Research Article
Oct 1979

First-Crossing of Second-Moment Random Sequences

Publication: Journal of the Engineering Mechanics Division
Volume 105, Issue 5

Abstract

The second-moment approach to safety is extended to cases when malperformance is modeled as a first-crossing event of a random sequence. For this purpose, one needs to calculate Tchebysheff's bounds to the probability that any component of a random vector with given mean value and covariance matrix exceeds a critical value. Theoretical results include improved Tchebysheff's bounds for the crossing probability of both stationary and nonstationary second-moment sequences. Numerical results are given in terms of neq, being the length of an equivalent uncorrelated stationary sequence with the same Tchebysheff bound.

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Published In

Journal of the Engineering Mechanics Division
Volume 105Issue 5October 1979
Pages: 747 - 759

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Published in print: Oct 1979
Published online: Feb 3, 2021

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Daniele Veneziano, AM.ASCE
Assoc. Prof. of Civ. Engrg., Massachusetts Inst. of Tech., Cambridge, Mass.

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