TECHNICAL PAPERS
Jul 1, 2007

Return Period of Soil Liquefaction

Publication: Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 133, Issue 7

Abstract

The paper describes a performance-based approach to the evaluation of liquefaction potential, and shows how it can be used to account for the entire range of potential ground shaking. The result is a direct estimate of the return period of liquefaction, rather than a factor of safety or probability of liquefaction conditional upon ground shaking with some specified return period. As such, the performance-based approach can be considered to produce a more complete and consistent indication of the actual likelihood of liquefaction at a given location than conventional procedures. In this paper, the performance-based procedure is introduced and used to compare likelihoods of the initiation of liquefaction at identical sites located in areas of different seismicity. The results indicate that the likelihood of liquefaction depends on the position and slope of the peak acceleration hazard curve, and on the distribution of earthquake magnitudes contributing to the ground motion hazard. The results also show that the consistent use of conventional procedures for the evaluation of liquefaction potential produces inconsistent actual likelihoods of liquefaction.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

The research described in this paper was funded by the Washington State Department of Transportation; the support of Tony Allen and Kim Willoughby is gratefully acknowledged. A portion of the work was completed while the senior writer was on sabbatical leave at the International Centre for Geohazards at the Norwegian Geotechnical Institute, where he benefited greatly from discussions with Dr. Farrokh Nadim. The performance-based approach described in the paper was motivated by the senior writer’s involvement with PEER, and particularly by discussions with Professor C. Allin Cornell. The writers are grateful to Dr. Donald G. Anderson, Professor Stephen E. Dickenson, Dr. Robert M. Pyke, Professor Jonathan P. Stewart, and Steven G. Vick for their constructive comments.

References

Arango, I., Ostadan, F., Cameron, J., Wu, C. L., and Chang, C. Y. (2004). “Liquefaction probability of the BART Transbay Tube backfill.” Proc., 11th Int. Conf. on Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering and 3rd Int. Conf. on Earthquake Geotechnical Engineering, Berkeley, Calif., I, 456–462.
Atkinson, G. M., Finn, W. D. L., and Charlwood, R. G. (1984). “Simple computation of liquefaction probability for seismic hazard applications.” Earthquake Spectra, 1(1), 107–123.
Cetin, K. O. (2000). “Reliability-based assessment of seismic soil liquefaction initiation hazard.” Ph.D. dissertation, Univ. of California, Berkeley.
Cetin, K. O., et al. (2004). “Standard penetration test-based probabilistic and deterministic assessment of seismic soil liquefaction potential.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng., 130(12), 1314–1340.
Cetin, K. O., Der Kiureghian, A., and Seed, R. B. (2002). “Probabilistic models for the initiation of soil liquefaction.” Struct. Safety 24, 67–82.
Cornell, C. A. (1968). “Engineering seismic risk analysis.” Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 58(5), 1583–1606.
Cornell, C. A., and Krawinkler, H. (2000). “Progress and challenges in seismic performance assessment.” PEER News, April 1–3, PEER, Berkeley, Calif.
Deierlein, G. G., Krawinkler, H., and Cornell, C. A. (2003). “A framework for performance-based earthquake engineering.” Proc., 2003 Pacific Conf. on Earthquake Engineering, Wellington, New Zealand.
Idriss, I. M., and Boulanger, R. W. (2004). “Semiempirical procedures for evaluating liquefaction potential during earthquakes.” Proc., 11th Int. Conf. on Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering and 3rd Int. Conf. on Earthquake Geotechnical Engineering, Berkeley, Calif., I, 32–56.
Hwang, J. H., Chen, C. H., and Juang, C. H. (2005). “Liquefaction hazard analysis: A fully probabilistic method.” Proc., of the Sessions of the Geo-Frontiers 2005 Congress, Earthquake Engineering and Soil Dynamics, R. W. Boulanger et al., eds, ASCE, Reston, Va., Paper No. 22.
Juang, C. H., and Jiang, T. (2000). “Assessing probabilistic methods for liquefaction potential evaluation.” Soil dynamics and liquefaction 2000, R. Y. S. Pak and J. Yamamuro, eds., Geotechnical Special Publication, 107, ASCE, New York, 148–162.
Krawinkler, H. (2002). “A general approach to seismic performance assessment.” Proc., Int. Conf. on Advances and New Challenges in Earthquake Engineering Research, ICANCEER, Hong Kong.
Leyendecker, E. V., Hunt, R. J., Frankel, A. D., and Rukstales, K. R. (2000). “Development of maximum considered earthquake ground motion maps.” Earthquake Spectra, 16(1), 21–40.
Liao, S. S. C., Veneziano, D., and Whitman, R. V. (1988). “Regression models for evaluating liquefaction probability.” J. Geotech. Engrg., 114(4), 389–411.
Marrone, J., Ostadan, F., Youngs, R., and Litehiser, J. (2003). “Probabilistic liquefaction hazard evaluation: Method and application.” Proc., 17th Int. Conf. Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology (SMiRT 17), Prague, Czech Republic, Paper No. M02-1.
Martin, G. R., and Lew, M., eds. (1999). “Recommended procedures for implementation of DMG Special Publication 117—Guidelines for analyzing and mitigating liquefaction hazards in California.” Southern California Earthquake Center, Los Angeles.
McGuire, R. K. (1995). “Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and design earthquakes: Closing the loop.” Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 85(5), 1275–1284.
National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research. (1997). Proc., NCEER Workshop on Evaluation of Liquefaction Resistance of Soils, T. L. Youd and I. M. Idriss eds., Technical Rep. No. NCEER, 97-022, NCEER, Buffalo, N.Y.
Seed, H. B., and Idriss, I. M. (1971). “Simplified procedure for evaluating soil liquefaction potential.” J. Soil Mech. and Found. Div. 97, 1249–1273.
Seed, H. B and Idriss, I. M (1983). Ground motions and soil liquefaction during earthquakes, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Berkeley, Calif., 134.
Seed, H. B., Tokimatsu, K., Harder, L. F., and Chung, R. M. (1985). “Influence of SPT procedures in soil liquefaction resistance evaluations.” J. Geotech. Engrg., 111(12), 1425–1445.
Stewart, J. P., Liu, A. H., and Choi, Y. (2003). “Amplification factors for spectral acceleration in tectonically active regions.” Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 93(1), 332–352.
Toprak, S., Holzer, T. L., Bennett, M. J., and Tinsley, J. C. III. (1999). “CPT- and SPT-based probabilistic assessment of liquefaction.” Proc., 7th U.S.-Japan Workshop on Earthquake Resistant Design of Lifeline Facilities and Countermeasures Against Liquefaction, Multidisciplinary Center for Earthquake Engineering Research, Buffalo, N.Y., 69–86.
Toro, G. R., Abrahamson, N. A., and Schneider, J. F. (1997). “Model of strong ground motions from earthquakes in central and eastern North America: Best estimates and uncertainties.” Seismol. Res. Lett., 68(1), 41–57.
Yegian, M. Y., and Whitman, R. V. (1978). “Risk analysis for ground failure by liquefaction.” J. Geotech. Engrg. Div., 104, 921–938.
Youd, T. L., et al. (2001). “Liquefaction resistance of soils: Summary report from the 1996 NCEER and 1998 NCEER/NSF workshops on evaluation of liquefaction resistance of soils.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng., 127, 817–833.
Youd, T. L., and Noble, S. K. (1997). “Liquefaction criteria based on statistical and probabilistic analyses.” Proc., NCEER Workshop on Evaluation of Liquefaction Resistance of Soils, National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research, Buffalo, N.Y., 201–205.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 133Issue 7July 2007
Pages: 802 - 813

History

Received: Apr 4, 2006
Accepted: Jul 20, 2006
Published online: Jul 1, 2007
Published in print: Jul 2007

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Steven L. Kramer, M.ASCE [email protected]
Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195-2700. E-mail: [email protected]
Roy T. Mayfield [email protected]
Consulting Engineer, Kirkland, WA 98034; formerly, Graduate Research Assistant, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Washington. E-mail: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share