Risk-Cost Optimization under Uncertainty for Dredged Material Disposal
Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 125, Issue 6
Abstract
Disposal of contaminated dredged material may pose risks to ecological and human populations. These risks are highly uncertain. Measures to confine the dredged material and reduce these risks are likely to increase disposal costs. Risk and cost assessments for dredged material management alternatives often are associated with very large uncertainties. These uncertainties must be explicitly incorporated into risk-cost analysis to ensure that appropriate management alternatives are selected. However, considering these uncertainties may cause difficulties in decision making by making management alternatives effectively indistinguishable. A risk-cost analysis methodology that evaluates uncertainty directly in the decision framework is developed. A multicriteria decision-making method that incorporates uncertainties using fuzzy set theory, is proposed to trade-off risks and costs (including uncertainties) so that disposal alternatives can be compared and selected.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
References
1.
Arnold, F. D., Lowe, J. A., and Farrow, D. R. G. (1987). “The national coastal pollutant discharge inventory, estimates for Puget Sound. Draft report.” Strategic Assessment Branch, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Rockville, Md.
2.
Bardossy, A., Bogardi, I., and Duckstein, L. (1990). “Fuzzy regression in hydrology.” Water Resour. Res., 26(7), 1497–1508.
3.
Bardossy, A., Bogardi, I., and Duckstein, L. (1991). “Fuzzy set and probabilistic techniques for health risk analysis.” Appl. Math Comput., 45(3), 245–268.
4.
Bogardi, I., and Bardossy, A. ( 1983). “Application of MCDM to geological exploration.” Essays and surveys on multiple criterion decision making, Hansen, P., ed., Springer, Berlin.
5.
Brill, E. D., and Nakamura, M. (1978). “A branch and bound method for use in planning regional wastewater treatment systems.” Water Resour. Res., 14, 109–118.
6.
Chameau, J., and Santamarina, J. C. (1987). “Membership functions: Comparing methods of measurement.” Int. J. Approximate Reasoning, 1, 287–301.
7.
Chen, S. H. (1985). “Ranking fuzzy members with maximizing set and minimizing set.” Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 17, 113–129.
8.
“Contaminated sediments in ports and waterways, cleanup strategies and technologies.” (1997). National Research Council, National Academy Press, Washington, D.C.
9.
Dong, W., and Shah, H. C. (1987). “Vertex method for computing functions of fuzzy variables.” Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 24, 65–78.
10.
Dourson, M. L., and Stara, F. F. (1983). “Regulating history and experimental support of uncertainty (safety) factors.” Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology, 3, 224–238.
11.
Ford, D. T. (1984). “Dredged-material disposal management model.”J. Water Resour. Plng. and Mgmt., ASCE, 110(1), 57–74.
12.
Ganoulis, J. (1994). Engineering risk analysis of water pollution—Probabilities and fuzzy sets. VCH, New York.
13.
Goichoechea, A., Hansen, D., and Duckstein, L. (1982). Introduction to multiobjective analysis with engineering and business applications. Wiley, New York.
14.
Keeney, R. L., and Wood, E. F. (1977). “An illustrative example of the use of the multiattribute utility theory for water resources planning.” Water Resour. Res., 13(4).
15.
Lake, J. L., Rubenstein, N., and Pavignano, S. ( 1984). “Predicting bioaccumulation: Development of a simple partitioning model for use as a screening tool for regulating ocean disposal of wastes.” Fate and effects of sediment-bound chemicals in aquatic systems, K. Dickson, A. Maki, and W. Brungs, eds., Pergamon, New York.
16.
Parametrix, Inc. (1989). “Confined disposal of contaminated sediments documentation of standards development (draft report).” Prepared for Washington Department of Ecology in association with Ogden Beeman and Associates Inc., Hart-Crowser, Inc., Science Applications International, Inc., Pacific Groundwater Group, Janet N. Knox, Inc.
17.
Pavlou, S. P. ( 1984). “The use of the equilibrium partitioning approach in determining safe levels of contaminants in marine sediments.” Fate and effects of sediment-bound chemicals in aquatic systems, K. Dickson, A. Maki, and W. Brungs, eds., Pergamon, New York.
18.
PTI, Inc. (1989). “Multiuser confined disposal sites program study draft report.” Prepared for Washington Department of Ecology Sediment Management Unit, Olympia, WA.
19.
Rhoads, D. C., and Boyer, L. F. ( 1982). “The effects of marine benthos on physical properties of sediments: A successional perspective.” Animal-sediment relations, P. L. McCall and M. J. S. Tevesz, eds., Plenum Geobiology Series, Volume 2, Plenum, New York.
20.
Rhoads, D. C., and Germano, J. D. (1982). “Characterization of organism-sediment relations using sediment profile imaging: An efficient method of remote ecological monitoring of the seafloor (REMOTS system).” Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser., 8, 115–128.
21.
Stakhiv, E. Z. (1997). “Risk analysis: Assessment and management of environmental pollution.” Proc., Envir. pollution: Priorities and solutions, NATO Advanced Research Workshop.
22.
Stansbury, J., Bogardi, I., and Kelly, W. E. (1989). “Risk-cost analysis for management of dredge material.” Risk-based decision making in water resources, Y. Y. Haimes and E. Z. Stakhiv, eds., ASCE, New York.
23.
Stansbury, J., Bogardi, I., Kelly, W., and Bardossy, A. (1991). “Risk analysis of dredged material management options part 3: Decision-making under uncertainty.” Rep. to U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Institute for Water Resources, Washington, D.C.
24.
Tetra Tech, Inc. (1986). “Framework for comparative risk analysis of dredged material disposal options Task 5b draft report.” Prepared for Resources Planning Associates for U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Seattle District, Bellevue, Wash.
25.
USACE. (1983). “Dredging and dredged material disposal.” EM 1110-2-5025, Office of the Chief of Engineers, Washington, D.C.
26.
USACE. (1988). “Disposal site selection: Technical appendix: Phase I.” Puget Sound Dredged Disposal Analysis Report, U.S. EPA Region X, Seattle District, Washington State Dept. of Natural Resources, Washington State Dept. of Ecology, Wash.
27.
USDOT. (1994). “The dredging process in the U.S.: An action plan for improvement.” Rep. to the Secretary of Transportation by the Interagency Working Group on the Dredging Process.
28.
USEPA. ( 1986a). “Guidelines for carcinogenic risk assessment.” Federal Register, 51(185), 34042–34054.
29.
USEPA. ( 1986b). “Guidelines for the health risk assessment of chemical mixtures.” Federal Register, 51(185), 34014–34025.
30.
USEPA. (1989). “Risk assessment guidance for superfund.” EPA/540/1-89/002, Prepared for USEPA Office of Emergency and Remedial Response, Washington, D.C.
31.
USEPA/USACE. ( 1991). “Evaluation of dredged material proposed for ocean disposal (testing manual).” EPA 503/8/91/001.
32.
USEPA/USACE. ( 1994). “Evaluation of dredged material proposed for discharge in waters of the U.S. (testing manual).” EPA 823-B-94-002.
33.
USFWS. ( 1980). “Ecological services manual, implementation of habitat evaluation procedures.” Division of Ecological Services, Department of the Interior, Washington, D.C.
34.
Whitmore, R. W. (1984). “Methodology for characterization of uncertainty in exposure assessment.” Report to Exposure Assessment Group Office of Health and Environmental Assessment USEPA, Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, N.C.
35.
Zadeh, L. A. (1965). “Fuzzy sets.” Information and Control, 8, 338–353.
36.
Zimmerman, J. H. (1985). Fuzzy set theory and its applications. Kluwer-Nijhoff, Hingham, Mass.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 125 • Issue 6 • November 1999
Pages: 342 - 351
History
Received: Aug 18, 1997
Published online: Nov 1, 1999
Published in print: Nov 1999
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.