Hazardous Area Risk-Based Evacuation Simulation and Analysis of Building Construction Sites
Publication: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 146, Issue 5
Abstract
Building construction sites are highly complex and uncertain, and frequent incidents of dangerous events can easily lead to casualties. Thus, both risk assessment and evacuation analysis are fundamental to safety management. This paper proposed a methodology for risk-based evacuation analysis and illustrated its application with a case study. First, a joint probability model was proposed for the risk assessment of hazardous areas on construction sites, in which hazards are classified and identified by risk factor analysis. Second, a modified two-dimensional cellular automaton (CA) model was established to simulate the evacuation process by coupling the risk probability of hazardous areas into the evolution rule. A case study was presented to show that the risk-based evacuation model can describe the real-life situation as pedestrian movement is disturbed due to the occurrence of random events, especially in hazardous areas with high joint probabilities of risk. This study contributes to the body of knowledge by (1) assessing the risk of hazardous areas on construction sites with a probabilistic method; and (2) simulating the emergency evacuation process with a computational method considering the influence of hazardous areas. Therefore, a systematic approach to risk-based evacuation analysis in which the coupling between risk assessment and evacuation simulation is achieved.
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Data Availability Statement
Data generated by the authors or analyzed during the study are available at: https://drive.google.com/file/d/13dpWegYhA9vNa89DL3jh9G9T5mAtetr_/view?usp=sharing. Information about the Journal’s data-sharing policy can be found here: http://ascelibrary.org/doi/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001263.
Acknowledgments
Support from the National Key Research and Development Program of China (No. 2017YFC0805500) is gratefully acknowledged.
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Information & Authors
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Published In
Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 146 • Issue 5 • May 2020
Copyright
©2020 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: May 20, 2019
Accepted: Sep 20, 2019
Published online: Mar 16, 2020
Published in print: May 1, 2020
Discussion open until: Aug 16, 2020
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