Technical Papers
Nov 9, 2012

Bypassing Determination of Time of Concentration

Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 18, Issue 12

Abstract

Reanalysis of the records, upon which the 120-year-old Rational Formula is based, reveals that the published linear relationship between rainfall duration and the ratio of peak discharge to the product of rainfall intensity and watershed area can also be replaced by a logarithmic regression. Such a regression is found, with reasonable correlation, suitable for two-dimensional laboratory watersheds, for four experimental urban watersheds, and for five small watersheds in Israel. Combining this regression with a power-law regression between rainfall intensity and duration, associated with any given recurrence interval, yields a general relationship between the variables. From this and through simple mathematical operations, the maximum discharge associated with that recurrence interval is determined. The variables in the new equation are watershed area and the empirical parameters of the regressions. Application of this equation bypasses determination of the highly influential time of concentration, which is an immeasurable variable and for which varied surrogates are used. It also saves determination of the coefficient C of the Rational Formula. Yet, it requires preparation of regional models for estimation parameter values of the logarithmic regression. Application of the proposed method on the outdoor watersheds, with intensity-duration-frequency curves for representative meteorological stations, yields realistic results. The application for one of those watersheds, with an observational period of 40 years, reveals a wide difference between the prediction through the proposed method and that through statistics of recorded peak discharges. The difference is attributable to association of recurrence intervals of rainfall intensities with peak runoff discharges. The difference is reduced by use of statistics for rainfall intensities during the subseason of high discharges rather than during the entire rainy season.

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Acknowledgments

A. Ben-Zvi was supported by the NSF Grants GP-1464 and GK-1155. Rita Chudinov of the Israel Hydrological Service prepared the map of the hydrometric and meteorological stations. Ayal Siegel of the Israel Hydrological Service provided the data of his thesis. Benjamin Azmon of the Israel Hydrological service provided helpful information on K. Eliezer hydrometric station. Two reviewers contributed to the quality of the paper.

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Published In

Go to Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 18Issue 12December 2013
Pages: 1674 - 1683

History

Received: Feb 9, 2012
Accepted: Nov 7, 2012
Published online: Nov 9, 2012
Discussion open until: Apr 9, 2013
Published in print: Dec 1, 2013

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Arie Ben-Zvi [email protected]
F.ASCE
Adjunct Professor, Sami Shamoon College of Engineering, Basel and Byalik St., Beer Sheva 84100, Israel; and Volunteer Hydrologist, Israel Hydrological Service, P.O. Box 91360, Jerusalem 91360, Israel. E-mail: [email protected]

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