Data-Driven Simulation Model for Quality-Induced Rework Cost Estimation and Control Using Absorbing Markov Chains
Publication: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 144, Issue 8
Abstract
This paper aims to develop a novel, data-driven simulation model to quantitatively assist decision support systems in quality-induced rework cost estimation and control for construction product fabrication. At the core of the model is a specialized absorbing Markov chain, which stochastically models the construction product fabrication process while considering quality-induced rework uncertainty. The model parameters are dynamically updated using real-time quality management and cost management information to achieve more accurate and reliable simulation outputs. Furthermore, two types of decision-support metrics are developed to support rework cost management processes, namely (1) rework cost estimation during the project planning phase, and (2) rework cost control during the project execution phase. An illustrative example is provided to demonstrate the functionalities of the model and the implementation of the decision-support metrics. Finally, the proposed approach is integrated into the previously developed simulation-based analytics framework and implemented by an industrial pipe fabrication company in Edmonton, Canada. The presented case study demonstrates the applicability and feasibility of the proposed approach to industrial pipe welding processes.
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Data Availability Statement
Data analyzed during the study were provided by a third party. Requests for data should be directed to the provider indicated in the Acknowledgments. Information about the Journal’s data sharing policy can be found here: http://ascelibrary.org/doi/10.1061/%28ASCE%29CO.1943-7862.0001263.
Acknowledgments
This research is funded by the Natural Science and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC) Collaborative Research and Development Grant (CRDPJ 492657). The authors would like to acknowledge Rob Reid, Doug McCarthy, Jason Davio, and Christian Jukna for sharing their knowledge and expertise of industrial pipe welding quality and cost management.
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Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 144 • Issue 8 • August 2018
Copyright
©2018 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Nov 3, 2017
Accepted: Mar 7, 2018
Published online: Jun 14, 2018
Published in print: Aug 1, 2018
Discussion open until: Nov 14, 2018
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