Simplified Procedure for the Performance-Based Prediction of Lateral Spread Displacements
Publication: Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 142, Issue 7
Abstract
Past researchers have introduced performance-based methods to simultaneously account for the various sources of uncertainty in the prediction of lateral spread displacements through the incorporation of a probabilistic analytical framework. Although these methods can effectively handle the various sources of uncertainty associated with empirical lateral spread displacement prediction, they are difficult for engineers to perform without the use of specialized numerical tools. This paper introduces a simplified procedure that approximates the results of the performance-based method through the use of lateral spread reference parameter maps. Equations are provided to correct mapped reference parameter displacements for site-specific geotechnical and topographical information to produce hazard-targeted estimates of lateral spread displacement. The simplified performance-based procedure is validated through a comparative study using several soil profiles across several cities in the United States. Results show that the simplified procedure approximates the results from the full performance-based procedure at all evaluated return periods within 3% and/or 4.0 cm.
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Acknowledgments
Funding for this study was provided in part by a Federal Highway Administration Transportation Pooled Fund Study [Award No. TPF-5(296), with participation for Utah, Alaska, Connecticut, Idaho, Montana, and South Carolina state departments of transportation] and a grant from the U.S. Geological Survey External Research Program (Award No. G14AP00031). We gratefully acknowledge this support. However, the conclusions and opinions expressed in this paper do not necessarily reflect those of our sponsors. We also wish to thank Prof. T. Leslie Youd, whose preliminary review of our paper and excellent comments were greatly appreciated.
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Published In
Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 142 • Issue 7 • July 2016
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© 2016 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Received: Jan 1, 2015
Accepted: Sep 24, 2015
Published online: Mar 29, 2016
Published in print: Jul 1, 2016
Discussion open until: Aug 29, 2016
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