TECHNICAL PAPERS
Jul 1, 1986

St. Lawrence River Freeze‐up Forecast

Publication: Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering
Volume 112, Issue 4

Abstract

In this study a method for making long‐range forecasts of freezeup dates in rivers is developed. The method requires the initial water temperature at an upstream station, the long‐range air temperature forecast, the predicted mean flow velocity in the river reach, and water temperature response parameters. The water temperature response parameters can be either estimated from the surface heat exchange coefficient and the average flow depth or determined empirically from recorded air and water temperature data. The method is applied to the St. Lawrence River between Kingston, Ontario, and Massena, New York, and is shown to be capable of forecasting the freeze‐up data.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

References

1.
Adams, C. E., Jr. (1976). “Estimating Water Temperatures and Time of Ice Formation on the St. Lawrence River.” Limnology and Oceanography, 21(1), 128–137.
2.
Assel, R. A. (1976). “St. Lawrence River Freeze‐Up Forecast Procedure.” ERL GLERL‐6, NOAA Technical Memorandum, Great Lakes Environmental Research Lab., Ann Arbor, Mich.
3.
Bilello, M. A. (1964). “Method for Predicting River and Lake Ice Formation.” Journal of Applied Meteorology, 3(1), 33–44.
4.
Greene, G. M. (1983). “Forecasting Ice‐Cover Freeze‐Up, Growth and Break‐Up on the St. Mary's River.” ERL GLERL‐47, NOAA Technical Memorandum, Great Lakes Environmental Research Lab., Ann Arbor, Mich.
5.
Kothandaraman, V. (1971). “Analysis of Water Temperature Variations in Large Rivers.” Journal of the Sanitary Engineering Division, ASCE, 97(SA1), 19–31.
6.
Paily, P. P., Macagno, E. O., and Kennedy, J. F. (1974). “Winter‐Regime Surface Heat Loss from Heated Streams.” IIHR Report No. 155, Iowa Inst. of Hydr. Research, Iowa City, Iowa.
7.
Poulin, R. Y., Robinson, J. R., and Witherspoon, D. F. (1971). “Probability Forecasts of Water Surface Temperatures of the St. Lawrence River between Kingston, Ontario and Sorel, Quebec.” Technical Report No. 46, Inland Water Branch, Department of Energy, Mines and Resources.
8.
Rodhe, B. (1952). “On the Relation between Air Temperature and Ice Formation in the Baltic.” Georgrafiska Annaler, 34, 175–202.
9.
SAS User's Guide: Statistics. (1982). SAS Inst. Inc., Cary, N.C.
10.
Shen, H. T. (1985). “Hydraulics of River Ice.” Report 85‐1, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Clarkson University, Potsdam, N.Y.
11.
Shen, H. T., Foltyn, E. P., and Daly, S. F. (1984). “Forecast of Water Temperature Decline and Freeze‐Up in Rivers.” CRREL Report 84‐19, U.S. Army Cold Regions Research and Engrg. Lab., Hanover, N.H.
12.
Shen, H. T., and Ruggles, R. W. (1982). “Winter Heat Budget and Frazil‐Ice Production in the Upper St. Lawrence River.” Water Resources Bulletin, 18(2), 251–257.
13.
Song, C. S., Pabst, A. F., and Bowers, C. E. (1983). “Stochastic Analysis of Air and Water Temperatures.” Journal of the Environmental Engineering Division, ASCE, 99(EE6), 785–800.
14.
Song, C. S., and Chien, C. Y. (1977). “Stochastic Properties of Daily Temperatures in Rivers.” Journal of the Environmental Engineering Division, ASCE, 103(EE2), 217–231.
15.
St. Lawrence Waterway Project Report. (1926). Joint Board of Engrs., U.S. Government Printing Office.
16.
Witherspoon, D. F., and Poulin, R. Y. (1970). “A Study of the Heat Loss of the St. Lawrence River between Kingston and Cornwall.” Proceedings, 13th Conference, Great Lakes Research, 990–996.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering
Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering
Volume 112Issue 4July 1986
Pages: 467 - 481

History

Published online: Jul 1, 1986
Published in print: Jul 1986

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Edward P. Foltyn
Research Hydr. Engr., U.S. Army Cold Regions Research and Engrg. Lab., Hanover, NH; formerly Research Asst., Clarkson Univ., Potsdam, NY 13676
Hung Tao Shen, Members, ASCE
Prof. of Civ. and Environmental Engrg., Clarkson Univ., Potsdam, NY 13676

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share