Assessment of Urban Flood Risk Factors Using Monte Carlo Analytical Hierarchy Process
Publication: Natural Hazards Review
Volume 22, Issue 4
Abstract
Sustainability of the built environment is endangered by urban floods, which the frequency and impact of which have increased incrementally due to rapid population growth, unplanned urbanization, and insufficient infrastructures. Targeted sustainability goals can be achieved only with effective and adequate flood risk mitigation measures. This study aims to assess flood risk factors, which can be associated with mitigation measures on the basis of urban flooding. To achieve this goal, flood risk factors were specified by conducting a comprehensive literature review and finessed with one-to-one interview sessions to dissociate the suitable factors to urban floods. There were 35 identified urban flood risk factors assessed by conducting Monte Carlo analytical hierarchy process (MCAHP) since Monte Carlo simulations increase the reliability of the data associated with the unpredictable nature of urban floods. The results show that urban infrastructure, land use, and institutional capacity were the top three main criteria to reduce urban flood risks. The findings can be used by municipality practitioners and disaster management institutions to increase the resilience of cities by adopting the most effective flood mitigation measures.
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Data Availability Statement
All data, models, or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
Acknowledgments
The work described in this paper was supported by the Coordinatorship of Scientific Research Projects of Yildiz Technical University (Project Number: FYL-2017-3208).
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Natural Hazards Review
Volume 22 • Issue 4 • November 2021
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© 2021 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Received: Feb 10, 2020
Accepted: Jun 24, 2021
Published online: Aug 26, 2021
Published in print: Nov 1, 2021
Discussion open until: Jan 26, 2022
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