Technical Papers
Mar 10, 2020

Resolving Emerging Issues with Aging Dams under Climate Change Projections

Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 146, Issue 5

Abstract

Concerns about the collapse of dams due to overtopping are increasing owing to heavy rainfall and frequent typhoons associated with climate change. As a result, there has been a spike in anxiety among residents living near the downstream areas of dams. Although the dangers associated with dam safety are increasing, there is still a lack of comprehensive dam rehabilitation and implementation frameworks that consider climate change. A thorough review of existing dam facilities is needed in light of climate change and the deteriorating conditions of aging dams. In this study, we performed a hydrological safety assessment and developed a dam rehabilitation implementation framework to proactively diagnose and resolve dam safety issues caused by climate change and aging water infrastructure. The dam rehabilitation assessment framework has three main facets: appropriateness of evaluation components, importance of weighted analysis, and comprehensive dam rehabilitation assessment and implementation framework. The proposed approach was applied to selected sites with high feasibility of dam rehabilitation in Korea’s major river basins considering different climate change scenarios.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Data Availability Statement

The following data, models, and code generated or used during the study are available from the corresponding author by request:
Data: Survey data for dam rehabilitation assessment, input data to run the hydrologic modeling, and output data resulting from running different climate change scenarios.
Models: Hydrologic models for long-term runoff simulation and Delphi-AHP weighting evaluation model used in this study.
Code: The Excel and R scripts that process the outputs to generate the figures in the paper.

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the editor and two anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments and suggestions on the early version of the manuscript. This work is supported by the Korea Environmental Industry and Technology Institute (KEITI) grant funded by the Ministry of Environment (18AWMP-B083066-05).

References

Chernet, H. H., K. Alfredsen, and G. H. Midttømme. 2014. “Safety of hydropower dams in a changing climate.” J. Hydrol. Eng. 19 (3): 569–582. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000836.
Choi, J.-H., T.-H. Yoon, J.-S. Kim, and Y.-I. Moon. 2018. “Dam rehabilitation assessment using the Delphi-AHP method for adapting to climate change.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage. 144 (2): 06017007. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000877.
Dharmadhikary, S. 2005. Unravelling Bhakra: Assessing the temple of resurgent India. New Delhi, India: Manthan Adhyayan Kendra.
D’Souza, D. 2002. Narmada dammed: An enquiry into the politics of development. New Delhi, India: Penguin Books India.
Eum, H. I., and S. P. Simonovic. 2010. “Integrated reservoir management system for adaptation to climate change: The Nakdong river basin in Korea.” Water Resour. Manage. 24 (13): 3397–3417. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-010-9612-1.
Fan, Z.-W., S.-H. Jiang, and M. Zhang. 2009. “Dynamic probability evaluation of safety levels of earth-rockfill dams using Bayesian approach.” Water Sci. Eng. 2 (2): 61–70.
Ho, M., U. Lall, M. Allaire, N. Devineni, H. H. Kwon, I. Pal, D. Raff, and D. Wegner. 2017. “The future role of dams in the United States of America.” Water Resour. Res. 53 (2): 982–998. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016WR019905.
ICOLD (International Commission on Large Dams). 2011. Small dams design, surveillance and rehabilitation. Paris: ICOLD.
ICOLD (International Commission on Large Dams). 2015. “Flood evaluation and dam safety.” Accessed February 15, 2016. http://www.icold-cigb.org/home.asp.
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2014. Climate change 2014: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. B: Regional aspects. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
Kang, H. Y., J. S. Kim, S. Y. Kim, and Y. I. Moon. 2017. “Changes in high- and low-flow regimes: A diagnostic analysis of tropical cyclones in the western north Pacific.” Water Resour. Manage. 31 (12): 3939–3951. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-017-1717-3.
Kim, Y. W. 2016. “A comparative study on geotechnical risk of fill dams in Korea using internal erosion toolbox.” Master dissertation, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Kyung Hee Univ.
KISTEC (Korea Infrastructure Safety Corporation). 2013. A study on repair/retrofit and hydrologic safety evaluation for small scale reservoir. Jinju, South Korea: KISTEC.
KME (Korea Ministry of Environment). 2008. A study on flood control capability increase alternative and safety evaluation for multi-purpose dam. Sejong, South Korea: KME.
KMLIT (Korea Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport). 2007. Decision making model for most preferable alternative in flood control projects. [In Korean.]. Sejong, South Korea: KMLIT.
KNCOLD (Korea National Committee on Large Dams). 2015. “Challenges of dam construction policy.” [In Korean.] Accessed June 15, 2019. http://www.kncold.or.kr/ds2_1_6.html.
Mo, C.-X., G.-Y. Mo, Q. Yang, Y.-L. Ruan, Q.-L. Jiang, and J.-L. Jin. 2018. “A quantitative model for danger degree evaluation of staged operation of earth dam reservoir in flood season and its application.” Water Sci. Eng. 11 (1): 81–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wse.2017.07.001.
Payne, J. T., A. W. Wood, A. F. Hamlet, R. N. Palmer, and D. P. Lettenmaier. 2004. “Mitigating the effects of climate change on the water resources of the Columbia river basin.” Clim. Change 62 (1–3): 233–256. https://doi.org/10.1023/B:CLIM.0000013694.18154.d6.
Pejchar, L., and K. Warner. 2001. “A river might run through it again: Criteria for consideration of dam removal and interim lessons from California.” Environ. Manage. 28 (5): 561–575. https://doi.org/10.1007/s002670010244.
Pillai, R. K., and O. P. Gupta. 2017. “Incorporation of ‘risk factor’ in design flood review of existing dams.” Am. J. Civ. Eng. 5 (5): 293–306.
Saaty, T. L. 1987. “Rank generation, preservation, and reversal in the analytic hierarchy decision process.” Decis. Sci. 18 (2): 157–177. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5915.1987.tb01514.x.
Seo, S. B., Y. O. Kim, Y. I. Kim, and H. I. Eum. 2019. “Selecting climate change scenarios for regional hydrologic impact studies based on climate extremes indices.” Clim. Dyn. 52 (3–4): 1595–1611. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4210-7.
Shah, Z., and M. D. Kumar. 2008. “In the midst of the large dam controversy: Objectives, criteria for assessing large water storages in the developing world.” Water Resour. Manage. 22 (12): 1799–1824. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-008-9254-8.
Song, Y.-I., D. Park, G. Shin, C. Kim, and N. Grigg. 2010. “Strategic environmental assessment for dam planning: A case study of South Korea’s experience.” Water Int. 35 (4): 397–408. https://doi.org/10.1080/02508060.2010.506268.
Workman, J. G. 2007. “How to fix our dam problems.” Issues Sci. Technol. 24 (1): 31–42.
Yang, M., X. Qian, Y. Zhang, J. Sheng, D. Shen, and Y. Ge. 2011. “Spatial multicriteria decision analysis of flood risks in aging-dam management in China: A framework and case study.” Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 8 (5): 1368–1387. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph8051368.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 146Issue 5May 2020

History

Received: Dec 20, 2018
Accepted: Dec 4, 2019
Published online: Mar 10, 2020
Published in print: May 1, 2020
Discussion open until: Aug 10, 2020

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Ji-Hyeok Choi
Postdoctoral Researcher, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Univ. of Seoul, Seoul 02504, South Korea.
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Chung-Ang Univ., Seoul 06974, South Korea. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9767-9923
Pan Liu
Professor, State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan Univ., Wuhan 430072, PR China.
Professor, State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan Univ., Wuhan 430072, PR China (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5274-5085. Email: [email protected]
Young-Il Moon
Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering and Urban Flood Research Institute, Univ. of Seoul, Seoul 02504, South Korea.

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share