Technical Papers
Jan 29, 2021

Second-Order Reliability-Based Design of Unsaturated Infinite Soil Slopes

Publication: International Journal of Geomechanics
Volume 21, Issue 4

Abstract

This paper presents an application of the second-order reliability method (SORM) to analyze shallow landslides considered as unsaturated infinite soil slopes. The accuracy of modeling the unsaturated infinite slope reliability depends on the method of evaluating the reliability index and consideration of the soil–water characteristic curve (SWCC). The variability associated with shear strength parameters and fitting parameters of the SWCC of soil is given due consideration for the reliability assessment of unsaturated soil slopes. The formulation for the unsaturated infinite soil slope using the first-order reliability method (FORM) and SORM is presented. The reliability assessment of the unsaturated soil slope based on the Monte Carlo simulations (MCS) method is used as a reference to assess the accuracy of the FORM and SORM. The results demonstrated that the percentage difference between the probability of failures evaluated using SORM and MCS is much smaller than the probability of failures computed using FORM and MCS. The comparative study shows that SORM provides more efficient and accurate reliability indices due to consideration of nonlinear limit state function associated with unsaturated soil slopes. Furthermore, six unsaturated shear strength (USS) models are considered from the literature to evaluate the slope reliability, and the most conservative model is proposed based on the results obtained. The results further revealed that the mean and standard deviations of fitting parameters of the SWCC have considerable influence on the reliability of unsaturated slopes. Finally, design charts for shallow infinite unsaturated soil slopes are proposed, because these are handy to researchers and practicing engineers to evaluate the risk associated with shallow landslides.

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Acknowledgments

Financial support for this project was provided by the Science & Engineering Research Board (SERB) which is a statutory body of the Department of Science and Technology, Government of India (Grant No. SR/FTP/ETA-026/2012) and partially by the Government of India, Ministry of Human Resource Development, which is gratefully acknowledged.

Notation

The following symbols are used in this paper:
[A]
matrix used to obtain principal curvatures;
af
fitting parameter of the SWCC related to AEV (kPa);
a
normalized parameter for af (dimensionless);
bcb
width of the cantilever beam (mm);
bwb
width of the welded beam (mm);
Cr
axial compression resistance of the concrete beam (kN);
c
effective cohesion (kPa);
cd
effective cohesion mobilized along the slip surface (kPa);
Fc
factor of safety with respect to effective cohesion;
Fϕ
factor of safety with respect to the angle of friction;
g(x), g(u)
performance function or LSF (dimensionless);
H
depth of slip surface (m);
Hw
suction head (m);
hcb
height of the cantilever beam (mm);
Ip
plasticity index of the soil;
Lcb
length of the cantilever beam (mm);
Lwb
length of the welded beam (mm);
l
width of soil element (m);
[M]
Hessian matrix having partial derivatives of second order (units of random variable);
mf
fitting parameter of the SWCC related to residual water content;
N
total number of Monte Carlo simulations;
Na, Ta
normal and shear forces acting on the slip surface (kN/m);
Nr, Tr
normal and tangential components of R (kN/m);
n
number of random variables;
nf
fitting parameter of the SWCC related to the slope of the SWCC (dimensionless);
P
forces acting on faces of the slice (kN/m);
Pf_FORM
probability of failure computed using FORM;
Pf_MCS
probability of failure computed using MCS;
Pf_SORM
probability of failure computed using SORM;
Pl
permanent load effect (kN);
Pwb
load acting on welded beam (kN);
Px
horizontal load acting on cantilever beam (kN);
Py
vertical load acting on cantilever beam (kN);
[Q]
rotation matrix (dimensionless);
[q1], [q2], …, [qn]
row vectors of matrix [Q];
R
reaction force to W (kN/m);
S
degree of saturation (dimensionless);
Sn
stability number (dimensionless);
Sy
yield strength of the cantilever beam (kPa);
[T]
matrix used for Gram–Schmidt orthogonalization;
[t1], [t2], …, [tn]
row vectors of matrix [T];
twb
height of the welded beam (mm);
U
standard normal space (dimensionless);
Ua, Uw
pore-air and pore-water forces (kN/m);
ua, uw
pore-air and pore-water pressures (kPa);
(uauw), ψ
matric suction (kPa);
u*
design point on standard normal space;
Vl
variable load effect (kN);
W
weight of soil element (kN/m);
X
physical space;
zw
depth of water table (m);
α
unit gradient vector (dimensionless);
α1, α2, …, αn
directional cosines of α (dimensionless);
βFORM, βSORM
reliability indices computed using FORM and SORM;
βMCS
reliability index computed using MCS;
γ
unit weight of soil (kN/m3);
γw
unit weight of water (kN/m3);
ɛ1
percentage difference between Pf_MCS and Pf_FORM;
ɛ2
percentage difference between Pf_MCS and Pf_SORM;
ζ
correction factor (dimensionless);
θr
residual water content;
θs
saturated water content;
θw
volumetric water content;
κi
principal curvatures of LSF (dimensionless);
μi
mean values of the random variable;
σ, σ
total and effective stresses (kPa);
σi
standard deviation of random variable;
σmax
design normal stress of the beam material (kPa);
ς
fitting parameter of shear strength models (dimensionless);
τ
shear stress (kPa);
τd
shear strength mobilized along potential slip surface (kPa);
τf
shear strength of soil (kPa);
Φ
ratio of the tangent of the effective friction angle to the tangent of the slope angle (dimensionless);
Φ()
standard normal CDF;
ϕ
effective angle of friction (°);
ϕd
effective angle of friction mobilized along slip surface (°);
χ
property of effective stress depends on the degree of saturation and varies with respect to the USS model (dimensionless);
ω
slope angle (°);
2g(u*)
second-order derivatives of LSF at the design point in the U-space; and
|g(u*)|
length of the gradient vector in the U-space.

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International Journal of Geomechanics
Volume 21Issue 4April 2021

History

Received: May 16, 2020
Accepted: Oct 23, 2020
Published online: Jan 29, 2021
Published in print: Apr 1, 2021
Discussion open until: Jun 29, 2021

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Ammavajjala Sesha Sai Raghuram, S.M.ASCE https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0284-5619 [email protected]
Research Scholar, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad, Kandi 502285, India. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0284-5619. Email: [email protected]
Associate Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad, Kandi 502285, India (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1417-3650. Email: [email protected]

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