Research Article
Jan 1976
Inductive Approaches to Structural Safety
Publication: Engineering Issues: Journal of Professional Activities
Volume 102, Issue 1
Abstract
The limitations of conventional systems of (structural) safety, which are based on the definition: safety: mathematical reliability, are pointed out. In substitution, more general inductive systems are proposed which consider safety as a subjective feeling, inclusive of sociological and psychological conditionings; human judgement is an essential linking element of these systems. The widely documented suboptimality of human inference, when compared with normative rules is considered, and ways are suggested to improve its coherence by using Bayes' theorem in various formulations. Descriptive models of human information processing are also reviewed. The opinion is expressed that inductive models create an appropriate ground on which probabilistic and nonprobabilistic approaches to (structural) safety can be reconciled.
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Published In
Engineering Issues: Journal of Professional Activities
Volume 102 • Issue 1 • January 1976
Pages: 81 - 97
Copyright
© 1976 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published in print: Jan 1976
Published online: Feb 10, 2021
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Authors
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Daniele Veneziano, AM.ASCE
Asst. Prof., Dept. of Civ. Engrg., Massachusetts Inst. of Tech., Cambridge, Mass.
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Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.