Case Studies
Oct 12, 2021

Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Daily, Monthly, and Seasonal Rainfall Characteristics across Northern Cyprus

Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 26, Issue 12

Abstract

In this study, rainfall time series data of 36 years collected at 33 meteorological stations were analyzed to introduce spatial and temporal characteristics of daily, monthly, and seasonal rainfall patterns for Northern Cyprus. For this purpose, concentration index (CI), precipitation concentration index (PCI), and seasonality index (SI) were employed. Additionally, the temporal trend of these indexes was evaluated using the Mann-Kendall (MK) trend test and innovative-Şen test (IŞT). Analyzing the temporal changes of rainfall patterns in the Eastern Mediterranean region is valuable to the whole area, where many countries are suffering from both water scarcity and increasing flash flood frequency. Therefore, the findings of this study were compared with the results of regional studies. The results of CI analysis show that Northern Cyprus has a moderately concentrated distribution of rainfall. On the other hand, the North Coast and Kyrenia Mountains regions are characterized by high annual rainfall as well as high risk of flood events. PCI and SI results show a greatly seasonal rainfall distribution pattern across the study area. Additionally, significant upward trends are observed in the majority of the stations in daily rainfall concentration.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Data Availability Statement

Some or all data, models, or code used during the study were provided by a third party (precipitation data). Direct request for these materials may be made to the provider, as indicated in the Acknowledgments.

Acknowledgments

The authors of this study thank to the Meteorological Authority of Northern Cyprus for providing the necessary data.

References

Aguado, E., D. Cayan, L. Riddle, and M. Roos. 1992. “Climatic fluctuations and the timing of West Coast streamflow.” J. Clim. 5 (12): 1468–1483. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005%3C1468:CFATTO%3E2.0.CO;2.
Cavus, Y., and H. Aksoy. 2019. “Spatial drought characterization for Seyhan River basin in the Mediterranean region of Turkey.” Water 11 (7): 1331. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11071331.
Cavus, Y., and H. Aksoy. 2020. “Critical drought severity/intensity-duration-frequency curves based on precipitation deficit.” J. Hydrol. 584 (May): 124312. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124312.
Coscarelli, R., and T. Caloiero. 2012. “Analysis of daily and monthly rainfall concentration in Southern Italy (Calabria region).” J. Hydrol. 416–417 (Jan): 145–156. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.11.047.
Dabanlı, İ., Z. Şen, M. Ö. Yeleğen, E. Şişman, B. Selek, and Y. S. Güçlü. 2016. “Trend assessment by the innovative-Şen method.” Water Resour. Manage. 30 (14): 5193–5203. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-016-1478-4.
Danandeh Mehr, A., and B. Vaheddoost. 2020. “Identification of the trends associated with the SPI and SPEI indices across Ankara, Turkey.” Theor. Appl. Climatol. 139 (3): 1531–1542. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-019-03071-9.
Deng, S., T. Chen, N. Yang, L. Qu, M. Li, and D. Chen. 2018. “Spatial and temporal distribution of rainfall and drought characteristics across the Pearl River basin.” Sci. Total Environ. 619–620 (Apr): 28–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.10.339.
Eris, E., Y. Cavus, H. Aksoy, H. I. Burgan, H. Aksu, and H. Boyacioglu. 2020. “Spatiotemporal analysis of meteorological drought over Kucuk Menderes River basin in the Aegean region of Turkey. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 142 (3): 1515–1530. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03384-0.
Güçlü, Y. S., I. Dabanlı, E. Şişman, and Z. Şen. 2019. “Air quality (AQ) identification by innovative trend diagram and AQ index combinations in Istanbul megacity.” Atmos. Pollut. Res. 10 (1): 88–96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apr.2018.06.011.
Guhathakurta, P., and E. Saji. 2013. “Detecting changes in rainfall pattern and seasonality index vis-à-vis increasing water scarcity in Maharashtra.” J. Earth Syst. Sci. 122 (3): 639–649. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-013-0294-y.
Iglesias, A., L. Garrote, F. Flores, and M. Moneo. 2007. “Challenges to manage the risk of water scarcity and climate change in the Mediterranean.” Water Resour. Manage. 21 (5): 775–788. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-006-9111-6.
Jolliffe, I. T., and P. B. Hope. 1996. “Representation of daily rainfall distributions using normalized rainfall curves.” Int. J. Climatol. 16 (10): 1157–1163. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(199610)16:10%3C1157::AID-JOC71%3E3.0.CO;2-R.
Kanellopoulou, E. A. 2002. “Spatial distribution of rainfall seasonality in Greece.” Weather 57 (6): 215–219. https://doi.org/10.1256/004316502760053576.
Livada, I., and D. Asimakopoulos. 2005. “Individual seasonality index of rainfall regimes in Greece.” Clim. Res. 28 (2): 155–161. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr028155.
López-Moreno, J. I., S. M. Vicente-Serrano, L. Gimeno, and R. Nieto. 2009. “Stability of the seasonal distribution of precipitation in the Mediterranean region: Observations since 1950 and projections for the 21st century.” Geophys. Res. Lett. 36 (10): L10703. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL037956.
MANC (Meteorology Authority of Northern Cyprus). 2016. WWW document. Ankara, Turkey: Turkish State Meteorological Service.
Martin-Vide, J. 2004. “Spatial distribution of a daily precipitation concentration index in peninsular Spain.” Int. J. Climatol. 24 (8): 959–971. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1030.
Mathbout, S., J. A. Lopez-Bustins, D. Royé, J. Martin-Vide, and A. Benhamrouche. 2020. “Spatiotemporal variability of daily precipitation concentration and its relationship to teleconnection patterns over the Mediterranean during 1975–2015.” Int. J. Climatol. 40 (3): 1435–1455. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6278.
Michiels, P., D. Gabriels, and R. Hartmann. 1992. “Using the seasonal and temporal precipitation concentration index for characterizing the monthly rainfall distribution in Spain.” Catena 19 (1): 43–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/0341-8162(92)90016-5.
Monjo, R., and J. Martin-Vide. 2016. “Daily precipitation concentration around the world according to several indices.” Int. J. Climatol. 36 (11): 3828–3838. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4596.
Nourani, V., A. Danandeh Mehr, and N. Azad. 2018. “Trend analysis of hydroclimatological variables in Urmia lake basin using hybrid wavelet Mann–Kendall and Şen tests.” Environ. Earth Sci. 77 (5): 207. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-018-7390-x.
Olascoaga, M. J. 1950. “Some aspects of argentine rainfall.” Tellus 2 (4): 312–318. https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v2i4.8601.
Şen, Z. 2012. “Innovative trend analysis methodology.” J. Hydrol. Eng. 17 (9): 1042–1046. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000556.
Serinaldi, F., F. Chebana, and C. G. Kilsby. 2020. “Dissecting innovative trend analysis.” Stochastic Environ. Res. Risk Assess. 34 (5): 733–754. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-020-01797-x.
Seyhun, R., and B. Akıntuğ. 2013. “Trend analysis of rainfall in North Cyprus.” In Causes, impacts and solutions to global warming, 169–181. New York: Springer.
Suhaila, J., and A. A. Jemain. 2012. “Spatial analysis of daily rainfall intensity and concentration index in peninsular Malaysia.” Theor. Appl. Climatol. 108 (1): 235–245. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-011-0529-2.
Tao, Y., W. Wang, S. Song, and J. Ma. 2018. “Spatial and temporal variations of precipitation extremes and seasonality over China from 1961–2013.” Water (Switzerland) 10 (6): 719. https://doi.org/10.3390/w10060719.
Zaifoğlu, H., B. Akıntuğ, and A. M. Yanmaz. 2017. “Quality control, homogeneity analysis, and trends of extreme precipitation indices in Northern Cyprus.” J. Hydrol. Eng. 22 (12): 05017024. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001589.
Zaifoğlu, H., B. Akıntuğ, and A. M. Yanmaz. 2018. “Regional frequency analysis of precipitation using time series clustering approaches.” J. Hydrol. Eng. 23 (6): 05018007. https://doi.org/10.1061/%28ASCE%29HE.1943-5584.0001659.
Zhang, Q., C. Y. Xu, M. Gemmer, D. D. Chen, and C. Liu. 2009. “Changing properties of precipitation concentration in the Pearl River basin, China.” Stochastic Environ. Res. Risk Assess. 23 (3): 377–385. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-008-0225-7.
Zhang, R., L. A. Cuartas, L. V. de Castro Carvalho, K. Reis Deusdará Leal, E. M. Mendiondo, N. Abe, S. Birkinshaw, G. Samprogna Mohor, M. E. Seluchi, and C. A. Nobre. 2018. “Season-based rainfall–runoff modelling using the probability-distributed model (PDM) for large basins in southeastern Brazil.” Hydrol. Processes 32 (14): 2217–2230. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13154.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 26Issue 12December 2021

History

Received: Nov 17, 2020
Accepted: Jul 26, 2021
Published online: Oct 12, 2021
Published in print: Dec 1, 2021
Discussion open until: Mar 12, 2022

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Graduate Student, Sustainable Environment and Energy Systems Graduate Program, Middle East Technical Univ., Northern Cyprus Campus, Mersin 10, Kalkanlı, Guzelyurt 99738, Turkey. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5498-0492. Email: [email protected]
Graduate Student, Sustainable Environment and Energy Systems Graduate Program, Middle East Technical Univ., Northern Cyprus Campus, Mersin 10, Kalkanlı, Guzelyurt 99738, Turkey. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2764-145X. Email: [email protected]
Bertuğ Akıntuğ [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Center for Sustainability, Civil Engineering Program, Middle East Technical Univ., Northern Cyprus Campus, Mersin 10, Kalkanlı, Guzelyurt 99738, Turkey (corresponding author). Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

  • Assessing the changing pattern of hydro-climatic variables in the Aghanashini River watershed, India, Acta Geophysica, 10.1007/s11600-023-01033-4, (2023).

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share