TECHNICAL PAPERS
Jun 15, 2004

Optimization of California’s Water Supply System: Results and Insights

Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 130, Issue 4

Abstract

This paper presents results of a large-scale economic-engineering optimization model of California’s water supply system. The results of this 4-year effort illustrate the value of optimization modeling for providing integrated information needed to manage a complex multipurpose water system. This information includes economic benefits of flexible operations, economic valuation of capacity expansion opportunities, estimating user willingness to pay for additional water, economic opportunity costs of environmental flows, and identification of promising conjunctive use and water transfer opportunities. The limitations of such modeling also are discussed. Overall, the results suggest improvements to system operation and water allocations with a statewide expected value potentially as high as $1.3 billion/year. Significant improvements in performance appear possible through water transfers and exchanges, conjunctive use, and various operational changes to increase flexibility. These changes also greatly reduce costs to agricultural and urban users of accommodating environmental requirements. Model results also suggest benefits for expanding selected conveyance and storage facilities.

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References

Bain, J. S., Caves, R. E., and Margolis, J. (1966). Northern California’s water industry, University of California Press, Berkeley, Calif.
California Dept. of Water Resources (CDWR). (1993). “California water plan update.” Bulletin 160-93, Sacramento, Calif.
California Dept. of Water Resources (CDWR). (1998). “California water plan update.” Bulletin 160-98, Sacramento, Calif.
Draper, A. J. (2001). “Implicit stochastic optimization with limited foresight for reservoir systems.” PhD dissertation, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, Calif.
Draper, A. J., Jenkins, M. W., Kirby, K. W., Lund, J. R., and Howitt, R. E.(2003). “Economic-engineering optimization for California water management.” J. Water Resour. Plan. Manage., 129(3), 155–164.
Haith, D. A. (1982). Environmental systems optimization, Wiley, New York, 306.
Hundley, N. (2001). The great thirst: Californians and water, University of California Press, Berkeley, Calif.
Jenkins, M. W., et al. (2001). Improving California water management: Optimizing value and flexibility, Center for Environmental and Water Resources Engineering, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, Calif. 〈http://cee.engr.ucdavis.edu/faculty/lund/CALVIN〉.
Jenkins, M. W., Lund, J. R., and Howitt, R. E. (2003). “Using economic loss functions to value urban water scarcity in California.” J. Am. Water Works Assoc., 95(2), February.
Newlin, B. D., Jenkins, M. W., Lund, J. R., and Howitt, R. E.(2002). “Southern California water markets: Potential and limitations.” J. Water Resour. Plan. Manage., 128(1), 21–32.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 130Issue 4July 2004
Pages: 271 - 280

History

Accepted: Aug 6, 2003
Received: Sep 13, 2003
Published online: Jun 15, 2004
Published in print: Jul 2004

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Authors

Affiliations

Marion W. Jenkins
Professional Researcher, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, CA 95616.
Jay R. Lund
Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, CA 95616.
Richard E. Howitt
Professor, Agricultural and Resource Economics, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, CA 95616.
Andrew J. Draper
Senior Engineer, Montgomery-Watson-Harza, San Francisco, CA.
Siwa M. Msangi
PhD Candidate, Agricultural and Resource Economics, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, CA 95616.
Stacy K. Tanaka
Doctoral Student, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, CA 95616.
Randall S. Ritzema
Engineer, CH2M-Hill, Sacramento, CA 95833.
Guilherme F. Marques
Post-Doctoral Researcher, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, CA 95616.

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