Analyzing Influence Factors of Transverse Cracking on LTPP Resurfaced Asphalt Pavements through NB and ZINB Models
Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering
Volume 139, Issue 9
Abstract
The negative binomial (NB) and zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) models were employed to simulate the development of pavement transverse cracks on asphalt overlays and to evaluate the influence of different designs of asphalt overlays on crack development. Pavement transverse crack data were collected from 15 long-term pavement performance (LTPP) SPS-5 test sites. Analyzed factors include traffic level, overlay thickness, mixture [using reclaimed asphalt pavement (RAP) or virgin], intensity of surface preparation (mill or no mill) before overlay, total thickness of pavement, and freeze index. Analysis results indicate that the NB and ZINB models were effective in simulating the development of pavement transverse cracks by addressing the overdispersion. In addition, the ZINB model outperformed the NB model by explaining the excess zeros in the cracking count data to capture both the initiation and propagation of cracking. The regression analysis indicates that mill before overlay is effective in retarding the initiation of cracks, but not the propagation of cracks. Thicker overlay appears to reduce transverse cracking. High traffic level or using RAP is likely to increase the number of transverse cracks. Total thickness of pavement and freeze index are not significant for the development of transverse cracks.
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Acknowledgments
The funding of this study was supported by the Tennessee Department of Transportation (TDOT) and the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA). This study utilized the data released by LTPP, which is funded and managed by the FHWA. The LTPP engineers are acknowledged for their assistance on data inquiry. The contents of this paper reflect the views of the authors, who are responsible for the facts and the accuracy of the data presented herein, and do not necessarily reflect the official views or policies of the TDOT or FHWA, nor do the contents constitute a standard, specification, or regulation.
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Published In
Journal of Transportation Engineering
Volume 139 • Issue 9 • September 2013
Pages: 889 - 895
Copyright
© 2013 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Oct 3, 2012
Accepted: Apr 29, 2013
Published online: May 2, 2013
Published in print: Sep 1, 2013
Discussion open until: Oct 2, 2013
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