Pervious Concrete Pavement Performance Modeling Using the Bayesian Statistical Technique
Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering
Volume 138, Issue 5
Abstract
Because pervious concrete pavement (PCP) has a porous structure and can percolate water to an underground layer, it has been proposed as a stormwater best management practice (BMP), an environmentally friendly product, and sustainable paving materials. This porosity makes PCP susceptible to freeze-thaw damage in cold climates. Therefore, PCP has not been widely applied and investigated in such a climate. Long-term performance data are rarely available, and no performance model has been developed for PCP to date. The main objective of this research is to integrate expert knowledge (using the Markov-chain process) and experimental data (PCP field investigations) to build a performance model for PCP through incorporation of the Bayesian technique. The combination of these sources of data is an efficient and effective approach to build a performance model for a new type of pavement, such as PCP, which has not had a long-term performance database. As a result, a robust linear performance model is developed and applied to predict the service life of PCP. The service life of PCP is estimated to be approximately nine years using the developed performance model. In general, the expert knowledge leads to more conservative results rather than experimental data.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
References
American Concrete Institute (ACI). (2006). “Pervious concrete.” ACI 522R-06, American Concrete Institute, Farmington Hills, MI.
Canadian Strategic Highway Research Program (C-SHRP). (1994). C-LTPP Data analysis five year result national briefing tour, C-SHRP, Ottawa.
Canadian Strategic Highway Research Program (C-SHRP). (1995). “Bayesian modeling: Joint C-SHRP/Agency application.” Technical Brief No. 8, C-SHRP, Ottawa.
Draper, N. R., and Smith, H. (1981). Applied regression analysis, 2nd Ed., Wiley, New York.
Delatte, N., Miller, D., and Mrkajic, A. (2007). “Portland cement pervious concrete pavement: Field performance investigation on parking lot and roadway pavements.” Fenn College of Engineering, Cleveland State Univ., RMC Research and Education Foundation, Cleveland, OH.
Golroo, A. (2010). Pervious concrete pavement: Performance in cold climates, Lambert Academic Publishing, Cologne, Germany.
Golroo, A., and Tighe, S. (2010). “Developing an overall combined condition index for pervious concrete pavements using a specific panel rating method.” Transportation Research Record 2153, Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC., 40–48.
Haas, R. C. G. (1997). Pavement design and management guide, Transportation Association of Canada, Ottawa.
Hajek, J. J., and Bradbury, A. (1996). “Pavement performance modeling using Canadian strategic highway research program Bayesian statistical methodology.” Transportation Research Record 1524, Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC., 160–170.
Molzer, C., Felsenstein, K., Litzka, J., and Shahm, M. (2001). “Bayesian statistics for developing pavement performance models.” 5th Int. Conf. on Managing Pavements, TRB AFD 10, Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC.
Press, S. J. (2003). Subjective and objective Bayesian statistics: principles, models, and applications, Wiley-Interscience, Hoboken, NJ.
Schaefer, V. R., Wang, K., Suleiman, M. T., and Kevern, J. (2006). “Mix design development for pervious concrete in cold weather climates.” Rep. from the National Concrete Pavement Technology Center, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA.
Schmitt, S. A. (1969). Measuring uncertainty: An elementary introduction to Bayesian statistics, Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA.
Tennis, P. D., Leming, M. L., and Akers, D. J. (2004). “Pervious concrete pavements.” Portland Cement Association and the National Ready Mixed Concrete Association, Skokie, IL.
Winkler, R. L. (2003). An introduction to Bayesian inference and decision, 2nd Ed., Probabilistic Publishing, Gainesville, FL.
Xu, G., Gao, J., and Lu, X. (2006). “Water-purification properties of porous concrete.” J. Southeast Univ. (Natural Science Ed.), 68–70.
Yang, J., and Jiang, G. (2003). “Experimental study on properties of pervious concrete pavement materials.” Cem. Concr. Res.CCNRAI, 33(3), 381–386.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
© 2012. American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Apr 6, 2010
Accepted: Sep 26, 2011
Published online: Sep 28, 2011
Published in print: May 1, 2012
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.