TECHNICAL PAPERS
Nov 1, 2007

Flood Regionalization: A Hybrid Geographic and Predictor-Variable Region-of-Influence Regression Method

Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 12, Issue 6

Abstract

To facilitate estimation of streamflow characteristics at an ungauged site, hydrologists often define a region of influence containing gauged sites hydrologically similar to the estimation site. This region can be defined either in geographic space or in the space of the variables that are used to predict streamflow (predictor variables). These approaches are complementary, and a combination of the two may be superior to either. Here we propose a hybrid region-of-influence (HRoI) regression method that combines the two approaches. The new method was applied with streamflow records from 1,091 gauges in the southeastern United States to estimate the 50-year peak flow (Q50) . The HRoI approach yielded lower root-mean-square estimation errors and produced fewer extreme errors than either the predictor-variable or geographic region-of-influence approaches. It is concluded, for Q50 in the study region, that similarity with respect to the basin characteristics considered (area, slope, and annual precipitation) is important, but incomplete, and that the consideration of geographic proximity of stations provides a useful surrogate for characteristics that are not included in the analysis.

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Acknowledgments

The writers wish to thank Wladmir Guimaraes, U.S. Geological Survey, Columbia S.C., for providing the estimates of 50-year flood peaks and basin characteristics.

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Published In

Go to Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 12Issue 6November 2007
Pages: 585 - 591

History

Received: Dec 6, 2005
Accepted: Feb 5, 2007
Published online: Nov 1, 2007
Published in print: Nov 2007

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Authors

Affiliations

Research Hydrologist, National Research Program, U.S. Geological Survey, 12201 Sunrise Valley Dr., Mail Stop 430, Reston, VA 20192 (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected].
Research Hydrologist, National Research Program, U.S. Geological Survey, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/NOAA, Route 1, Forrestal Campus, Princeton, NJ 08542. E-mail: [email protected].
Gary D. Tasker [email protected].
Scientist Emeritus, National Research Program, U.S. Geological Survey, 12201 Sunrise Valley Dr., Mail Stop 430, Reston, VA 20192. E-mail: [email protected].

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