Technical Notes
Aug 2, 2021

Rational Method Time of Concentration Can Underestimate Peak Discharge for Hillslopes

Publication: Journal of Hydraulic Engineering
Volume 147, Issue 10

Abstract

The Rational Method remains one of the most widely used approaches for estimating peak discharge in small catchments. In one widely used interpretation of the Rational Method, the maximum possible peak discharge produced by a storm with a given return period is predicted by setting the storm duration equal to the time of concentration. Whether the time of concentration maximizes peak flow for a rainfall return period, however, depends on the relationship between contributing area and storm duration. Here, we show that under many conditions, using the time of concentration in the Rational Method leads to an underestimation of peak discharge. This underestimation is illustrated using two case studies on idealized hillslopes on which runoff occurs as sheet flow. We suggest that practitioners should become cognizant of the differences between the critical duration (the storm duration that maximizes peak discharge) and the time of concentration within the Rational Method and be alert to morphology and land-use patterns that are likely to cause these timescales to diverge.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Data Availability Statement

Some or all data, models, or code generated or used during the study are available in a repository online in accordance with funder data retention policies. (https://github.com/lapidesd/Lapides-etal-2020-RationalMethod; Lapides et al. 2020b).

Acknowledgments

This work was supported by the Hellman Foundation (DAL), UC Berkeley (DAL), the National Science Foundation Grant Nos. EAR-1013339 and EAR-BSF1632494 (DAL, OC), Engineering Research Center for Reinventing the Nation’s Urban Water Infrastructure (ReNUWIt) (AS), and the Gledden Foundation at the University of Western Australia’s Institute for Advanced Studies (AS).

References

Akan, A. O. 1985. “Kinematic-wave method for peak runoff estimates.” J. Transp. Eng. 111 (4): 419–425. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-947X(1985)111:4(419).
Ball, J., M. Babister, R. Nathan, W. Weeks, E. Weinmann, M. Retallick, and I. E. Testoni. 2019. “Australian rainfall and runoff: A guide to flood estimation.” Accessed October 23, 2020. https://arr.ga.gov.au/arr-guideline.
Chen, C. N., and Y. Cai. 2001. “Critical rainfall duration for maximum discharge from a small drainage basin.” Urban Drain. Model. 2001 (1): 431–437. https://doi.org/10.1061/40583(275)41.
Chen, C. N., and T. S. W. Wong. 1993. “Critical rainfall duration for maximum discharge from overland plane.” J. Hydraul. Eng. 119 (9): 1040–1045. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9429(1993)119:9(1040).
Crompton, O., A. Sytsma, and S. Thompson. 2019. “Emulation of the Saint Venant equations enables rapid and accurate predictions of infiltration and overland flow velocity on spatially heterogeneous surfaces.” Water Resour. Res. 55 (8): 7108–7129. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR025146.
Fang, Y., S. Ceola, K. Paik, G. McGrath, P. S. C. Rao, A. Montanari, and J. W. Jawitz. 2018. “Globally universal fractal pattern of human settlements in river networks.” Earth’s Future 6 (8): 1134–1145. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017EF000746.
Giráldez, J. V., and D. A. Woolhiser. 1996. “Analytical integration of the kinematic equation for runoff on a plane under constant rainfall rate and Smith and Parlange infiltration.” Water Resour. Res. 32 (11): 3385–3389. https://doi.org/10.1029/96WR02106.
Goyen, A., B. Phillips, and S. Pathiraja. 2019. “Australian rainfall and runoff: Rational method developments.” Accessed October 20, 2020. https://arr.ga.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0017/40553/ARR_Project_13_Stage3_report_DRAFT.pdf.
Grimaldi, S., and A. Petroselli. 2015. “Do we still need the rational formula? An alternative empirical procedure for peak discharge estimation in small and ungauged basins.” Hydrol. Sci. J. 60 (1): 67–77. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2014.880546.
Grimaldi, S., A. Petroselli, F. Tauro, and M. Porfiri. 2012. “Time of concentration: A paradox in modern hydrology.” Hydrol. Sci. J. 57 (2): 217–228. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2011.644244.
Haan, C., and B. Wilson. 1987. “Another look at the joint probability of rainfall and runoff.” In Hydrologic frequency modeling, 555–569. Berlin: Springer.
Koutsoyiannis, D., D. Kozonis, and A. Manetas. 1998. “A mathematical framework for studying rainfall intensity-duration-frequency relationships.” J. Hydrol. 206 (2): 118–135. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(98)00097-3.
Kuichling, E. 1889. “The relation between the rainfall and the discharge of sewers in populous districts.” Trans. Am. Soc. Civ. Eng. 20 (1): 1–56. https://doi.org/10.1061/TACEAT.0000694.
Lapides, D., C. David, A. Sytsma, D. Dralle, and S. Thompson. 2020a. “Analytical solutions to runoff on hillslopes with curvature: numerical and laboratory verification.” Hydrol. Processes 34 (24): 4640–4659.
Lapides, D., A. Sytsma, O. Crompton, and S. Thompson. 2020b. Untangling timescales in the rational method: Supplementary datasets and code. San Francisco: GitHub.
McCuen, R. H. 2009. “Uncertainty analyses of watershed time parameters.” J. Hydrol. Eng. 14 (5): 490–498. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000011.
Michailidi, E. M., S. Antoniadi, A. Koukouvinos, B. Bacchi, and A. Efstratiadis. 2018. “Timing the time of concentration: Shedding light on a paradox.” Hydrol. Sci. J. 63 (5): 721–740. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2018.1450985.
Mulvany, T. 1851. “On the use of self-registering rain and flood gauges in making observations of the relation of rainfall and flood discharges in given catchment.” Trans. Inst. Civ. Eng. Ireland 4 (2): 18–33.
Munro, C. 1957. “Basic theory of urban storm drainage design.” J. Inst. Eng. Aust. 28 (12): 301–314.
Pilgrim, D. H., and I. Cordery. 1993. “Flood runoff.” Handbook Hydrology. 1–42. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Reid, J. 1927. “The estimation of storm-water discharge.” Proc. Inst. Civ. Eng. Munic. Eng. 53: 997–1021.
Rigon, R., P. D’Odorico, and G. Bertoldi. 2011. “The geomorphic structure of the runoff peak.” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 15 (6): 1853–1863. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1853-2011.
Sabzevari, T., B. Saghafian, A. Talebi, and R. Ardakanian. 2013. “Time of concentration of surface flow in complex hillslopes.” J. Hydrol. Hydromech. 61 (4): 269–277. https://doi.org/10.2478/johh-2013-0034.
Sala, O., and M. Aguiar. 1996. “Origin, maintenance, and ecosystem effect of vegetation patches in arid lands, in rangelands in a sustainable biosphere.” In Proc., 15th Int. Rangeland Congress, 29–32. Denver: Society for Range Management.
Schmid, B. H. 1997. “Critical rainfall duration for overland flow from an infiltrating plane surface.” J. Hydrol. 193 (1–4): 45–60. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(96)03152-6.
Smith, A. A., and K.-B. Lee. 1984. “The Rational Method revisited.” Can. J. Civ. Eng. 11 (4): 854–862. https://doi.org/10.1139/l84-103.
Viglione, A., and G. Blöschl. 2008. “On the role of storm duration in the mapping of rainfall to flood return periods.” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. 5 (6): 205–216. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-13-205-2009.
Viglione, A., R. Merz, and G. Blöschl. 2009. “On the role of the runoff coefficient in the mapping of rainfall to flood return periods.” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 13 (5): 577–593. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-13-577-2009.
Wong, T. S., and Y. Li. 1999. “Theoretical assessment of changes in design flood peak of an overland plane for two opposing urbanization sequences.” Hydrol. Processes 13 (11): 1629–1647. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1099-1085(19990815)13:11%3C1629::AID-HYP833%3E3.0.CO;2-S.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Hydraulic Engineering
Journal of Hydraulic Engineering
Volume 147Issue 10October 2021

History

Received: Nov 18, 2020
Accepted: Mar 11, 2021
Published online: Aug 2, 2021
Published in print: Oct 1, 2021
Discussion open until: Jan 2, 2022

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Ph.D. Candidate, Dept. of Earth and Planetary Science, Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA 94720; Postdoctoral Research Assistant, Dept. of Geography, Simon Fraser Univ., Burnaby, BC, Canada V5A 1S6 (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3366-9686. Email: [email protected]
Anneliese Sytsma
Ph.D. Candidate, Dept. of Landscape Architecture and Environmental Planning, Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.
Octavia Crompton
Postdoctoral Researcher, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.
Sally Thompson
Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA 94720; Professor, Dept. of Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Western Australia, Perth 6009, Australia.

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share