ill. 60201
John C. Harris
Structural Analyst; United Computing systems, Inc., Chicago, Ill.
Raymond R. Fox, F.ASCE
Prof. of Civ. Engrg., George Washington Univ., Washington, D.C., also Assoc., Dames and Moore, Washington, D.C.
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ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.