Abstract

In the United States, coal, natural gas, and oil stand as primary contributors to carbon emissions. The transition toward carbon-free energy sources has significantly reduced the demand for conventional fossil fuels while also significantly altering its labor market environment. This concurrently opens a good number of job prospects in low-carbon energy production sectors. Consequently, navigating this labor force transition requires informed decisions. This research aims to explore the economic impacts of this transition using the state of Wyoming as a case study, a state at the forefront of moving from fossil fuel reliance to embracing low-carbon energy sources. Through an in-depth analysis, including autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) modeling, this paper explored the retraining needs of workers in each sector, the associated costs, and the current state of Wyoming’s workforce. The results of the analysis showed that the coal mine sector and oil and gas industries face significant workforce migration pressures with a relatively higher number of workers who need to be migrated, whereas coal power plants are less affected. With Wyoming found to be at the “take-off” phase, ready to accelerate into a new energy paradigm, a relatively modest investment ranging from $3,060 to $7,201, per worker, can facilitate this transition. This research provides critical insights into managing workforce transitions, informing strategic decisions for a sustainable shift from fossil fuels energy production to low-carbon energy production. This research could assist government agencies in the establishment of workforce transition initiatives in the energy production industries and beyond. This research potentially offers a practical framework for understanding the intricacies of workforce transitioning that could be utilized for other sectors such as the architecture, engineering, and construction (AEC) sector.

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Data Availability Statement

The raw data sets generated for this study are derived from publicly available sources and direct inquiries. Data sets regarding the wage statistics, skills requirements, education requirements, experience requirements, duration of worker training, and the associated tuition for training workers that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Acknowledgments

This study was supported by the Intermountain West Energy Sustainability and Transitions (I-WEST) Project Initiative with project number “DOE Award #LANL-AE-388-361.” The content and views of the paper are solely those of the authors.

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Go to Journal of Management in Engineering
Journal of Management in Engineering
Volume 40Issue 6November 2024

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Received: Jan 9, 2024
Accepted: Jun 13, 2024
Published online: Aug 29, 2024
Published in print: Nov 1, 2024
Discussion open until: Jan 29, 2025

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Associate Professor, Dept. of Civil and Architectural Engineering and Construction Management, Univ. of Wyoming, Laramie, WY 82071-2000 (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9190-2282. Email: [email protected]
Graduate Student, School of Management, China Univ. of Mining and Technology, Beijing 100083, China. Email: [email protected]
Selena Gerace [email protected]
Research Scientist, School of Energy Resources, Univ. of Wyoming, Laramie, WY 82071-2000. Email: [email protected]
Research Assistant, Dept. of Civil and Architectural Engineering and Construction Management, Univ. of Wyoming, Laramie, WY 82071-2000. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0004-0102-6453. Email: [email protected]
Professor Emeritus, Dept. of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental Engineering, Illinois Institute of Technology, Chicago, IL 60616-3793. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1580-324X. Email: [email protected]
Wensheng Wang, Ph.D. [email protected]
Professor, School of Management, China Univ. of Mining and Technology, Beijing 100083, China. Email: [email protected]

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