Failure Probability of Transverse Surface Settlement Induced by EPB Shield Tunneling in Clayey Soils
Publication: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 4, Issue 3
Abstract
This paper compiles a database consisting of 16 tunnel excavation projects in clayey soils using the earth pressure balance (EPB) tunneling method. Statistical analysis of the data is performed and the probability distributions for ground loss ratio and fitting parameter , which are two major parameters in Peck’s formula for transverse surface settlement, are identified based on 78 and 29 points of field data, respectively. The correlation between and is fitted based on the data and its influences on the failure probability is evaluated. A serviceability performance function is modeled based on Peck’s settlement formula, and the serviceability failure probability is defined and analyzed with Monte Carlo simulations. A series of design charts, in terms of tunnel diameter, cover/diameter ratio, , and , are generated for practical uses without running Monte Carlo simulations.
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Acknowledgments
The research was supported by the National Advanced Technology Research and Development Program of China (2012AA041802, 2012AA041803), and the Open Research Foundation of the State Key Laboratory of Shield Machine and Boring Technology of China (#2014-01). The authors thank the contractor for providing and allowing the use of the detailed information of the example project.
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Published In
ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 4 • Issue 3 • September 2018
Copyright
©2018 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Dec 22, 2017
Accepted: Mar 29, 2018
Published online: Jun 30, 2018
Published in print: Sep 1, 2018
Discussion open until: Nov 30, 2018
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