Technical Papers
Mar 1, 2016

Evaluation of Estimation of Distribution Algorithm to Calibrate Computationally Intensive Hydrologic Model

Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 21, Issue 6

Abstract

The estimation of distribution algorithm (EDA) is a new evolutionary algorithm developed as an alternative to the traditional genetic algorithm (GA). The EDA guides the search by avoiding the crossover and mutation operators of the GA in favor of building and sampling probabilistic distributions of promising candidate solutions. By increasing the probability of generating solutions with better fitness values, the EDA locates the region of the global optimum or its accurate approximation. In this study, EDA was used to calibrate the parameters of the soil and water assessment tool hydrologic model for the Xunhe River Basin in China. The EDA was compared with three other algorithms: (1) the Multistart Local Metric Stochastic Radial Basis Function algorithm (a surrogate optimization method), (2) the Shuffled Complex Evolution algorithm, and (3) the GA. Four metrics are presented to assess the performance of the algorithms: (1) efficiency in terms of the average best objective function value in a limited number of function evaluations, (2) variability in terms of standard deviation and the box plot, (3) reliability in terms of the empirical cumulative distribution function, and (4) accuracy in terms of the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient and overall volume error. Results indicated that the EDA is more efficient and could provide more accurate solutions with a relatively high probability, at least for this case study.

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Acknowledgments

This study was supported by the Excellent Young Scientist Foundation of NSFC (51422907) and NSFC (51579180). The authors would like to thank the editor and the anonymous reviewers for their comments that helped improve the quality of the paper.

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Go to Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 21Issue 6June 2016

History

Received: Jun 28, 2015
Accepted: Nov 25, 2015
Published online: Mar 1, 2016
Published in print: Jun 1, 2016
Discussion open until: Aug 1, 2016

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Zejun Li
Ph.D. Student, State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan Univ., Wuhan 430072, China.
Professor, State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan Univ., Wuhan 430072, China (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Chao Deng
Ph.D. Student, Hubei Provincial Collaborative Innovation Center for Water Resources Security, College of Water Resources and Hydropower, Wuhan Univ., No. 8, Donghu Rd. (South), Wuhan 430072, China.
Shenglian Guo
Professor, Hubei Provincial Collaborative Innovation Center for Water Resources Security, College of Water Resources and Hydropower, Wuhan Univ., No. 8, Donghu Rd. (South), Wuhan 430072, China.
Ping He
Professor, China International Engineering Consulting Corporation, Zhongzi Bldg., No. 32, Chegongzhuang Rd. (West), Beijing 100048, China.
Caijun Wang, Ph.D.
China International Engineering Consulting Corporation, Zhongzi Bldg., No. 32, Chegongzhuang Rd. (West), Beijing 100048, China.

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