TECHNICAL PAPERS
Jul 1, 1999

Institutional and Technical Barriers to Risk-Based Water Resources Management: A Case Study

Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 125, Issue 4

Abstract

Implementing risk-based Great Lakes water level management and forecasting, as recommended by the International Joint Commission, would allow managers and other interests affected by fluctuating water levels to consider the wide range of potential future lake levels, incorporate some of the uncertainty inherent in forecasts, and allow explicit consideration of risk. Decision making that requires knowledge of future lake levels would potentially improve, resulting in economic and environmental benefits. Significant institutional and technical barriers preventing implementation exist, among them the lack of International Joint Commission authority to mandate other agencies to implement its recommendations, and the lack of objective evidence that risk-based water level management is an improvement over current procedures. Strategies for overcoming these and other barriers are suggested. The barriers and strategies specific to this case study are generalized so that other water resource managers may consider them when applying risk-based management to their systems.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

References

1.
Croley II, T. E. (1993). “Probabilistic great lakes hydrology outlooks.” Water Resour. Bull., 29(5), 741–753.
2.
Croley II, T. E. (1996). “Using NOAA's new climate outlooks in operational hydrology.”J. Hydrologic Engrg., ASCE, 1(3), 93–102.
3.
Croley II, T. E., and Lee, D. H. (1993). “Evaluation of Great Lakes net basin supply forecasts.” Water Resour. Bull., 29(2), 267–282.
4.
Epstein, D. J., Welles, E., and Day, G. N. (1998). “Probabilistic hydrologic forecasting methods and tools.” Proc., 1st Federal Interagency Hydrologic Modeling Conf., Office of Water Quality, Reston, Va., 6-17–6-24.
5.
Fulp, T. J., and Frevert, D. K. ( 1998). “Watershed and river systems management program: current and future applications in the Bureau of Reclamation.” Proc., 1st Federal Interagency Hydrologic Modeling Conf., Office of Water Quality, Reston, Va., 5-71–5-78.
6.
International Joint Commission. ( 1993). “Report on methods of alleviating the adverse consequences of fluctuating water levels in the Great Lakes–St. Lawrence River Basin.” Rep. to the Govts. of Canada and the United States, Ottawa, Ont., Canada, and Washington, D.C.
7.
Keeney, R. L., and von Winterfeldt, D. (1986). “Improving risk communication.” Risk Analysis, 6(4), 417–424.
8.
Lee, D. H., Clites, A. H., and Keillor, J. P. (1997a). “Assessing risk in operational decisions using Great Lakes probabilistic water level forecasts.” Envir. Mgmt., 21(1), 43–58.
9.
Lee, D. H., Croley II, T. E., and Quinn, F. H. (1997b). “Lake Ontario regulation under transposed climates.” J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc., 33(1), 55–69.
10.
Lee, D. H., and Quinn, F. H. (1992). “Climate change impacts on Great Lakes levels and flows.” Proc., 28th Ann. Conf. and Symp. of the Am. Water Resour. Assoc. on Managing Water Resour. during Global Change, American Water Resources Association, Bethesda, Md., 387–396.
11.
Minutes of the 62nd Meeting of the Coordinating Committee on Great Lakes Basic Hydraulic and Hydrologic Data. ( 1997a). Coordinating Committee on Great Lakes Basic Hydraulic and Hydrologic Data, Burlington, Ont., Canada, and Detroit, Mich., May 21, 1997.
12.
Minutes of the 63rd Meeting of the Coordinating Committee on Great Lakes Basic Hydraulic and Hydrologic Data. ( 1997b). Coordinating Committee on Great Lakes Basic Hydraulic and Hydrologic Data, Burlington, Ont., Canada, and Detroit, Mich., December 4, 1997.
13.
Project Management Team. ( 1989). “Living with the Lakes: challenges and opportunities.” Progress Rep. to the Int. Joint Commission, International Joint Commission, Ottawa, Ont., Canada, and Washington, D.C.
14.
“A special report: Safe Drinking Water Act Amendments of 1996.” Water Week, 〈http://www.awwa.org/sdwasum.htm〉(11/24/97).
15.
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. ( 1996a). “Risk-based analysis for flood damage reduction studies.” EM 1110-2-1619, National Technical Information Service, Springfield, Va.
16.
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. ( 1996b). “Risk-based analysis for evaluation of hydrology/hydraulics, geotechnical stability, and economics in flood damage reduction studies.” ER 1105-2-101, National Technical Information Service, Springfield, Va.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 125Issue 4July 1999
Pages: 186 - 193

History

Received: Sep 1, 1998
Published online: Jul 1, 1999
Published in print: Jul 1999

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

P.E., Member, ASCE
Hydro., NOAA NWS Ohio River Forecast Ctr., 1901 S. State St., Rt. 134, Wilmington, OH 45177; formerly, Hydro., NOAA Great Lakes Envir. Res. Lab., Ann Arbor, MI 48105. E-mail: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share