Individual and Societal Risk Assessment for a Petroleum Oil Storage Terminal
Publication: Journal of Hazardous, Toxic, and Radioactive Waste
Volume 19, Issue 4
Abstract
This paper presents an assessment of individual and societal risk associated with the effects of explosions and fires in the petroleum oil storage terminal of Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL), Jaipur, India, that occurred on October 29, 2009. Eleven fatalities and a property loss of approximately U.S. $60 million were reported. The maximum risk level at a distance of around 100 m from the release point is . The next risk level, i.e., is at a distance of 280 m within the terminal boundary. This paper demonstrates that the individual risk inside the terminal for various categories of personnel is in the range of to . Moreover, curve (where is the number of fatalities, and is the frequency of or more fatalities) indicating societal risk is in the so-called as low as reasonably practicable region. Thus the total risk at the terminal does not lie in the unacceptable region, but in the as low as reasonably practicable region where substantial measures for a risk reduction were needed. The consequences in and around the terminal were high, which might be due to the failure or absence of certain precautionary measures. The paper is useful to assess the fire and explosion risk of a petroleum oil storage terminal to avoid major accidents.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Acknowledgments
Thanks are given to the Indian Oil Corporation for providing accident data. The support of the National Environmental Engineering Research Institute (NEERI) is gratefully acknowledged. This paper is based on the Ph.D. thesis work carried out by the second writer at the Center for Excellence in Disaster Mitigation and Management, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Roorkee.
References
BMIIB (Buncefield Major Incident Investigation Board). (2008). “The final report of The Major Incident Investigation Board on the Buncefield incident 11 December 2005.” 〈http://www.buncefieldinvestigation.gov.uk/reports/volume1.pdf〉 (Mar. 4, 2015).
Bradley, D., Chamberlain, G. A., and Drysdale, D. (2012). “Large vapour cloud explosions, with particular reference to that at Buncefield.” Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 370(1960), 544–566.
CCPS (Center for Chemical Process Safety) of the American Institute of Chemical Engineers. (2000). Guideline for chemical process quantitative risk analysis, 2nd Ed., Wiley, New York.
DNV (Det Norske Veritas). (2011). “Phast release note for version 6.7.” 〈http://www.dnv.com.cn/binaries/release%20letter%20phast_tcm142-466407.pdf〉 (Mar. 4, 2015).
Franks, A. P., and Maddison, T. (2006). “A simplified method for the estimation of individual risk.” J. Process Saf. Environ. Prot., 84(2), 101–108.
Gant, S. E., and Atkinson, G. T. (2011). “Dispersion of the vapour cloud in the Buncefield incident.” J. Process Saf. Environ. Prot., 89(6), 391–403.
HSE (Health and Safety Executive). (2001). “Reducing risks, protecting people–HSE’s decision making process, 1-74.” 〈http://www.hse.gov.uk/risk/theory/r2p2.pdf〉 (Feb. 22, 2013).
IAOGP (International Association of Oil and Gas Producers). (2010). “Risk assessment data directory: Process release frequencies.”, London.
Jo, Y. D., and Crowl, D. A. (2008). “Individual risk analysis of high-pressure natural gas pipelines.” J. Loss Prev. Process Ind., 21(6), 589–595.
Johnson, D. M. (2011). “Characteristics of the vapour cloud explosion incident at the IOC terminal in Jaipur, October 29th, 2009, GL Noble Denton.”, GL Nobel Denton, Leicestershire, U.K., 1–17.
Jones, D. (1992). Nomenclature for hazard and risk assessment in the process industries, 2nd Ed., Institution of Chemical Engineers, Rugby, U.K.
Kauer, R., Fabbri, L., Giribone, R., and Heerings, J. (2002). “Risk acceptance criteria and regulatory aspects.” OMMI, 1(2), 1–11.
Mishra, K. B., Wehrstedt, K. D., and Krebs, H. (2013). “Lessons learned from recent fuel storage fires.” J. Fuel Process. Technol., 107, 166–172.
Mishra, K. B., Wehrstedt, K. D., and Krebs, H. (2014). “Amuay refinery disaster: The aftermaths and challenges ahead.” J. Fuel Process. Technol., 119, 198–203.
MOPNG (Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas) Committee. (2010). “Independent inquiry committee report on Indian oil terminal fire at Jaipur on 29.10.2009.” 〈http://oisd.nic.in/index.htm〉 (Mar. 4, 2015).
Muñoz, M., Arnaldos, J., Casal, J., and Planas, E. (2004). “Analysis of the geometric and radiative characteristics of hydrocarbon pool fires.” J. Combust. Flame, 139(3), 263–277.
Phast Risk 6.7 [Computer software]. Arnhem, Netherlands, Det Norske Veritas.
Qiao, A., and Zhang, S. (2010). “Advanced CFD modeling on vapour dispersion and vapour cloud explosion.” J. Loss Prev. Process Ind., 23(6), 843–848.
Renjith, V. R., and Madhu, G. (2010). “Individual and societal risk analysis and mapping of human vulnerability to chemical accidents in the vicinity of an industrial area.” J. Appl. Eng. Res., 1(1), 35–148.
Sharma, R. K., Gurjar, B. R., Wate, S. R., Ghuge, S. P., and Agrawal, R. (2013). “Assessment of an accidental vapour cloud explosion: Lessons from the Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. accident at Jaipur, India.” J. Loss Prev. Process Ind., 26(1), 82–90.
Shebek, Y. N., et al. (2007). “Fire and explosion risk assessment for large-scale oil export terminal.” J. Loss Prev. Process Ind., 20(4–6), 651–658.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
© 2015 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Jul 17, 2014
Accepted: Feb 19, 2015
Published online: Apr 2, 2015
Discussion open until: Sep 2, 2015
Published in print: Oct 1, 2015
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.