TECHNICAL PAPERS
Sep 6, 2010

Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Reference Evapotranspiration Trends in the Haihe River Basin, China

Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 16, Issue 3

Abstract

In this study, the spatial and temporal patterns of trends for reference evapotranspiration (RET) at 34 meteorological stations (between 1957 and 2007) in the Haihe River basin, China, were analyzed using the Mann-Kendall (MK) test and the Sen’s method. To reveal the possible causes and main driving forces of the changing patterns of RET, the spatial distribution and temporal patterns of trends for four meteorological variables (i.e., temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, and sunshine duration) were examined for each station. In addition, partial relative analysis between RET and meteorological variables and a sensitivity analysis of RET to meteorological variables were conducted. The results show the following: First, the Haihe River basin is dominated by a significant decreasing MK trend in annual RET at >95% confidence level, which is observed at most stations in the eastern and southern areas of the basin. There are no observed trends or significant increasing MK trends in annual RET in the western plateau. For the intra-annual variability of RET, similar spatial-changing patterns are only observed in summer. Second, there are no obvious trends in RET from the late 1950s to the early 1970s for the whole basin. However, opposite trends of RET in the plateau area are identified after the 1970s in comparison with those in the plain and mountain area of the Haihe River basin. These two trends become significant in the late 1990s. Third, wind speed and sunshine duration are recognized as the two major driving forces for the decreasing trends in RET. Relative humidity is mainly responsible for the increasing trends in the western Haihe River basin during recent decades.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

This study was financially supported by the Major State Basic Research Development Program of China (973 Program, UNSPECIFIED2006CB403400), National Natural Science Fund of China (UNSPECIFIED51009046, 50839002 and 50809021), the Natural Science Fund of Jiangsu Province (UNSPECIFIEDBK2010519), and the Open Research Fund Program of State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Sciences (UNSPECIFIED2009B053). The authors are also grateful to the National Meteorological Information Center of China for providing the meteorological data.

References

Allen, R. G., Pereira, L. S., Raes, D., and Smith, M. (1998). “Crop evapotranspiration—guidelines for computing crop water requirements.” Irrig. and Drain. Paper 56, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome.
Bandyopadhyay, A., Bhadra, A., Raghuwanshi, N. S., and Singh, R. (2009). “Temporal trends in estimates of reference evapotranspiration over India.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 14(5), 508–515.
Blaney, H. F., and Criddle, W. D. (1950). “Determining water requirements in irrigated area from climatological irrigation data.” U.S. Department of Agriculture, Soil Conservation Service Technical Paper, No. 96, 48. Washington, DC.
Brutsaert, W., and Parlange, M. (1998). “Hydrologic cycle explains the evaporation paradox.” Nature (London), 396, 30.
Burn, D. H., and Hesch, N. M. (2007). “Trends in evaporation for the Canadian prairies.” J. Hydrol., 336, 61–73.
Cannarozzo, M., Noto, L. V., and Viola, F. (2006). “Spatial distribution of rainfall trends in Sicily (1921–2000).” Phys. Chem. Earth, 31, 1201–1211.
Chattopadhyay, N., and Hulme, M. (1997). “Evaporation and potential evapotranspiration in India under conditions of recent and future climate change.” Agric. Forest Meteorol., 87, 55–73.
Chen, S., Liu, Y., and Thomas, A. (2006). “Climatic change on the Tibetan Plateau: Potential evapotranspiration trend from 1961–2006.” Clim. Change, 76, 291–319.
Cong, Z. T., and Yang, D. W. (2009). “Does evaporation paradox exist in China?” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 357–366.
Gao, G., Chen, D. L., Ren, G. Y., Chen, Y., and Liao, Y. M. (2006). “Spatial and temporal variations and controlling factors of potential evapotranspiration in China: 1956–2000.” J. Geogr. Sci., 16, 3–12.
Gerstengarbe, F. W., and Werner, P. C. (1999). “Estimation of the beginning and end of recurrent events within a climate regime.” Climate Res., 11, 97–107.
Golubev, V. S., et al. (2001). “Evaporation changes over the contiguous United States and the former USSR: A reassessment.” Geophys. Res. Lett., 28(13), 2665–2668.
Gong, L. B., Xu, C. Y., Chen, D. L., Halldin, S., and Chen, Y. Q. D. (2006). “Sensitivity of the Penman-Monteith reference evapotranspiration to key climatic variables in the Changjiang (Yangtze River) basin.” J. Hydrol., 329, 620–629.
Goyal, R. K. (2004). “Sensitivity of evapotranspiration to global warming: a case study of arid zone of Rajasthan (India).” Agric. Water Manage., 69, 1–11.
Haan, C. T. (2002). Statistical methods in hydrology (2nd version), Blackwell, Ames, IA.
Huntington, T. G. (2006). “Evidence for intensification of the global water cycle: Review and synthesis.” J. Hydrol. (Amsterdam, Neth.), 319, 83–95.
Iman, R. L., and Helton, J. C. (1988). “An investigation of uncertainty and sensitivity analysis techniques for computer models.” Risk Analysis, 8(1), 71–90.
IPCC. (2007). “Summary for policymakers.” Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Avery, M. Tignor, and H. L. Miller, eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 〈http:/www.ipcc.ch/SPM2feb07.pdf〉.
Janssen, P. H. M., Heuberger, P. S. C., and Sanders, R. (1992). “UNCSAM 1.1: A software package for sensitivity and uncertainty analysis.” Rep. No. 959101004, National Institute of Public Health and Environmental Protection, Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
Jhajharia, D., Shrivastava, S. K., Sarkar, D., and Sarkar, S. (2009). “Temporal characteristics of pan evaporation trends under the humid conditions of northeast India.” Agric. Forest Meteorol., 149, 763–777.
Jun, A., Hideyukin, K., and Lu, M. (2004). “Pan evaporation trends in Japan and its relevance to the variability of the hydrological cycle.” Tenki, 51(9), 667–678.
Kahya, E., and Kalayci, S. (2004). “Trend analysis of streamflow in Turkey.” J. Hydrol. (Amsterdam, Neth.), 289, 128–144.
Kendall, M. G. (1975). Rank correlation methods, Griffin, London.
Kundzewicz, Z. W., and Somlyody, L. (1997). “Climatic change impact on water resources in a systems perspective.” Water Resour. Manage., 11, 407–435.
Liu, B. H., Xu, M., Henderson, M., and Gong, W. G. (2004). “A spatial analysis of pan evaporation trends in China, 1955–2000.” J. Geophys. Res., 109, D15102.
Liu, C., and Xia, J. (2004). “Water problems and hydrological research in the Yellow River and the Huai and Hai River basins of China.” Hydrol. Processes, 18, 2197–2210.
Mann, H. B. (1945). “Nonparametric tests against trend.” Econometrica, 13, 245–259.
McVicar, T. R., Van Niel, T. G., Li, L. T., Hutchinson, M. F., Mu, X. M., and Liu, Z. H. (2007). “Spatially distributing monthly reference evapotranspiration and pan evaporation considering topographic influences.” J. Hydrol. (Amsterdam, Neth.), 338, 196–220.
Moonen, A. C., Ercoli, L., Mariotti, M., and Masoni, A. (2002). “Climate change in Italy indicated by agrometeorological indices over 122 years.” Agric. For. Meteorol., 111, 13–27.
Oguntunde, P. G., Friesen, J., van de Giesen, N., and Savenije, H. H. G. (2006). “Hydroclimatology of Volta River Basin in West Africa: Trends and variability from 1901 to 2002.” Phys. Chem. Earth., 31, 1180–1188.
Ohmura, A., and Wild, M. (2002). “Is the hydrological cycle accelerating?” Science, 298, 1345–1346.
Partal, T., and Kahya, E. (2006). “Trend analysis in Turkish precipitation data.” Hydrol. Processes, 20, 2011–2026.
Paturel, J. E., Servat, E., and Vassiliadis, A. (1995). “Sensitivity of conceptual rainfall-runoff algorithms to errors in input data-case of the GR2M model.” J. Hydrol. (Amsterdam, Neth.), 168, 111–125.
Penman, H. L. (1948). “Natural evaporation from open water, bare soil and grass.” Proc. R. Soc. London, 193, 120–145.
Penman, H. L. (1956). “Evaporation: An introductory survey.” Neth. J. Agric. Sci., 4, 9–29.
Peterson, T. C., Golubev, V. S., and Groisman, P. Y. (1995). “Evaporation losing its strength.” Nature, 377, 687–688.
Qiu, X. F., Liu, C. M., and Zeng, Y. (2003). “Changes of pan evaporation in the recent 40 years over the Yellow River basin.” J. Nat. Resour. Life Sci. Educ., 18, 437–447 (in Chinese).
Ramirez, J. A., and Finnerty, B. (1996). “CO2 and temperature effect on evapotranspiration and irrigated agriculture.” J. Irrig. Drain Eng., 122, 155–163.
Roderick, M. L., and Farquhar, G. D. (2004). “Changes in Australian pan evaporation from 1970 to 2002.” Int. J. Climatology, 24, 1077–1090.
Roderick, M. L., Rotstayn, L. D., Farquhar, G. D., and Hobbins, M. T. (2007). “On the attribution of changing pan evaporation.” Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L17403.
Sen, P. K. (1968a). “Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall’s tau.” J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 63, 1379–1389.
Sen, P. K. (1968b). “On a class of aligned rank order tests in two-way layouts.” Ann. Math. Stat., 39, 1115–1124.
Tebakari, T., Yoshitani, J., and Suvanpimol, C. (2005). “Time-space trend analysis in pan evaporation over Kingdom of Thailand.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 10(3), 205–215.
Thomas, A. (2000). “Spatial and temporal characteristics of potential evapotranspiration trends over China.” Int. J. Climatol., 20, 381–396.
Van, B. G., and Hughes, J. P. (1984). “Nonparametric tests for trend in water quality.” Water Resour. Res., 20, 127–136.
Von Storch, H. (1995). “Misuses of statistical analysis in climate research.” Analysis of climate variability: Application of statistical techniques, H. Von Storch and A. Navarra, eds., Springer, Berlin, 11–26.
Wang, J., Hao, Z., Jiang, T., Shi, J., and Zeng, T. (2003). “Study on reference evapotranspiration in the Yangtze River under increasing temperature.” J. Lake Sci., 15, 277–288 (in Chinese).
Wang, Y., Jiang, T., Bothe, O., and Fraedrich, K. (2007). “Changes of pan evaporation and reference evapotranspiration in the Yangtze River basin.” Theor. Appl. Climatol., 90, 13–23.
Xia, J., Feng, H. L., Zhang, C. S., and Niu, C. W. (2006). “Determination of a reasonable percentage for ecological water-use in the Haihe River basin, China.” Pedosphere, 16(1), 33–42.
Xu, C. Y., Gong, L., Jiang, T., Chen, D., and Singh, V. P. (2006). “Analysis of spatial distribution and temporal trend of reference evapotranspiration and pan evaporation in Changjiang (Yangtze River) catchment.” J. Hydrol. (Amsterdam, Neth.), 327, 81–93.
Xu, C. Y., and Singh, V. P. (2004). “Review on regional water resources assessment under stationary and changing climate.” Water Resour. Manage., 18(6), 591–612.
Xu, C. Y., and Singh, V. P. (2005). “Evaluation of three complementary relationship evapotranspiration models by water balance approach to estimate actual regional evapotranspiration in different climatic regions.” J. Hydrol. (Amsterdam, Neth.), 308, 105–121.
Yin, Y., Wu, S., Chen, G., and Dai, E. (2009). “Attribution analyses of potential evapotranspiration changes in China since the 1960s.” Theor. Appl. Climatol., .
Yuan, F., Xie, Z. H., Liu, Q., and Xia, J. (2005). “Simulating hydrologic changes with climate change scenarios in the Haihe River basin.” Pedosphere, 15(5), 595–600.
Yue, S., Pilon, P., Phinney, B., and Cavadias, G. (2002). “The influence of autocorrelation on the ability to detect trend in hydrological series.” Hydrol. Processes, 16, 1807–1829.
Zhang, X., Ren, Y., Yin, Z. Y., Lin, Z., and Zheng, D. (2009). “Spatial and temporal variation patterns of reference evapotranspiration across the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau during 1971–2004.” J. Geophys. Res., 114, D15105.
Zhang, Q., Xu, C. Y., Zhang, Z., Chen, Y. D., Liu, C. L., and Lin, H. (2008). “Spatial and temporal variability of precipitation maxima during 1960–2005 in the Yangtze River basin and possible association with large-scale circulation.” J. Hydrol. (Amsterdam, Neth.), 353, 215–227.
Zhang, Y. L., Qin, B. Q., and Chen, W. M. (2004). “Analysis of 40 year records of solar radiation data in Shanghai, Nanjing and Hangzhou in eastern China.” Theor. Appl. Climatol., 78, 217–227.
Zhang, Y. Q., Liu, C. M., Tang, Y. H., and Yang, Y. H. (2007). “Trends in pan evaporation and reference and actual evapotranspiration across the Tibetan Plateau.” J. Geophys. Res., 112, D12110.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 16Issue 3March 2011
Pages: 239 - 252

History

Received: Nov 14, 2009
Accepted: Aug 19, 2010
Published online: Sep 6, 2010
Published in print: Mar 1, 2011

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Weiguang Wang [email protected]
Associate Professor, State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai Univ., Nanjing 210098, China (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Shizhang Peng [email protected]
Professor, State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai Univ., Nanjing 210098, China. E-mail: [email protected]
Tao Yang
Associate Professor, State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai Univ., Nanjing 210098, China.
Quanxi Shao
Principal Scientist, CSIRO Mathematical and Information Sciences, Private Bag 5, Wembley, WA 6913, Australia.
Junzeng Xu
Associate Professor, State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai Univ., Nanjing 210098, China.
Wanqiu Xing
M.S. Graduate Student, State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai Univ., Nanjing 210098, China.

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share