Chapter
May 9, 2024

Alaskan Pavement Resilience: Navigating Climate Change in Cold Regions

Publication: Cold Regions Engineering 2024: Sustainable and Resilient Engineering Solutions for Changing Cold Regions

ABSTRACT

The global phenomenon of climate change has led to significant environmental transformations, particularly affecting cold regions due to their extreme temperature dynamics. Among the critical elements facing the consequences of climate change in these regions are pavement structures, essential components of roadway, and airport infrastructure. This study explores the repercussions of climate change on pavement structures within cold regions, focusing specifically on shifts in temperature patterns and, subsequently, frost depth. Through the analysis of temperature records, this research investigates the annual average temperatures, emphasizing trends spanning multiple decades. Complementary to this, freezing degree day data are utilized to compute frost penetration depths and establish average trends over the same extended timeframe. By comparing three prominent Alaskan regions in terms of both temperature variations and frost penetration, the study aims to discern the direct implications of climate change. The regression analysis reveals noteworthy statistical changes in frost penetration depths across all studied locations. Projecting from current trends, future estimates for frost penetration indicate potential variations of around 15 cm over a 40-year period, contingent on the region. This study not only investigates if tangible effects of climate change on pavement structures exist but also offers valuable insights into potential long-term consequences for infrastructure in cold regions.

Get full access to this chapter

View all available purchase options and get full access to this chapter.

REFERENCES

Alaska Department of Transportation and Public Facilities. (2020). Alaska Flexible Pavement Design Manual. Version 2.
Alaska Department of Transportation and Public Facilities, “Department Fast Facts: Prepared for Legislative Session 2022”, https://dot.alaska.gov/comm/legislative/docs/Fact-Sheet.pdf
Alaska Department of Transportation and Public Facilities. DOT&PF Regions Map. Retrieved January 2023, from https://dot.alaska.gov/regions-portal.shtml.
Eyring, V., Bony, S., Meehl, G.A., Senior, C.A., Stevens, B., Stouffer, R.J., and Taylor, K.E. (2016). Overview of the coupled model intercomparison project phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization. Geoscientific Model Development, 9(5),1937–1958.
IPCC, 2018: Summary for Policymakers. In: Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty Writing Team, Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pörtner, H.-O., Roberts, D., Skea, J., Shukla, P.R., Pirani, A., Moufouma-Okia, W., Péan, C., Pidcock, R., Connors, S., Matthews, J.B.R., Chen, Y., Zhou, X., Gomis, M.I., Lonnoy, E., Maycock, T., Tignor, M., and Waterfield, T. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, pp. 3-24,.
Lang, R. (n.d.). Freezing Degree Days. Anchorage. Retrieved January 2022.
Larson, P.H., Goldsmith, S., Smith, O., Wilson, M.L., Strzepek, K., Chinowsky, P., and Sayor, B. (2008). “Estimating future costs for Alaska public infrastructure at risk from climate change,” Global Environmental Change, Vol 18, Issue 3 pp. 442–457.
National Cooperative Highway Research Program, Burbank, C. J., and Brinckerhoff, P. (2009). 20-24(59) Strategies for Reducing the Impacts of Surface Transportation on Global Climate Change. Washington, D.C.
National Cooperative Highway Research Program, Meyer, M. D., Flood, M. (2015). 25-25(94) Integrating Extreme Weather into Transportation Asset Management Plans. Washington, D.C.
National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration. Retrieved March 26, 2022, from https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/search/data-search/daily-summaries.
Piryonesi, S.M., and El-Diraby, T. (2021). “Climate change impact on infrastructure: A machine learning solution for predicting pavement condition index,” Construction and Building Materials, Vol. 306, Article 124905.
Qiao, Y., Dawson, A.R., Parry, T., Flintsch, G., and Wang, W. (2020). “Flexible Pavements and Climate Change: A Comprehensive Review and Implications,” Sustainability. 12(3):1057.
Simonsen, E., Janoo, V.C., and Isacsson, U. (2002). “Resilient Properties of Unbound Road Materials during Seasonal Frost Conditions,” Journal of Cold Regions Engineering, Vol 16, Issue 1.
Soliman, H., Kass, S., and Fleury, N. (2008). Annual Conference of the Transportation Association of Canada. A Simplified Model to Predict Frost Penetration for Manitoba Soils. Toronto.
Stewart, B.C., Kunkel, K.E., Champion, S.M., Frankson, R., Stevens, L.E., Wendler, G., Simonson, J., and Stuefer, M. (2022). Alaska State Climate Summary 2022. NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 150-AK. NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD, 6 pp.
Stern, D.I., and Kaufmann, R.K. (2014). Anthropogenic and natural causes of climate change. Climatic Change 122, 257–269.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Cold Regions Engineering 2024
Cold Regions Engineering 2024: Sustainable and Resilient Engineering Solutions for Changing Cold Regions
Pages: 438 - 449

History

Published online: May 9, 2024

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

ASCE Technical Topics:

Authors

Affiliations

Robert P. Halcomb, P.E. [email protected]
Osama Abaza, Ph.D., CEng. [email protected]
Professor, Civil Engineering Dept., Univ. of Alaska Anchorage. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Paper
$35.00
Add to cart
Buy E-book
$114.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Paper
$35.00
Add to cart
Buy E-book
$114.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share