Technical Papers
Mar 19, 2014

Bridge Remaining Strength Prediction Integrated with Bayesian Network and In Situ Load Testing

This article has a reply.
VIEW THE REPLY
This article has a reply.
VIEW THE REPLY
Publication: Journal of Bridge Engineering
Volume 19, Issue 10

Abstract

This paper proposes a new framework for predicting remaining bridge strength that integrates a Bayesian network and in situ load testing. It discusses the uncertainty of important factors on corrosion damage and develops a stiffness degradation model for corroded beams based on experimental investigations. Following this, the authors develop a Bayesian network that includes corrosion damage, stiffness degradation, load-deflection response, and other factors to predict structural strength degradation. A numerical example using an existing RC bridge demonstrates the general procedures. The comparison between the theoretical and the experimental deflections from load testing shows that the proposed methodology can efficiently improve prediction accuracy and reduce prediction uncertainty.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

This work reported here was conducted with the financial support from the National Science Foundation for Distinguished Young Scholars of Hunan Province (Grant No. 14JJ1022), New Century Excellent Talents in University of Ministry of Education of China (Grant No. NCET-12-0724), and the Special Fund of Excellent Doctoral Dissertations of China (Grant No. 201247). This support is gratefully acknowledged. The assistance of Hui Peng, Jianxin Peng, Jie Liu, Xin Jiang, Chang Yu, and Hao Huang with the load testing is also gratefully acknowledged.

References

Almusallam, A., Al-Gahtani, A., Aziz, A., Dakhil, F., and Rasheeduzzafar. (1996). “Effect of reinforcement corrosion on flexural behavior of concrete slabs.” J. Mater. Civ. Eng., 123–127.
American Concrete Institute (ACI). (2005). “Building code requirement for structural concrete and commentary.” ACI 318M-05, Detroit.
Ballim, Y., and Reid, J. C. (2003). “Reinforcement corrosion and the deflection of RC beams—An experimental critique of current test methods.” Cement Concr. Compos., 25(6), 625–632.
Casella, G., and George, E. I. (1992). “Explaining the Gibbs sampler.” Am. Stat., 46(3), 167–174.
Castel, A., François, R., and Arliguie, G. (2000). “Mechanical behaviour of corroded reinforced concrete beams—Part 1: Experimental study of corroded beams.” Mater. Struct., 33(9), 539–544.
Choe, D., Gardoni, P., Rosowsky, D., and Haukaas, T. (2009). “Seismic fragility estimates for reinforced concrete bridges subject to corrosion.” Struct. Saf., 31(4), 275–283.
Dahll, G. (2000). “Combining disparate sources of information in the safety assessment of software-based systems.” Nucl. Eng. Des., 195(3), 307–319.
Du, Y. G., Clark, L. A., and Chan, A. H. C. (2005). “Residual capacity of corroded reinforcing bars.” Mag. Concr. Res., 57(3), 135–147.
El Maaddawy, T., Soudki, K., and Topper, T. (2005). “Analytical model to predict nonlinear flexural behavior of corroded reinforced concrete beams.” ACI Struct. J., 102(4), 550–559.
Enright, M. P., and Frangopol, D. M. (1998). “Probabilistic analysis of resistance degradation of reinforced concrete bridge beams under corrosion.” Eng. Struct., 20(11), 960–971.
Enright, M. P., and Frangopol, D. M. (1999). “Condition prediction of deteriorating concrete bridges using Bayesian updating.” J. Struct. Eng., 1118–1125.
Estes, A., and Frangopol, D. M. (2003). “Updating bridge reliability based on bridge management systems visual inspection results.” J. Bridge Eng., 374–382.
Ghosh, J., and Padgett, J. E. (2010). “Aging considerations in the development of time-dependent seismic fragility curves.” J. Struct. Eng., 1497–1511.
Guan, X., Jha, R., and Liu, Y. (2011). “Model selection, updating, and averaging for probabilistic fatigue damage prognosis.” Struct. Saf., 33(3), 242–249.
Hong, H. P. (2000). “Assessment of reliability of aging reinforced concrete structures.” J. Struct. Eng., 1458–1465.
Ma, Y., Zhang, J., Wang, L., and Liu, Y. (2013). “Probabilistic prediction with Bayesian updating for strength degradation of RC bridge beams.” Struct. Saf., 44, 102–109.
Maes, M. A. (2002). “Updating performance and reliability of concrete structures using discrete empirical Bayes Methods.” J. Offshore Mech. Arct. Eng., 124(4), 239–244.
Mahadevan, S., and Rebba, R. (2005). “Validation of reliability computational models using Bayes networks.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf., 87(2), 223–232.
Mahadevan, S., Zhang, R., and Smith, N. (2001). “Bayesian networks for system reliability reassessment.” Struct. Saf., 23(3), 231–251.
Malumbela, G., Moyo, P., and Alexander, M. (2012). “Longitudinal strains and stiffness of RC beams under load as measures of corrosion levels.” Eng. Struct., 35, 215–227.
Metropolis, N., Rosenbluth, A. W., Rosenbluth, M. N., Teller, A., and Teller, A. H. (1953). “Equation of state calculations by fast computing machines.” J. Chem. Phys., 21(6), 1087–1092.
Ministry of Transport of the People’s Republic of China. (1999). “Unified standard for reliability design of highway engineering structures.” GB/T50283-1999, Beijing.
Ministry of Transport of the People’s Republic of China. (2004). “General code for design of highway bridges and culverts.” JTJ D60-2004, Beijing.
Mirza, S. A., Hatzinikolas, M., and MacGregor, J. G. (1979). “Statistical descriptions of strength of concrete.” J. Struct. Div., 105(6), 1021–1037.
Möller, B., Graf, W., and Beer, M. (2003). “Safety assessment of structures in view of fuzzy randomness.” Comput. Struct., 81(15), 1567–1582.
Peng, T., Saxena, A., Goebel, K., Xiang, Y., Sankararaman, S., and Liu, Y. (2013). “A novel Bayesian imaging method for probabilistic delamination detection of composite materials.” Smart Mater. Struct., 22(12), 125019–125027.
Roberts, G. O., and Polson, N. G. (1994). “On the geometric convergence of Gibbs sampler.” J. R. Stat. Soc., B, 56(2), 377–384.
Sahin, F., Yavuz, M., Arnavut, Z., and Uluyol, Ö. (2007). “Fault diagnosis for airplane engines using Bayesian networks and distributed particle swarm optimization.” Parallel Comput., 33(2), 124–143.
Sohn, H., and Law, K. H. (1997). “A Bayesian probabilistic approach for structure damage detection.” Earthquake Eng. Struct. Dynam., 26(12), 1259–1281.
Stewart, M. G. (2004). “Spatial variability of pitting corrosion and its influence on structural fragility and reliability of RC beams in flexure.” Struct. Saf., 26(4), 453–470.
Stewart, M. G. (2010). “Reliability safety assessment of corroding reinforced concrete structures based on visual inspection information.” ACI Struct. J., 107(6), 671–679.
Straub, D., and Kiureghian, A. D. (2010). “Bayesian network enhanced with structural reliability methods: Application.” J. Eng. Mech., 1259–1270.
Thoft-Christensen, P., Jensen, F. M., Middleton, C. R., and Blackmore, A. (1997). “Assessment of the reliability of concrete slab bridges.” Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems, R. Rackwitz, G. Augusti, A. Borri, eds., Pergamon, Oxford, U.K., 321–328.
Torres-Acosta, A. A., Navarro-Gutierrez, S., and Terán-Guillén, J. (2007). “Residual flexure capacity of corroded reinforced concrete beams.” Eng. Struct., 29(6), 1145–1152.
Val, D., Stewart, M. G., and Melchers, R. E. (1998). “Effect of reinforcement corrosion on reliability of highway bridges.” Eng. Struct., 20(11), 1010–1019.
Vu, K. A. T., and Stewart, M. G. (2000). “Structural reliability of concrete bridges including improved chloride-induced corrosion models.” Struct. Saf., 22(4), 313–333.
Wang, L., Ma, Y., Zhang, J., and Liu, Y. (2012). “Probabilistic analysis of corrosion of reinforcement in RC bridge considering fuzziness and randomness.” J. Struct. Eng., 1529–1540.
Wang, N., O’Malley, C., Ellingwood, B. R., and Zureick, A. (2011). “Bridge rating using system reliability assessment. I: Assessment and verification by load testing.” J. Bridge Eng., 854–862.
Wu, H. C. (2004). “Bayesian system reliability assessment under fuzzy environments.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf., 83(3), 277–286.
Zhang, R., and Mahadevan, S. (2000). “Model uncertainty and Bayesian updating in reliability-based inspection.” Struct. Saf., 22(2), 145–160.
Zhong, J., Gardoni, P., and Rosowsky, D. (2010). “Stiffness degradation and time to cracking of cover concrete in reinforced concrete structures subject to corrosion.” J. Eng. Mech., 209–219.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Bridge Engineering
Journal of Bridge Engineering
Volume 19Issue 10October 2014

History

Received: Aug 7, 2013
Accepted: Feb 11, 2014
Published online: Mar 19, 2014
Discussion open until: Aug 19, 2014
Published in print: Oct 1, 2014

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Yafei Ma, S.M.ASCE [email protected]
Ph.D. Candidate, Key Laboratory for Safety Control of Bridge Engineering, Ministry of Education and Hunan Province, School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Changsha Univ. of Science and Technology, Changsha 410114, China. E-mail: [email protected]
Professor, Key Laboratory for Safety Control of Bridge Engineering, Ministry of Education and Hunan Province, School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Changsha Univ. of Science and Technology, Changsha 410114, China (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Jianren Zhang [email protected]
Professor, Key Laboratory for Safety Control of Bridge Engineering, Ministry of Education and Hunan Province, School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Changsha Univ. of Science and Technology, Changsha 410114, China. E-mail: [email protected]
Yibing Xiang [email protected]
Research Scientist, School for Engineering of Matter, Transport and Energy, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ 85281. E-mail: [email protected]
Yongming Liu, A.M.ASCE [email protected]
Associate Professor, School for Engineering of Matter, Transport and Energy, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ 85281. E-mail: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share