Chapter
Apr 26, 2012
Monte Carlo Simulation Analysis at Lester B Pearson International Airport Development Project
Authors: Tolga Ersahin, Brenda McCabe, and Mark DoyleAuthor Affiliations
Publication: Construction Research Congress: Wind of Change: Integration and Innovation
Abstract
Construction projects are complex in nature and have many inherent uncertainties. These uncertainties are not only from the unique nature of the project but also from the diversity of resources and activities. In addition, external factors have a very significant effect on the outcome of a project. The objective of this project was to investigate the schedule risks and their effect on the new terminal building at Lester B Pearson International Airport. This paper reviews the risk analysis techniques common for schedules, namely PERT and Monte Carlo simulation. Then the application of Monte Carlo simulation to the terminal building construction schedule is discussed including the problems encountered during data collection and model integration.
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Published In
Construction Research Congress: Wind of Change: Integration and Innovation
Pages: 1 - 8
Copyright
© 2003 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published online: Apr 26, 2012
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Authors
Affiliations
Tolga Ersahin
Scheduler, MGP Project Managers, Lester B Pearson International Airport, Toronto, Canada
Brenda McCabe
Associate Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
Mark Doyle
Senior Program Manager, Scheduling and Claims, MGP Project Managers, Lester B Pearson International Airport, Toronto, Canada
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ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.