Chapter
May 16, 2024

Evaluating the Performance of Sequence-to-Sequence LSTM Model in Streamflow Modeling under the Beas River, India

Publication: World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2024

ABSTRACT

Accurate streamflow forecasting is crucial for effectively managing the water related disasters. However, there exist several challenges as the data exhibit multitude of nonlinearity. For this endeavor, various physics based and machine-learning approaches have been investigated with the aim to improve the accuracy. Recently, deep learning techniques such as long short-term memory (LSTM) and sequence-to-sequence (seq2seq) have proven to yield better results capturing the nonlinear time series patterns. This paper focused on exploring the potential of LSTM-seq2seq model for the streamflow forecasting. To demonstrate the proposed method, the data such as daily rainfall, average temperatures streamflow from Beas River watershed, located in the Indian Himalayan region were used. The model performance was found to be good having the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.98, correlation coefficient of 0.86, Kling-Gupta Efficiency of 0.88, and mean absolute error of 79.65 cumecs.

Get full access to this chapter

View all available purchase options and get full access to this chapter.

REFERENCES

Adeloye, A. J., Soundharajan, B. S., Ojha, C. S. P., and Remesan, R. (2016). Effect of hedging-integrated rule curves on the performance of the pong reservoir (India) during scenario-neutral climate change perturbations. Water Resources Management, 30(2), 445–470. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-015-1171-z.
Hafi, A. (1995). This document is discoverable and free to researchers across the globe due to the work of AgEcon Search. Help ensure our sustainability. facto rs Influencing Price of Agricultural Products and Stability Counte. AgEcon Search, 18.
Beven, K. (1989). Changing ideas in hydrology - The case of physically-based models. Journal of Hydrology, 105(1–2). https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(89)90101-7.
Beven, K. J., and Kirkby, M. J. (1979). A physically based, variable contributing area model of basin hydrology. Hydrological Sciences Bulletin, 24(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667909491834.
Castellarin, A., et al. (2013). Prediction of flow duration curves in ungauged basins. In Runoff Prediction in Ungauged Basins. https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781139235761.010.
Faudzi, A. A. M., Raslan, M. M., and Alias, N. E. (2023). IoT based real-time monitoring system of rainfall and water level for flood prediction using LSTM Network. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1143(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1143/1/012015.
Gers, F. A., Schmidhuber, J., and Cummins, F. (2000). Learning to forget: Continual prediction with LSTM. Neural Computation, 12(10), 2451–2471. https://doi.org/10.1162/089976600300015015.
Gupta, H. V., Sorooshian, S., and Yapo, P. O. (1999). Status of Automatic Calibration for Hydrologic Models: Comparison with Multilevel Expert Calibration. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 4(2), 135–143. https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)1084-0699(1999)4:2(135).
Hochreiter, S., and Schmidhuber, J. (1997). Long Short Term Memory. Neural Computation. Neural Computation, 9(8), 1735–1780.
Iverson, B. L., and Dervan, P. B. (n.d.). No 主観的健康感を中心とした在宅高齢者における 健康関連指標に関する共分散構造分析Title. 7823–7830.
Lecun, Y., Bengio, Y., and Hinton, G. (2015). Deep learning. Nature, 521(7553), 436–444. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature14539.
Milly, P. C. D., Betancourt, J., Falkenmark, M., Hirsch, R. M., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Lettenmaier, D. P., and Stouffer, R. J. (2008). Climate change: Stationarity is dead: Whither water management? In Science (Vol. 319, Issue 5863). https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1151915.
Nash, J. E., and Sutcliffe, J. V. (1970). River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I - A discussion of principles. Journal of Hydrology, 10(3). https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(70)90255-6.
Ncube, S., Beevers, L., Adeloye, A. J., and Visser, A. (2018). Assessment of freshwater ecosystem services in the Beas River Basin, Himalayas region, India. Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences, 379, 67–72. https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-67-2018.
Rasheed, Z., Aravamudan, A., Gorji Sefidmazgi, A., Anagnostopoulos, G. C., and Nikolopoulos, E. I. (2022). Advancing flood warning procedures in ungauged basins with machine learning. Journal of Hydrology, 609. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127736.
Van Houdt, G., Mosquera, C., and Nápoles, G. (2020). A review on the long short-term memory model. Artificial Intelligence Review, 53(8), 5929–5955. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-020-09838-1.
Zamani, M. G., Nikoo, M. R., Rastad, D., and Nematollahi, B. (2023). A comparative study of data-driven models for runoff, sediment, and nitrate forecasting. Journal of Environmental Management, 341. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118006.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2024
World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2024
Pages: 94 - 104

History

Published online: May 16, 2024

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

ASCE Technical Topics:

Authors

Affiliations

Natnael Melke Bayabil [email protected]
1Water Resource Development and Management, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, Uttarakhand, India. Email: [email protected]
K. S. Kasiviswanathan [email protected]
2Associate Professor, Dept. of Water Resource Development and Management, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, India. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Paper
$35.00
Add to cart
Buy E-book
$286.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Paper
$35.00
Add to cart
Buy E-book
$286.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share