Simulation of Highest-Order Extreme Values of Correlated Random Process
Publication: Journal of Engineering Mechanics
Volume 142, Issue 1
Abstract
Several existing methods on the extreme value estimation and signal simulation are reviewed in this study with evaluation of their performances in the simulation of the highest-order extreme values. The limitations of these methods are also discussed. Then, a new method to simulate the highest-order extreme values of a random process is presented with improvement to these limitations. Extreme value theory is involved in the estimation and Monte Carlo simulation is used in the numerical study. Estimation of the annual top 10 highest 10-min mean wind speeds is conducted for illustration. Results show that the top-order extreme values of the correlated random processes can be well simulated by the proposed method.
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Acknowledgments
This study was funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China (51408207, 91215302). It is also supported by the 111 Project (B13002). The authors give special thanks to Prof. S.S. Law, Prof. X. Chen, and Prof. H. Kawai for their valuable suggestions and comments.
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© 2015 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Sep 4, 2014
Accepted: Apr 7, 2015
Published online: May 26, 2015
Discussion open until: Oct 26, 2015
Published in print: Jan 1, 2016
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