Technical Papers
Sep 11, 2014

Establishing a Predictive Model for Chlorophyll-A Concentration in Lake Daechung, Korea Using Multilinear Statistical Techniques

Publication: Journal of Environmental Engineering
Volume 141, Issue 2

Abstract

Multilinear statistical techniques were used to establish a predictive model for chlorophyll-a concentration in Daechung reservoir, Korea. By relating water quality, weather data, and various hydrological parameters to the chlorophyll-a concentration, a correlation was able to be established between them. R statistical modeling and data mining [model tree, artificial neural network (ANN), and radial basis function (RBF)] with Weka were used specifically employed for the purpose. An empirical model was developed with and without normalization of the input data. The empirical model with normalization of the input data showed excellent correlations (R2>0.9) as compared to that without normalization of the input data (R2>0.5). Based on 10 years of data and selection attributes using Weka preprocess, COD, T-P, and PO4-P were deemed to be the best attributes for the prediction of chlorophyll-a concentration in Daechung reservoir. As compared to classical mechanistic modeling, this approach is significantly less complicated, less time-consuming and more cost effective.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

References

Daniel, E. B., Camp, J. V., LeBoeuf, E. J., Penrod, J. R., Dobbins, J. P., and Abkowitz, M. D. (2011). “Watershed modeling and its applications: A state-of-the-art review.” Open Hydrol. J., 5(1), 26–50.
Degobbis, D. (1989). “Increased eutrophication of the northern Adriatic sea, second act.” Mar. Pollut. Bull., 20(9), 452–457.
Fischer, H. B., List, E. J., Koh, R. C. Y., Imberger, J., and Brooks, N. H. (1979). Mixing in inland and coastal waters, Academic Press, New York.
Friedman, J. H. (1991). “Multivariate adaptive regression splines.” Ann. Stat., 19(1), 1–67.
GeNIe 2.0 [Computer software]. Decision Systems Laboratory, Univ. of Pittsburgh, PA.
He, G., Fang, H., Bai, S., Liu, X., Chen, M., and Bai, J. (2011). “Application of a three-dimensional eutrophication model for the Beijing Guanting reservoir, Chia.” Ecol. Modell., 222(8), 1491–1501.
Kalff, J., and Knoechel, R. (1978). “Phytoplankton and their dynamics in oligotrophic and eutrophic reservoirs.” Ann. Rev. Ecol. Syst., 9(1), 475–495.
Karul, C., Soyupak, S., Cilesiz, A. F., Akbay, N., and Germen, E. (2000). “Case Studies on the use of neural networks in eutrophication modeling.” Ecol. Modell., 134(2–3), 145–152.
Kim, J. Y. (2007). “Analysis of algal growth inhibition by hydrodynamic conditions in air diffusing system.” Ph.D. dissertation, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Deajeon, Republic of Korea.
Kim, J. H., Choi, C. M., Kim, S. B., and Kwun, S. K. (2009). “Water quality monitoring and multivariate statistical analysis for rural streams in South Korea.” Paddy Water Environ., 7(3), 197–208.
Kneale, P. E., and Alan, H. (1997). “Statistical analysis of algal and water quality data.” Hydrobiologia, 349(1/3), 59–63.
Kuo, J. T., Lung, W. S., Yang, C. P., Liu, W. C., Yang, M. D., and Tang, T. S. (2006a). “Eutrophication modelling of reservoirs in Taiwan.” Environ. Modell. Softw., 21(6), 829–844.
Kuo, J. T., Wang, Y. Y., and Lung, W. S. (2006b). “A hybrid neural-genetic algorithm for reservoir water quality management.” Water Res., 40(2006), 1367–1376.
Oh, H. M., Ahn, C. Y., Lee, J. W., Chon, T. S., Choi, K. H., and Park, Y. S. (2007). “Community patterning and identification of predominant factors in algal bloom in Daechung reservoir (Korea) using artificial neural networks.” Ecol. Modell., 203(1–2), 109–118.
Phillips, D. J. H., and Tanabe, S. (1989). “Aquatic pollution in the far east.” Mar. Pollut. Bull., 20(7), 297–303.
Qian, S. S. (2010). Environmental and ecological statistics with R, Chapman and CRC.
Quinlan, J. R. (1992). “Learning with continuous classes.” Proc., AI’92 5th Australian Joint Conf. on Artificial Intelligence, A. Adams and L. Sterling, eds., World Scientific, Singapore, 343–348.
Santos-Fernández, E. (2012). Multivariate statistical quality control using R, Springer, 2191–5458.
Slolmatine, D. P., and Siek, M. B. (2006). “Modular learning models in forecasting natural phenomena.” Neural Networks, 19(2), 215–224.
Waikato Environment for Knowledge Analysis (WEKA), version 3.6.9 [Computer software]. Hamilton, New Zealand, Univ. of Waikato, New Zealand.
Whitehead, P. G., and Hornberger, G. M. (1984). “Modeling algal behavior in the River Thames.” Water Res., 18(8), 945–953.
Witten, I. H., and Frank, E. (2005). Data mining-practical machine learning tools and techniques, 2nd Ed., Morgan Kaufmann.
Witten, I. H., Frank, E., and Hall, M. A. (2011). Data mining practical machine learning tools and techniques, 3rd Ed., Morgan Kaufmann.
Wu, G., and Xu, Z. (2011). “Prediction of algal blooming using EFDC model: Case study in the Daoxiang lake.” Ecol. Modell., 222(6), 1245–1252.
Wu, G. D., and Lo, S. L. (2010). “Effects of data normalization and inherent-factor on decision of optimal coagulant dosage in water treatment by artificial neural network.” Exp. Syst. Appl., 37(7), 4974–4983.
Wu, Q., and Cournede, P. H. (2014). “A comprehensive methodology of global sensitivity analysis for complex mechanistic models with an application to plant growth.” ECOCOM-428, 14.
Yadav, A. K., Malik, H., and Chandel, S. S. (2014). “Selection of most relevant input parameters using WEKA for artificial neural network based solar radiation prediction models.” Renewable Sustainable Energy Rev., 31, 509–519.
Zang, C., et al. (2011). “Comparison of relationships between pH, dissolved oxygen and chlorophyll a for aquaculture and non-aquaculture waters.” Water Air Soil Pollut., 219(1–4), 157–174.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Environmental Engineering
Journal of Environmental Engineering
Volume 141Issue 2February 2015

History

Received: Oct 19, 2013
Accepted: Jul 11, 2014
Published online: Sep 11, 2014
Published in print: Feb 1, 2015
Discussion open until: Feb 11, 2015

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Jaeyun Kim, Ph.D.
Professor, K-Water Academy, Jeonmin-dong, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon 305-811, Korea.
Jinwon Kim, Ph.D.
Dept. Manager, K-Water, 200, Sintanjin-ro, Daedeok-gu, Daejeon 306-711, Korea.
Yongdeok Cho, Ph.D. [email protected]
P.E.
Executive Director, Korea Water Forum, Dogokro 111, Gangnam-gu, Seoul 135-937, South Korea (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share