Technical Papers
Sep 2, 2016

Evolutionary Modeling of Response of Water Table to Precipitations

Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 22, Issue 2

Abstract

The analysis of the dynamic response of aquifers to rainfall is a key issue for groundwater resource management. A data-driven evolutionary modeling approach, evolutionary polynomial regression, based on multiobjective optimization is used here in order to identify explicit equations that forecast groundwater piezometric levels as a function of past rainfall values and past measured values of groundwater table levels. This methodology is applied here to two aquifers located in the same climatic area of southeast Italy, representative of two completely different hydrogeological scenarios: a deep coastal karst aquifer and a shallow porous aquifer. An evolutionary polynomial regression approach using commercially available software returns highly reliable model that allow for describing the different hydrogeological behaviors of the two aquifers. These models can be used both for planning the management of groundwater resources and for obtaining new scientific insight about the aquifers, looking at the equations and at the variables identified by the software model.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

This work was partly founded by the Apulian Regional Government as part of the project Future in Research, Data Driven Models for Groundwater Management and the Geomorphic Analysis of Landscape, project number 4A46U38.

References

Adamowski, J., and Chan, H. F. (2011). “A wavelet neural network conjunction model for groundwater level forecasting.” J. Hydrol., 407(1), 28–40.
Anderson, M. P., Woessner, W. W., and Randall, J. H. (2015). Applied groundwater modeling, 2nd Ed., Elsevier, San Diego, 630.
Babovic, V. (2005). “Data mining in hydrology.” Hydrol. Processes, 19(7), 1511–1515.
Cotecchia, V., Grassi, D., and Polemio, M. (2005). “Carbonate aquifers in Apulia and seawater intrusion.” Giornale di Geologia Applicata, 1, 219–231 (in Italian).
Doglioni, A., Galeandro, A., and Simeone, V. (2015a). “Evolutionary data-driven modeling of Salento shallow aquifer response to rainfall.” Engineering geology for society and territory, river basins, reservoir sedimentation and water resources, G. Lollino, M. Arattano, M. Rinaldi, O. Giustolisi, J. C. Marechal, and G. E. Grant, eds., Vol. 3, Springer, Switzerland.
Doglioni, A., Galeandro, A., and Simeone, V. (2015b). “Data mining and data-driven modeling in engineering geology applications.” Engineering geology for society and territory—Urban geology, sustainable planning and landscape exploitation, G. Lollino, A. Manconi, F. Guzzetti, M. Culshaw, P. Bobrowsky, and F. Luino, eds., Vol. 5, Springer, Switzerland.
Doglioni, A., Mancarella, D., Simeone, V., and Giustolisi, O. (2010). “Inferring groundwater system dynamics from time series data.” Hydrol. Sci. J., 55(4), 593–608.
Doglioni, A., and Simeone, V. (2014a). “Data-driven modeling of the dynamic response of a large deep karst aquifer.” Eng. Procedia, 89, 1254–1259.
Doglioni, A., and Simeone, V. (2014b). “Geomorphometric analysis based on discrete wavelet transform.” Environ. Earth Sci., 71(7), 3095–3108.
Doglioni, A., Simeone, V., and Giustolisi, O. (2012). “The activation of ephemeral streams in karst catchments of semi-arid regions.” Catena, 99, 54–65.
Efron, B. (1979). “Bootstrap methods: Another look at the jackknife.” Ann. Stat., 7(1), 1–26.
EPRMOGA version 1.00 [Computer software]. 〈http://www.hydroinformatics.it〉, Bari, Italy.
Friedel, M. J., de Souza Filho, O. A., Iwashita, F., Silva, A. M., and Yoshinaga, S. (2012). “Data-driven modeling for groundwater exploration in fractured crystalline terrain.” Northeast Brazil.” Hydrogeol. J., 20(6), 1061–1080.
Giustolisi, O., Doglioni, A., Laucelli, D., and Savic, D. A. (2004). “A proposal for an effective multiobjective non-dominated genetic algorithm: The optimised multi-objective genetic algorithm, OPTIMOGA.”, School of Engineering Computer Science and Mathematics, Centre for Water Systems, Univ. of Exeter, Exeter, U.K.
Giustolisi, O., and Savic, D. A. (2009). “Advances in data-driven analyses and modelling using EPR-MOGA.” J. Hydroinf., 11(3–4), 225–236.
Goldberg, D. E. (1989). Genetic algorithms in search, optimization, and machine learning, Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA, 432.
Hong, Y. M., and Wan, S. (2011). “Information-based system identification for predicting the groundwater-level fluctuations of hillslopes.” Hydrogeol. J., 19(6), 1135–1149.
Koza, J. R. (1992). “Genetic programming: On the programming of computers by means of natural selection (complex adaptive systems).” A bradford book, 1st Ed., MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 840.
Kresic, N. (1997). Quantitative solutions in hydrogeology and groundwater modeling, 2nd Ed., CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL, 480.
Kresic, N., and Mikszewski, A. (2012). Hydrogeological conceptual site models: Data analysis and visualization, CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL, 600.
Li, X., Shu, L., Liu, L., Yin, D., and Wen, J. (2012). “Sensitivity analysis of groundwater level in Jinci Spring Basin (China) based on artificial neural network modeling.” Hydrogeol. J., 20(4), 727–738.
Ljung, L. (1999). System identification: Theory for the user, 2nd Ed., Prentice-Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ, 672.
Mancarella, D., and Simeone, V. (2008). “Modellazione e previsione nei sistemi idrogeologici mediante la tecnica EPR (evolutionary polynomial regression).” Giornale di Geologia Applicata, 8(1), 8–16 (in Italian).
Morano, P., and Tajani, F. (2014). “Least median of squares regression and minimum volume ellipsoid estimator for outliers detection in housing appraisal.” Int. J. Bus. Intell. Data Mining, 9(2), 91–111.
Mount, N. J., Dawson, C. W, and Abrahart, R. J. (2013). “Legitimising data-driven models: Exemplification of a new data-driven mechanistic modelling framework.” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17(7), 2827–2843.
Nash, J. E., and Sutcliffe, J. V. (1970). “River flow forecasting through conceptual models. Part 1: A discussion of principles.” J. Hydrol., 10(3), 282–290.
Pareto, V. (1896). “Cours D’Economie Politique.” Rouge and Cic, Lausanne, Switzerland (in French).
Polemio, M., and Lonigro, T. (2015). “Trends in climate, short-duration rainfall, and damaging hydrogeological events (Apulia, southern Italy).” Nat. Hazards, 75(1), 515–540.
Ricchetti, E., and Polemio, M. (1996). “L’acquifero superficiale del territorio di Brindisi: Dati idrogeolo-gici diretti e immagini radar da satellite.” Memorie della Società Geologica Italiana, 51, 1059–1074 (in Italian).
Romanazzi, A., and Polemio, M. (2013). “Modelling of coastal karst aquifers for management support: A case study of Salento (Apulia, Italy).” Ital. J. Eng. Geol. Environ., 2013(1), 65–83.
Rushton, K. R. (2003). Groundwater hydrology: Conceptual and computational models, Wiley, Chichester, U.K., 416.
Shirmohammadi, B., Vafakhah, M., Moosavi, V., and Moghaddamnia, A. (2013). “Application of several data-driven techniques for predicting groundwater level.” Water Resour. Manage., 27(2), 419–432.
Sun, N. Z. (2013). Inverse problems in groundwater modeling, Vol. 6, Springer, Berlin, 338.
Trichakis, I. C., Nikolos, I. K., and Karatzas, G. P. (2011). “Artificial neural network (ANN) based modeling for karstic groundwater level simulation.” Water Resour. Manage., 25(4), 1143–1152.
Vassallo, R., Doglioni, A., Grimaldi, G. M., Di Maio, C., and Simeone, V. (2016). “Relationships between rain and displacements of an active earthflow: A data-driven approach by EPRMOGA.” Nat. Hazards, 81(3), 1467–1482.
Wojda, P., and Brouyère, S. (2013). “An object-oriented hydrogeological data model for groundwater projects.” Environ. Modell. Software, 43, 109–123.
Yoon, H., Jun, S. C., Hyun, Y., Bae, G. O., and Lee, K. K. (2011). “A comparative study of artificial neural networks and support vector machines for predicting groundwater levels in a coastal aquifer.” J. Hydrol., 396(1), 128–138.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 22Issue 2February 2017

History

Received: Feb 23, 2016
Accepted: Jul 27, 2016
Published online: Sep 2, 2016
Published in print: Feb 1, 2017
Discussion open until: Feb 2, 2017

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Angelo Doglioni [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Technical Univ. of Bari, via Orabona 4, 70125 Bari, Italy (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Vincenzo Simeone
Full Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Technical Univ. of Bari, via Orabona 4, 70125 Bari, Italy.

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share