Shear-Wave Velocity–Based Probabilistic and Deterministic Assessment of Seismic Soil Liquefaction Potential
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VIEW THE REPLYPublication: Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 139, Issue 3
Abstract
Shear-wave velocity () offers a means to determine the seismic resistance of soil to liquefaction by a fundamental soil property. This paper presents the results of an 11-year international project to gather new site data and develop probabilistic correlations for seismic soil liquefaction occurrence. Toward that objective, shear-wave velocity test sites were identified, and measurements made for 301 new liquefaction field case histories in China, Japan, Taiwan, Greece, and the United States over a decade. The majority of these new case histories reoccupy those previously investigated by penetration testing. These new data are combined with previously published case histories to build a global catalog of 422 case histories of liquefaction performance. Bayesian regression and structural reliability methods facilitate a probabilistic treatment of the catalog for performance-based engineering applications. Where possible, uncertainties of the variables comprising both the seismic demand and the soil capacity were estimated and included in the analysis, resulting in greatly reduced overall model uncertainty relative to previous studies. The presented data set and probabilistic analysis also help resolve the ancillary issues of adjustment for soil fines content and magnitude scaling factors.
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Acknowledgments
Financial support was provided through the Unites States Geological Survey (USGS); Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research (PEER) Center’s Lifelines Program; EERI-LFE Program; Kobe University, Kobe, Japan; and the Japan Ministry of Education. The writers would like to thank T. Leslie Youd (Brigham Young University); I. M. Idriss (University of California-Davis); Y. Suzuki (Shimizu Corp); H. Taniguchi (Ritsumeikan University, Japan); L. Cluff (PG&E); Tom Shantz (Caltrans); Diane Minasian (USGS); Brad Carkin (USGS); Ivan Estevez (CCNY); Lena Lai (CCNY); Aliza Zangwill (UCSD); S. Toki (Hokkaido University, Japan); and Albert Hsou (NCHU, Taiwan); and for their insights, assistance, and contributions to the study. X. X. Tao and Lijing Shi (Harbin IT, China) assisted in the collection of the Tangshan area data. Kobe City Parks Department and the City of Nishinomiya provided extensive access to city properties for the Hyogo Nambu earthquake test sites. Brian Collins (USGS), Professor Jon Stewart (University of California-Los Angeles), and three anonymous reviewers are thanked for their critical reviews and insights.
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Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 139 • Issue 3 • March 2013
Pages: 407 - 419
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© 2013 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Received: Jan 13, 2010
Accepted: Apr 9, 2012
Published online: Feb 15, 2013
Published in print: Mar 1, 2013
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