Methodology for Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Large-Scale Flood Protection System
Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 129, Issue 5
Abstract
An original modeling framework for the assessment of climate variation and change impacts on the performance of a complex flood protection system has been developed for the city of Winnipeg in the Red River basin, Manitoba, Canada. The modeling framework allows for the evaluation of different climate change scenarios generated by the global climate models. Temperature and precipitation are used as the main factors affecting flood flow generation. The main contribution of the reported work is the use of a system dynamics modeling and simulation approach in the development of a system performance assessment model. The assessment-modeling framework is based on flood flows, capacity of flood control structures, and failure flow levels at different locations in the basin. The results of this study (shown only to illustrate the methodology) indicate that the capacity of the existing Red River flood protection system is sufficient to accommodate future climate variability and change.
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Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 129 • Issue 5 • September 2003
Pages: 361 - 371
Copyright
Copyright © 2003 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Sep 17, 2001
Accepted: Aug 20, 2002
Published online: Aug 15, 2003
Published in print: Sep 2003
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