Chapter
May 31, 2018
World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2018

A Study on Regional Frequency Analysis of Annual and Seasonal Rainfall in Mississippi and Alabama

Publication: World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2018: Watershed Management, Irrigation and Drainage, and Water Resources Planning and Management

ABSTRACT

The study objective was to develop rainfall frequency estimates for seasonal (3-month) and annual duration for the Tombigbee River Basin (TRB) in Mississippi and Alabama and implement results to determine the probability to end a drought in the study area. Research goal was accomplished by following the procedure outlined by Hosking and Wallis and using the International Center for Integrated Water Resources (ICIWaRM) Regional Analysis Frequency Tool (ICI-RAFT). Regional frequency methods based on L-moment were derived for the Pearson type III (PE3), log-Pearson type III (LPE), log-normal (LNO), and the general extreme value (GEV) distributions. For the winter season and the 12-month duration dataset, the PE3 distribution clearly provided best fit when the TRB was considered a homogeneous region. For the summer and fall seasons duration analysis, the LNO and the GEV distributions, respectively, met the criterion of |z|≤1.64, which corresponds to the failure to reject the hypothesized distribution at a confidence interval of 90%. The determination of the probability of precipitation to end a drought was based on the published maps and datasets from the NOAA-NCDC. A regional index flood model was developed for the four 3-month seasonal duration and for the 12-month duration. One regional scheme (TRB as one homogeneous region) was validated and used to the performance of the complete analysis. The regional frequency method and the use of ICI-RAFT are convenient for delivering reliable and reproducible estimates of rainfall frequencies over areas with big extension such as the TRB. Combining the evaluated methodology and computational tools, producing rainfall intensity-frequency-duration estimates would help in updating existing estimates, which are considered for use in the design of storm water management facilities and water supply. Research results can be used as an aid in decisions regarding implementation of water conservation or allocation.

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REFERENCES

American Meteorological Society. (1996). Policy Statetment on Meterological Drought. Online at http://www.ametsoc.org/policy/drought.html#*(accessed April 13, 2013).
Dalrymple, T. (1960). Flood Frequency Analysis. USGS, Water Supply Paper 1543-A.
Giovannettone, J.P. and Wright. (2013). ICI-RAFT Regional Analysis of Frequency Tool. Quick Start Guide. US Army Corps of Engineers. Institute for Water Resources. 28 pp.
Giovannettone, andM. Wright. (2013a). ICI-RAFT Regional Analysis of Frequency Tool. User’s Manual. US Army Corps of Engineers. Institute for Water Resources. 50 pp.
Hosking, (1990). L-Moments: Analysis and estimation of distributions using linear combinations of order statistics. J. Roy. Statist. Soc., Ser B, 52, 105–124.
Hosking, J. R. M. and J. R. Wallis. (1997). Regional Frequency Analysis: An Approach Based on L-Moments. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
Karl, T., F. Quinlan, and D.S. Ezell. (1987). Drought termination and amelioration: Its climatological probability. Journal of Climate and applied meteorology. 9(26), 1198–1209.
Madsen, H., C.P. Pearson, and D. Rosberg. (1997). Comparison of annual maximum series and partial duration series methods for modeling extreme hydrologic events, 2. Regional Modeling. Water Resources Research, 22(4) pp. 759–769.
Palmer, W.C. (1965). Meteorological drought. Research Paper No. 45 US Weather Bureau, Washington DC.
Paulson, R. W.; Chase, E. B.; Roberts, R. S.; Moody, D. W. (1991). National water summary 1988–89: hydrologic events and floods and droughts. Water Supply Paper 2375. 560 pp.

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Go to World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2018
World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2018: Watershed Management, Irrigation and Drainage, and Water Resources Planning and Management
Pages: 509 - 519
Editor: Sri Kamojjala, Las Vegas Valley Water District
ISBN (Online): 978-0-7844-8140-0

History

Published online: May 31, 2018

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Authors

Affiliations

John J. Ramirez-Avila, Ph.D., M.ASCE [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Mississippi State Univ. E-mail: [email protected]
William H. McAnally, Ph.D., F.ASCE [email protected]
P.E.
D.NE
Emeritus Research Professor, Geosystems Research Institute, Mississippi State Univ. E-mail: [email protected]
Sandra L. Ortega-Achury [email protected]
Research Associate II, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Mississippi State Univ. E-mail: [email protected]

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