Integrated Hydrologic-Hydrodynamic Modeling of Estuarine-Riverine Flooding: 2008 Tropical Storm Fay
Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 22, Issue 8
Abstract
Soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) and advanced circulation (ADCIRC) models were integrated to generate a hydrologic (SWAT)–hydrodynamic (ADCIRC) model applicable for flood prediction in coastal areas. The model is applied to the lower St. Johns River Basin for a holistic postevent analysis of Tropical Storm Fay (2008). Validation of the model is presented, followed by physical-forcing and temporal assessments of inundation within the river-adjacent watershed basins. The model validation and inundation assessment demonstrates the need to apply watershed runoff as an additional boundary condition in order to more fully capture the peak surge and recession, which added to storm tide elevation in the lower St. Johns River, extended the surge recession by nearly 5 days, and increased the inundated watershed area by almost 50%. Watershed inundation ranges between for normal tide conditions and for an approximate 1-in-100-year event (Tropical Storm Fay). Implementation of the approach requires careful definition of the SWAT-ADCIRC interfaces at tributaries and river offshoots, which for the case of the lower St. Johns River Basin was accomplished with 8 inflow boundary condition locations. Other details of the approach are discussed, and general guidance for application to other estuaries is provided.
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Acknowledgments
This research was funded in part under Award No. NA10OAR4170079 from Florida Sea Grant (FSG), Award No. NA10NOS4780146 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Center for Sponsored Coastal Ocean Research (CSCOR), and the St. Johns River Economic Impact Study: Phase 1—Ecosystem Services Valuation project from the St. Johns River Water Management District (SJRWMD). The STOKES Advanced Research Computing Center (ARCC) and the University of North Florida (UNF) College of Computing, Engineering and Construction (CCEC) contributed time in their high-performance computing facilities to perform the model simulations. The authors thank Peter V. Sucsy and Timothy B. Cera of the SJRWMD for providing a wealth of information on the lower St. Johns River Basin. The statements and conclusions are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of FSG, NOAA-CSCOR, SJRWMD, STOKES-ARCC, UNF-CCEC, or their affiliates.
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Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 22 • Issue 8 • August 2017
Copyright
©2017 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Apr 7, 2016
Accepted: Mar 2, 2017
Published online: May 30, 2017
Published in print: Aug 1, 2017
Discussion open until: Oct 30, 2017
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