Sixth International Conference on Transportation Engineering
Analysis of Influencing Factors of Intercity Passenger Residence Time Based on Survival Analysis Theory
Publication: ICTE 2019
ABSTRACT
The residence time of intercity passengers is an important factor affecting the frequency of intercity railway departures, and it also reflects the service level of stations to a certain extent. However, due to the unique statistical properties and complexity of the residence time, the censored, and non-negative in the data processing process frequently appear, which causes scholars to encounter bottlenecks when studying the problem in depth. Based on this, this paper considers the advantages of biomathematics in dealing with such data. It is proposed to introduce a parametric survival analysis model in biology to study the factors affecting passenger residence time and establish a passenger residence time evaluation system to determine the weight of each impact factor. At the same time, with the help of SPSS, the method of survival analysis Cox semi-parametric model is used to test the model parameters. The test results show that the model fits well. In the course of the research, this paper considers a number of characteristic variables related to passengers. The results show that the degree of influence of the transfer tool, the purpose of the trip, and the source of the cost on the passenger's residence time increases one by one. Moreover, the income level, age, and education level of passengers also have a certain degree of influence on the residence time of passengers. At the end of the paper, the significance of the research results on station management decision-making is analyzed separately.
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 61803147), the Key Scientific and Technological Project of Henan Province (No. 182102310799), the Foundation of Henan Educational Committee (No. 18A580003), the Fundamental Research Funds for the Universities of Henan Province (NSFRF180417) and the Key Projects of College Students’ Innovation Training Program in Henan Province (No.201810460025).
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Information & Authors
Information
Published In
ICTE 2019
Pages: 324 - 333
Editors: Xiaobo Liu, Ph.D., Southwest Jiaotong University, Qiyuan Peng, Ph.D., Southwest Jiaotong University, and Kelvin C. P. Wang, Ph.D., Oklahoma State University
ISBN (Online): 978-0-7844-8274-2
Copyright
© 2020 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published online: Jan 13, 2020
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