Fuzzy State Real-Time Reservoir Operation Model for Irrigation with Gridded Rainfall Forecasts
Publication: Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering
Volume 142, Issue 2
Abstract
A short-term real-time operation model with fuzzy state variables is developed for irrigation of multiple crops based on earlier work on long-term steady-state policy. The features of the model that distinguish it from the earlier work are (1) apart from inclusion of fuzziness in reservoir storage and in soil moisture of crops, spatial variations in rainfall and soil moisture of crops are included in the real-time operation model by considering gridded command area with a grid size of 0.5° latitude by 0.5° longitude; (2) the water allocation model and soil moisture balance equations are integrated with the real-time operation model with consideration of ponding water depth for Paddy crop; the model solution specifies reservoir releases for irrigation in a 10-day time period and allocations among the crops on a daily basis at each grid by maintaining soil moisture balance at the end of the day; and (3) the release policy is developed using forecasted daily rainfall data of each grid and is implemented for the current time period using actual 10-day inflow and actual daily rainfall of each grid. The real-time operation model is applied to Bhadra Reservoir in Karnataka, India. The results obtained using the real-time operation model are compared with those of the standard operating policy model. Inclusion of fuzziness in reservoir storage and soil moisture of crops captures hydrologic uncertainties in real time. Considerations of irrigation decisions on a daily basis and the gridded command area result in variations in allocating water to the crops, variations in actual crop evapotranspiration, and variations in soil moisture of the crops on a daily basis for each grid of the command area.
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Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge the National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF) research and development organization for providing the forecasted rainfall data on a daily basis at a grid increment of 0.5° latitude and 0.5° longitude, which has been used in the real-time reservoir operation model.
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Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering
Volume 142 • Issue 2 • February 2016
Copyright
© 2015 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Mar 7, 2015
Accepted: Jul 20, 2015
Published online: Sep 11, 2015
Published in print: Feb 1, 2016
Discussion open until: Feb 11, 2016
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