Flood Frequency Analysis of Narmada River Basin in India under Nonstationary Condition
Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 24, Issue 8
Abstract
The influence of recent climate variability coupled with the intensified human-induced changes has led hydrologists to modify the flood frequency analysis (FFA) considering nonstationary behavior of time series. Presently, a case study has been undertaken to demonstrate a methodology for FFA considering nonstationarity of annual maximum flood series of six gauging sites from Narmada River Basin. Two different approaches, namely time-varying nonstationarity and nonstationarity due to physical covariates, have been applied in the present case. The influence of climate indices and the effect of reservoir constructions on the Narmada River Basin have been included as external covariates. The results indicated that the construction of reservoirs has played a major role for the changing behavior of flood series of Narmada River Basin from stationary to nonstationary. Due to nonstationarity, the return level flood value increased substantially with time and may create problems for the old structures, which were designed using traditional FFA assumptions of stationarity. The present case study can be used as an alternative to the stationary FFA for any basins worldwide, which will provide more options to the designers and managers.
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Data Availability Statement
The data and models used during the study are available in online. Direct requests for these materials may be made to the provider as indicated in the “Acknowledgments.”
Acknowledgments
The authors are thankful to Dr. Chandranath Chatterjee (Professor, IIT Kharagpur), Dr. Brajesh Kumar, Dr. Asmita Murumkar, and Ms. Bratati Chowdhury for providing useful suggestions. The authors want to sincerely thank to the Central Water Commission for providing the flow data of Narmada River Basin.
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Published In
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 24 • Issue 8 • August 2019
Copyright
©2019 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Sep 11, 2018
Accepted: Mar 7, 2019
Published online: Jun 3, 2019
Published in print: Aug 1, 2019
Discussion open until: Nov 3, 2019
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