Technical Papers
Mar 8, 2023

Reliability Analysis of Structures by Active Learning Enhanced Sparse Bayesian Regression

Publication: Journal of Engineering Mechanics
Volume 149, Issue 5

Abstract

Adaptive sampling near a limit state is important for metamodeling-based reliability analysis of structures involving an implicit limit state function. Active learning based on the posterior mean and standard deviation provided by a chosen metamodel is widely used for such adaptive sampling. Most studies on active learning-based reliability estimation methods use the Kriging approach, which provides prediction along with its variance. As with the Kriging approach, sparse Bayesian learning-based regression also provides posterior mean and standard deviation. Due to the sparsity involved in learning, it is expected to be computationally faster than the Kriging approach. Motivated by this, active learning-enhanced adaptive sampling-based sparse Bayesian regression is explored in the present study for reliability analysis. In doing so, polynomial basis functions, which do not involve free parameters, are chosen for the sparse Bayesian regression to avoid computationally expensive parameter tuning. The convergence of the proposed approach is attained based on the stabilization of 10 consecutive failure estimates. The effectiveness of the proposed adaptive sparse Bayesian regression approach is illustrated numerically with five examples.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Data Availability Statement

All data, models, or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

References

Bichon, B. J., M. S. Eldred, L. P. Swiler, S. Mahadevan, and J. M. McFarland. 2008. “Efficient global reliability analysis for nonlinear implicit performance functions.” AIAA J. 46 (10): 2459–2468. https://doi.org/10.2514/1.34321.
Blatman, G., and B. Sudret. 2010. “An adaptive algorithm to build up sparse polynomial chaos expansions for stochastic finite element analysis.” Probab. Eng. Mech. 25 (2): 183–197. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.probengmech.2009.10.003.
Changcong, Z., L. Zhenzhou, Z. Feng, and Y. Zhufeng. 2015. “An adaptive reliability method combining relevance vector machine and importance sampling.” Struct. Multidiscip. Optim. 52 (5): 945–957. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00158-015-1287-z.
Cheng, K., and Z. Lu. 2021. “Adaptive Bayesian support vector regression model for structural reliability analysis.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 206 (Feb): 107286. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107286.
Choi, S.-K., R. V. Grandhi, and R. A. Canfield. 2007. Reliability-based structural design. London: Springer-Verlag.
Deng, J. 2006. “Structural reliability analysis for implicit performance function using radial basis function network.” Int. J. Solids Struct. 43 (11–12): 3255–3291. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijsolstr.2005.05.055.
Ditlevsen, O., and H. O. Madsen. 2005. Structural reliability methods. Chichester, UK: Wiley.
Dubourg, V., B. Sudret, and J. M. Bourinet. 2011. “Reliability-based design optimization using kriging surrogates and subset simulation.” Struct. Multidiscip. Optim. 44 (5): 673–690. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00158-011-0653-8.
Echard, B., N. Gayton, and M. Lemaire. 2011. “AK-MCS: An active learning reliability method combining Kriging and Monte Carlo Simulation.” Struct. Saf. 33 (2): 145–154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2011.01.002.
Echard, B., N. Gayton, M. Lemaire, and N. Relun. 2013. “A combined importance sampling and Kriging reliability method for small failure probabilities with time-demanding numerical models.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 111 (Mar): 232–240. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2012.10.008.
Faravelli, L. 1989. “Response-surface approach for reliability analysis.” J. Eng. Mech. 115 (12): 2763–2781. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9399(1989)115:12(2763).
Ghosh, S., A. Roy, and S. Chakraborty. 2018. “Support vector regression based metamodeling for seismic reliability analysis of structures.” Appl. Math. Modell. 64 (Dec): 584–602. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2018.07.054.
Haldar, A., and S. Mahadevan. 2000. Probability, reliability, and statistical methods in engineering design. New York: Wiley.
Hosni Elhewy, A., E. Mesbahi, and Y. Pu. 2006. “Reliability analysis of structures using neural network method.” Probab. Eng. Mech. 21 (1): 44–53. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.probengmech.2005.07.002.
Huang, X., J. Chen, and H. Zhu. 2016. “Assessing small failure probabilities by AK-SS: An active learning method combining Kriging and subset simulation.” Struct. Saf. 59 (Mar): 86–95. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2015.12.003.
Kaymaz, I. 2005. “Application of kriging method to structural reliability problems.” Struct. Saf. 27 (2): 133–151. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2004.09.001.
Keshtegar, B. 2017. “A hybrid conjugate finite-step length method for robust and efficient reliability analysis.” Appl. Math. Modell. 45 (May): 226–237. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2016.12.027.
Kim, C., S. Wang, and K. K. Choi. 2005. “Efficient response surface modeling by using moving least-squares method and sensitivity.” AIAA J. 43 (11): 2404–2411. https://doi.org/10.2514/1.12366.
Lagaros, N. D., Y. Tsompanakis, P. N. Psarropoulos, and E. C. Georgopoulos. 2009. “Computationally efficient seismic fragility analysis of geostructures.” Comput. Struct. 87 (19–20): 1195–1203. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compstruc.2008.12.001.
Li, H. S., Z. Lü, Z. F. Yue, Z. Z. Lu, and Z. F. Yue. 2006. “Support vector machine for structural reliability analysis.” Appl. Math. Mech. 27 (10): 1295–1303. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10483-006-1001-z.
Li, T. Z., Q. Pan, and D. Dias. 2021. “Active learning relevant vector machine for reliability analysis.” Appl. Math. Modell. 89 (Jan): 381–399. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2020.07.034.
Marelli, S., and B. Sudret. 2018. “An active-learning algorithm that combines sparse polynomial chaos expansions and bootstrap for structural reliability analysis.” Struct. Saf. 75 (Nov): 67–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2018.06.003.
Mathur, S., and P. Samui. 2013. “Application of relevance vector machine for structural reliability analysis.” In Proc., of Int. Conf. on Advances in Civil Engineering, 961–967. New Delhi, India: Indian Society of Technical Education.
Metya, S., T. Mukhopadhyay, S. Adhikari, and G. Bhattacharya. 2017. “System reliability analysis of soil slopes with general slip surfaces using multivariate adaptive regression splines.” Comput. Geotech. 87 (Jul): 212–228. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compgeo.2017.02.017.
Rackwitz, R. 2001. “Reliability analysis-a review and some perspective.” Struct. Saf. 23 (4): 365–395. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-4730(02)00009-7.
Roy, A., and S. Chakraborty. 2020. “Support vector regression based metamodel by sequential adaptive sampling for reliability analysis of structures.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 200 (Aug): 106948. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.106948.
Roy, A., R. Manna, and S. Chakraborty. 2019. “Support vector regression based metamodeling for structural reliability analysis.” Probab. Eng. Mech. 55 (Jan): 78–89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.11.001.
Schöbi, R., B. Sudret, and S. Marelli. 2017. “Rare event estimation using polynomial-chaos kriging.” ASCE-ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Eng. Syst. Part A: Civ. Eng. 3 (2): D4016002. https://doi.org/10.1061/AJRUA6.0000870.
Tipping, M. E. 2001. “Sparse Bayesian learning and the relevance vector machine.” J. Mach. Learn. Res. 1 (3): 211–244.
Tipping, M. E., and A. C. Faul. 2003. “Fast marginal likelihood maximisation for sparse bayesian models hyper-spectral classification view project fast marginal likelihood maximisation for sparse bayesian models.” In Proc., 9th Int. Workshop on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, edited by B. J. Bishop and C. M. Frey. Key West, FL: Society for Artificial Intelligence and Statistics.
Wang, Z., and A. Shafieezadeh. 2019. “ESC: An efficient error-based stopping criterion for kriging-based reliability analysis methods.” Struct. Multidiscip. Optim. 59 (5): 1621–1637. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00158-018-2150-9.
Xu, C., W. Chen, J. Ma, Y. Shi, and S. Lu. 2020. “AK-MSS: An adaptation of the AK-MCS method for small failure probabilities.” Struct. Saf. 86 (Sep): 101971. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2020.101971.
Zhang, X., L. Wang, and J. D. Sørensen. 2020. “AKOIS: An adaptive Kriging oriented importance sampling method for structural system reliability analysis.” Struct. Saf. 82 (Jan): 101876. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2019.101876.
Zhou, C., Z. Lu, and X. Yuan. 2013. “Use of relevance vector machine in structural reliability analysis.” J. Aircr. 50 (6): 1726–1733. https://doi.org/10.2514/1.C031950.
Zhou, Y., Z. Lu, and W. Yun. 2020. “Active sparse polynomial chaos expansion for system reliability analysis.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 202 (Oct): 107025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107025.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Engineering Mechanics
Journal of Engineering Mechanics
Volume 149Issue 5May 2023

History

Received: Sep 14, 2022
Accepted: Jan 16, 2023
Published online: Mar 8, 2023
Published in print: May 1, 2023
Discussion open until: Aug 8, 2023

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Dept. of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Engineering Science and Technology, Shibpur, Howrah, West Bengal 711103, India. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7353-3903. Email: [email protected]
Subrata Chakraborty, Ph.D., M.ASCE [email protected]
Dept. of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Engineering Science and Technology, Shibpur, Howrah, West Bengal 711103, India (corresponding author). Email: [email protected]
Sondipon Adhikari, Ph.D. [email protected]
James Watt School of Engineering, Univ. of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

  • Reliability Updating Method with Copula-Based Weighted Low-Discrepancy Samplings, Journal of Engineering Mechanics, 10.1061/JENMDT.EMENG-7529, 150, 5, (2024).

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share