Case Studies
Jun 20, 2017

Oso, Washington, Landslide of March 22, 2014: Dynamic Analysis

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Publication: Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 143, Issue 9

Abstract

This paper describes and explains the spectacular mobility of the 2014 Oso landslide, which was the cause of its fatal consequences. A geomorphic interpretation of the site conditions is used to reconstruct the landslide failure mechanism. Two numerical models are used to conduct an inverse runout analysis. The models implement a newly defined rheology appropriate for liquefied soils. It is shown that this landslide occurred in two phases, characterized by different material strengths. Although the temporal sequencing of the two phases remains somewhat ambiguous, it is clear that the distal phase underwent significant undrained strength loss (liquefaction) and travelled more than 1.4 km over a nearly horizontal surface. The proximal phase underwent brittle failure, with much less strength loss than the first phase. The parent material forming the slide mass was composed of insensitive, overconsolidated glaciolacustrine silt and clay, material not traditionally recognized as liquefiable. It is hypothesized that a substantial volume of liquefaction-prone soil was formed by colluvial softening of the parent material during the process of slope development prior to 2014.

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Acknowledgments

The contents and views in this paper are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily reflect those of any of the represented corporations, agencies, organizations, and/or contributors. The authors acknowledge the information, site access, and samples provided by Snohomish County and information provided by the Washington Department of Transportation (WSDOT). The authors gratefully acknowledge the guidance provided by Jeff Jones and Dale Topham of Snohomish County during the site visit. Thanks also are due to Andrew Mitchell for many insightful discussions and assistance in the field. The authors also acknowledge the financial support provided by a graduate scholarship given by the Natural Science and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC), as well as scholarships given by the Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences at the University of British Columbia and by the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the University of Illinois. This support is gratefully acknowledged. It is acknowledged that Oldrich Hungr has participated in some of the litigation matters related to the landslide. The comments of anonymous three reviewers greatly improved the manuscript.

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Go to Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 143Issue 9September 2017

History

Received: Jul 19, 2016
Accepted: Mar 14, 2017
Published online: Jun 20, 2017
Published in print: Sep 1, 2017
Discussion open until: Nov 20, 2017

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Authors

Affiliations

Jordan Aaron [email protected]
Ph.D. Student, Dept. of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, Univ. of British Columbia, 2207 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC, Canada V6T 1Z4 (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Oldrich Hungr [email protected]
Emeritus Professor, Dept. of Earth Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, Univ. of British Columbia, 2207 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC, Canada V6T 1Z4. E-mail: [email protected]
Timothy D. Stark, F.ASCE [email protected]
Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Illinois, 205N Mathews Ave., Urbana, IL 61801-2352. E-mail: [email protected]
Ahmed K. Baghdady, S.M.ASCE [email protected]
Ph.D. Student, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Illinois, 205N Mathews Ave., Urbana, IL 61801-2352. E-mail: [email protected]

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