TECHNICAL PAPERS
Jul 1, 2006

Model for Estimating Acute Health Impacts from Consumption of Contaminated Drinking Water

Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 132, Issue 4

Abstract

Disease transmission models predict the spread of disease over time through susceptible, infected, and recovered populations, and are commonly used to design public health intervention strategies. A modified disease model is linked to flow and transport models for water distribution systems in order to predict the health risks associated with use of contaminated water. The proposed framework provides information about the spatial and temporal distribution of health risks in distribution systems and is useful for understanding the vulnerability of drinking water systems to contamination events, as well as for designing public health and water utility strategies to reduce risks.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

References

Anderson, R. M., and May, R. M. (1991). Infectious diseases of humans: Dynamics and control, Oxford University Press, Oxford, U.K.
Barrett, C. L., Eubank, S. G., and Smith, J. P. (2005). If smallpox strikes Portland . . ., Scientific American, San Francisco.
Berry, J., Fleischer, L., Hart, W., Phillips, C., and Watson, J. P. (2004). “Sensor placement in municipal water networks.” J. Water Resour. Plan. Manage., 131(3), 237–243.
Blackburn, B., et al. (2004). “Surveillance for waterborne-disease outbreaks—United States, 2001-2002.” MMWR surveillance summaries, 53(No. SS-9).
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). (1990). MMWR, 39(No. SS-1).
Chick, S. E., Koopman, J. S., Soorapanth, S., and Brown, M. E. (2001). “Infection transmission system models for microbial risk assessment.” Sci. Total Environ., 274, 197–207.
Chick, S. E., Soorapanth, S., and Koopman, J. S. (2003). “Inferring infection transmission parameters that influence water treatment decisions.” Manage. Sci., 49(7), 920–935.
Codeco, C. T. (2001). “Endemic and epidemic dynamics of cholera: The role of the aquatic reservoir.” BMC infectious diseases, 1:1.
Colford, J. M., Eisenberg, D. M., Eisenberg, J. N. S., Scott, J., and Soller, J. A. (2003). “A dynamic model to assess microbial health risks associated with beneficial uses of biosolids—Phase 1.” Rep. 98-REM-1, Water Environment Research Foundation, Alexandria, Va.
Eisenberg, J. N. S., Seto, E. Y. W., and Colford, J. M. (1998). “An analysis of the Milwaukee Cryptosporidium outbreak based on a dynamic model of disease transmission.” Epidemiology, 9, 255–263.
Eisenberg, J. N. S., Brookhart, M. A., Rice, G., Brown, M., and Colford, J. M. (2002). “Disease transmission models for public health decision making: Analysis of epidemic and endemic conditions caused by waterborne pathogens.” Environ. Health Perspect., 110(8), 783–790.
Haas, C. N., Rose, J. B., and Gerba, C. P. (1999). Quantitative microbial risk assessment, Wiley, New York.
Propato, M., and Uber, J. (2004). “Vulnerability of water distribution systems to pathogen intrusion: How effective is a disinfection residual?” Environ. Sci. Technol., 38(13), 3713–3723.
Rossman, L. (2000). The EPANET 2 user’s manual, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C.
Uber, J., Janke, R., and Murray, R. (2004a). “Use of systems analysis to assess and minimize water security risks.” J. Contemp. Water Res. Edu., 129, 34–40.
Uber, J., Janke, R., Murray, R., and Myer, P. (2004b). “A greedy heuristic method for locating water quality sensors in distribution systems.” Proc., ASCE/EWRI Congress, ASCE, Reston, Va., 1–9.
Uber, J., Shang, F., and Rossmann, L. (2004c). “Extensions to EPANET for fate and transport of multiple interacting chemical or biological components.” Proc., ASCE/EWRI Congress, ASCE, Reston, Va.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA). (2005). “Technologies and techniques for early warning systems to monitor and evaluate drinking water quality: A state-of-the-art review.” EPA600/R-05/156, ⟨http://www.epa.gov/nhsrc/pubs/reportEWS120105.pdf⟩ (March 27, 2006).
Van den Driessche, P. (2002). “Time delay in epidemic models.” Mathematical approaches for emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases: An introduction, Springer, New York, 119–128.
Walski, T. M., Chase, D. V., Savic, D. A., Grayman, W., Beckwith, S., and Koelle, E. (2003). Advanced water distribution modeling and management, Haested, Waterbury, Conn.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 132Issue 4July 2006
Pages: 293 - 299

History

Received: Sep 1, 2005
Accepted: Oct 12, 2005
Published online: Jul 1, 2006
Published in print: Jul 2006

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Regan Murray [email protected]
Research Scientist, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 26 W. Martin Luther King Dr. (MS 163), Cincinnati, OH 45268. E-mail: [email protected]
Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Cincinnati, Cincinnati OH 45221. E-mail: [email protected]
Robert Janke [email protected]
Research Scientist, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 26 W. Martin Luther King Dr. (MS 163), Cincinnati, OH 45268. E-mail: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share