Regional Modeling of Climate Change Impact on Peninsular Malaysia Water Resources
Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 16, Issue 12
Abstract
The future projections of climate change by means of global climate models of the Earth provide fundamental coarse-grid-resolution hydroclimate data for studies of the effect of climate change on water resources. This paper reports on a study that was performed during 2001–2006, in which the climate change simulations of the coupled global climate model of the Canadian Center for Climate Modeling and Analysis were downscaled by a regional hydroclimate model of Peninsular Malaysia (RegHCM-PM) to the scale of the subregions and watersheds of Peninsular Malaysia (PM), to assess the effect of future climate change on its water resources. On the basis of the simulations of hydroclimatic conditions during the historical period of 1984–1993 and future periods of 2025–2034 and 2041–2050, this report concludes that the overall mean monthly streamflow is approximately the same during both the future period, and the historical period for most of the watersheds of Peninsular Malaysia, except Kelantan and Pahang. In those two watersheds, a significant increase occurs in the overall mean monthly streamflow during the future period. In the future, high flow conditions will be magnified in the Kelantan, Terengganu, Pahang, and Perak River watersheds during the wet months, whereas low monthly flows will be significantly lower in the Selangor and Klang watersheds during the dry months.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
References
Baldwin, M., Kellogg, C. E., and Thorp, J. (1938). “Soil classification.” Soils and men: Yearbook of agriculture 1938, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 979–1001.
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). (2003). FAO Soil map of the World (), Rome.
Flato, G. M., et al. (2000). “The Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis global coupled model and its climate.” Climate Dynamics, 16(6), 451–467.
Grell, G., Dudhia, J., and Stauffer, D. (1994). “A description of the fifth-generation Penn State/NCAR mesoscale model (MM5).” NCAR Technical Note NCAR/TN-398+STR, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO.
Hogg, R., and Craig, A. L. (1970). Introduction to mathematical statistics, Macmillan, Upper Saddle River, NJ, 195.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (1992). Climate Change 1992: The Supplementary Report to the IPCC Scientific Assessment, J. T. Houghton, B. A. Callander, and S. K. Varney, eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 198.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (1995). Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change, Contribution of WGI to the Second Assessment Report of the IPCC, J. T. Houghton, L. G. M. Filho, B. A. Callander, N. Harris, A. Kattenberg, and K. Maskell, eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 572.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2007). IPCC Fourth Scientific Assessment Report (AR4), Solomon et al., eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
Kavvas, M. L., et al. (1998). “A regional-scale land surface parameterization based on areally averaged hydrologic conservation equations.” Hydrol. Sci. J., 43(4), 611–631.
McFarlane, N. A., Boer, G. J., Blanchet, J.-P., and Lazare, M. (1992). “The Canadian Climate Centre second-generation general circulation model and its equilibrium climate.” J. Clim., 5(10), 1013–1044.
Pacanowski, R. C., Dixon, K., and Rosati, A. (1993). “The geophysical fluid dynamics laboratory (GFDL) modular ocean model users guide.” GFDL Ocean Group Tech. Rep. 2, GFDL, Princeton, NJ, 46.
Perry, H., and Landsberg, H. H. (1977). “Projected world energy consumption.” Energy and climate: Studies in geophysics, National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC.
Sperber, K. R., and Palmer, T. N. (1996). “Interannual tropical rainfall variability in general circulation model simulations associated with the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project.” J.Climate, 9(11), 2727–2750.
Vitart, F. (2004). “Dynamical seasonal forecasts of tropical storm statistics.” Hurricanes and typhoons: Past, present and future, R. J. Murnane, and K.-B. Liu, eds., Columbia University Press, New York.
Webster, P. J., et al. (1998). “Monsoons: Processes, predictability, and the prospects for prediction.” J. Geophys. Res., 103(C7), 14451–14510.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
© 2011 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Jun 29, 2009
Accepted: Jul 20, 2010
Published online: Jul 30, 2010
Published in print: Dec 1, 2011
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.