Research Article
Dec 1981
Project Selection under Risk
Authors: Roozbeh Kangari and L. T. Boyer, M.ASCEAuthor Affiliations
Publication: Journal of the Construction Division
Volume 107, Issue 4
Abstract
Three methods for the selection of construction projects are presented including, weighted average cost of capital, portfolio approach, and market model approach. The weighted average cost of capital fails to consider the individual risk of projects, therefore modification is required. A new portfolio analysis and its implication in construction projects is presented. Standard deviation and expected value of net present value are considered to be an appropriate approach in portfolio analysis. Difficulty arises in evaluating the coefficient of correlation when the number of projects increases, and utility function of the decision maker that can be derived only under restricted conditions. The market model approach considers company, industry, and market related factors and in conjunction with experienced managerial judgment allows the most appropriate selection of projects. This model eliminated some of the difficulties of the portfolio approach.
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Information
Published In
Journal of the Construction Division
Volume 107 • Issue 4 • December 1981
Pages: 597 - 608
Copyright
© 1981 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published in print: Dec 1981
Published online: Feb 11, 2021
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Authors
Affiliations
Roozbeh Kangari
Teaching Asst., Dept. of Civ. Engrg., Univ. of Illinois at Urbana, Ill. 61801
L. T. Boyer, M.ASCE
Assoc. Prof., Dept. of Civ. Engrg., Univ. of Illinois at Urbana, 3149 Newmark Civ. Engrg. Lab, 208 North Romine Street, Urbana, Ill. 61801
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ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.